Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 23rd JULY

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

The phenomenon reported here by me and at least 4 other MNers, if replicated more widely*, could maybe have quite an effect on the numbers tomorrow!
www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4314727-PCR-test-result-text-when-I-didn-t-take-a-test?watched=1&msgid=109673524#109673524

Took PCR earlier in the week, got quick result (negative for me, don’t know if they all are), but have had another text giving same result (slightly differently worded, so not an exact duplicate message)!

*Am assuming the NHS isn’t ‘targeting’ MNers!

Thanks @boys3. (It’s Thursday tomorrow.)

@wintertravel1980

I dont understand why Bournemouth is so high!

Bournemouth and many other LAs in South West and East Midlands are done yet fully "through" the summer wave (in comparison to NE and most of NW). They have not been hit as hard as NE or NW.

Cases may still go up before they go down.

My guess is that Bournemouth's story might be similar to Lincoln's (large clusters in hospitality/nightlife sector).

Charminster, Winton and Bournemouth Central were all quite student heavy when we lived in Bournemouth, so it would seem likely that it’s nightlife/house party related.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Thanks *@boys3*. (It’s Thursday tomorrow.)

oh dear @JanFebAnyMonth wishful thinking on my part. :) With school well and truly finished completely losing track of days of the week now.

or maybe I was think taciturn Thursday and jumping a day ahead on that basis clutching at straws now

There are now at least 25 posters reporting duplicate PCR result texts on the thread I linked to above. Am wondering if everyone who’s taken a test in the last few days has received an extra notification this evening. They all seem to be negatives.

Of course, whether this will feed into the test numbers for tomorrow, I’ve no idea. Or whether anyone will rectify whatever the mistake was.

@JanFebAnyMonth

There are now at least 25 posters reporting duplicate PCR result texts on the thread I linked to above. Am wondering if everyone who’s taken a test in the last few days has received an extra notification this evening. They all seem to be negatives.

Of course, whether this will feed into the test numbers for tomorrow, I’ve no idea. Or whether anyone will rectify whatever the mistake was.

There were always 2 emails; one about the negative result and one about updating the app with the negative result. Is this something different?

This is from some time back (tell me if I left any personal details on display!)

These are just the texts. I’ve only ever had one text and one email but maybe that’s because I’ve never had the app?

I’d be thinking I’d got something wrong but there’s now about 35 posters reporting the same thing. One does say they checked their NHS app and only one lot of results showing on there, so hopefully it’s just a text glitch and not a ‘whole record’ glitch.

DSs have had two :one telling them they are positive and one telling them when isolation ends. Wording is similar.

No idea where the came from...

Re Bournemouth, it occurred to me

• they were also about number 4 on the national infections about 6 months ago, so could there be an element of immunity wearing off?

• there aren't many nightclubs - but there are a lot of flats, without gardens. So there might be more socialising indoors than in gardens, if for any reason just going to the beach, say, doesn't look a good option

www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-58076215
Numbers pinged in last week of July fell hugely. Probably a combination of reasons?

Apparently checking into locations has dropped too so the pings drop may be due to app deletions.

Just doing 3 LFTs for me and DC and reflecting on how the instructions were not really designed with busy mums in mind, doing multiple tests.

Eg there could be a labelled space on the cartridge to write initials (a very obvious one really)
more in the Instructions about how to ensure swabs etc don’t get mixed up /cross contaminate. I know it says to wash hands before each new test but even that is hidden amongst all the other instructions.

I’m talking about the general public here, not used to working in labs or healthcare!

@JanFebAnyMonth there’s a section labelled “ID” on my test strips - someone could use a sharpie there if they were struggling

Well, I have had my first encounters with test and trace today. These have not been good. Totally contradictory information. Tow different dates 6 days apart given for two cases in my house who tested positive on the same day and began symptoms a day apart. The one whose symptoms began earlier has been told to isolate til the 14th. The one he gave it to til the 9th...

Rest of the household have been told the 9th and then the 14th.

119 are very nice about it but we cannot get it sorted.

Numbers up again today, second day running. 72 deaths, decreased hospitalisations.

Reported cases are actually down week on week - 30,215 cases reported today vs 31,117 last Thursday.

I am now waiting for boys3 graphs (numbers reported by date of specimen). I find them the best indicators of what is happening in real time.

Numbers are down on this day last week.

fairly flat picture in terms of spec dates in England which is reflected in the 7 day average for cases. The stingy MN daily picture limit prevents me uploading the latter yet.

as such 7 day average to

5th July 23195

12th July 30496

19th July 43880

26th July 25962

2nd Aug 22676

Thanks, boys3, I really like this graph:).

a quick reminder for everyone that the next thread is here www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4314766-Data-Stats-Daily-Numbers-started-5th-August-2021

as this one seems done