@IveGotASongThatllGetOnYNerves
Nobody can possibly know.
It will depend entirely on the circumstances.
The last time there were this many people in hospital with covid was mid-March.
The time before that was the 19th October 2020.
On November 1st 2020 there were 979 people on mechanical ventilation. On September 3rd 2021 there are 1031.
Doubling is slower, and the numbers are more volatile, but the direction of travel feels pretty familiar.
Most of the current numbers only have to double around twice to be approaching January peak levels again.
I don't know if they will, but they've doubled approximately twice in the last 9 or 10 weeks.