Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 23rd JULY

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

Eye of the hurricane is a good descriptor, what with the new tranche of mixing being brought about by families heading off on holiday in all directions. Hopefully if the weather is reasonable much of this mixing will be outdoors.

Has anyone got a source for Inconclusive tests likely meaning Positive but one of the markers missing, I hadn’t heard that before?

@borntobequiet

Eye of the hurricane is a good descriptor, what with the new tranche of mixing being brought about by families heading off on holiday in all directions. Hopefully if the weather is reasonable much of this mixing will be outdoors.

I've been wondering about this, much of Britain (and certainly Southern) have had great weather this last week, now is forecast rain and thunder just as the busy week for holiday travel gets underway. Data on weather and cases would be interesting.

I read on various medical sites that inconclusive meant one part was positive not the second. Sorry I don't understand the science so I may have explained that badly. I think though that ordinarily you would get a pcr due to either symptoms or exposure therefore the advice with an inconclusive would be to isolate until you get a negative which makes sense. And we're not in that situation, there have been 3 cases in her year but not close to her and not in the past ten days . I've just done LF which is negative and about to supervise dd doing one before we leave.

An Olympic official got an inconclusive then a negative yesterday. Seems it could be either and I can't change what's happened, kicking myself though for not researching it before I saw the vulnerable relative.

I have persuaded and booked said relative in for second vaccine next week though. They thought they'd missed the boat as had turned it down when GP called as had a bad reaction to the first . Didn't have any follow up calls. When I logged in as them on the site and showed the array of booking possibilities we were good to go! So just need to get through the next week and I'll feel a bit more relaxed when visiting.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Has anyone got a source for Inconclusive tests likely meaning Positive but one of the markers missing, I hadn’t heard that before?

I can only find USA links and they might have a different protocol.

testguide.labmed.uw.edu/public/guideline/covid_faq

This is the site that scared me. Read same on a few others too.

Is data on positive cases collated by age? It would be interesting to see how much of the drop in cases is accounted for by school age children not testing as much.

Theres the heat map on the .gov sets page. Im on my phone so its a bit fiddly, but looks like highest rates were in 20-24 followed by 15-19

@RP131 on twitter does a breakdown by age (and region) too

Thanks olive. I had to do 3 PCR tests in a row last summer when I had a symptom, because the first 2 were Inconclusive. But I thought I’d messed up swabbing.

He also has one where he compares "todays" cases to the same day last week

• and that was what the advice and literature suggested at the time. Hadn’t heard about the missing markers.

Thanks Bordois that actually looks quite encouraging as the drop seems to be across all age groups (especially pronounced in the 20 year olds). The only age group where there was an increase is the over 70s which is a bit worrying but the base was low.

Some data comparison - UK as a whole.

Yesterday's reported figures compared with 22 December 2020. Both dates showing cases on the rise; most schools broken up; recently out of lockdown (but back into it if you were in parts of the UK where Christmas got cancelled).

Report date 23 June 21

Cases – 36,389
In hospital – 5,001
In MV beds – 699
Deaths 7 day average – 58

Report date 22 December 20

Cases – 36,804
In hospital – 21,488
In MV beds – 1,529
Deaths 7 day average - 486

So fewer people proportionally going to hospital, but those that do are more likely to be ill enough for ICU?

@Bordois

He also has one where he compares "todays" cases to the same day last week

Really interesting to see that child cases have increased very slightly across all regions and been dropping in 20-29 age. It would be interesting to see if that's 20-24 or 25-29.

@ThereIsAGreenHillFarAway

Some data comparison - UK as a whole.

Yesterday's reported figures compared with 22 December 2020. Both dates showing cases on the rise; most schools broken up; recently out of lockdown (but back into it if you were in parts of the UK where Christmas got cancelled).

Report date 23 June 21

Cases – 36,389
In hospital – 5,001
In MV beds – 699
Deaths 7 day average – 58

Report date 22 December 20

Cases – 36,804
In hospital – 21,488
In MV beds – 1,529
Deaths 7 day average - 486

I only get cold comfort from this. It is excellent news on one hand that vaccines are working, but also clear that if we allow cases to get out of hand we will be in a very difficult situation

Thats the data i was trying to find out. Thats a big reduction in admissions isnt it.

And deaths. But the more specialised care still looks very under pressure

People admitted to hospital now are likely to be those who tested postive around 10 days ago when cases hit the 50/60k mark. Will be interested to see if they start to drop in line with cases from now on.

Useful data, I agree Mildred and which.

The booster programme is clearly going to be very important however.

@WarriorN

The booster programme is clearly going to be very important however.

I agree. There is rather worrying data coming from Israel about waning transmission protection m.youtube.com/watch?v=rAqVAiPXbJc

Pfizers efficacy in preventing transmission is
16% those vaccinated in jan
44% feb
67% mar
75% apr

With fewer people in hospital there may be ICU beds available for borderline cases whereas no capacity back in December. So ICU patients may be relatively less ill than back then. Still not nice at all, poor things.

mobile.twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1418531448370470912

Gurdasani pointing out the scientific and ethical flaws in the schools trial.

At least they say they’re going to use genomic sequencing next to discover how the virus spreads in schools.