Worried about coronavirus part 10

[GPwife2411]

Previous thread www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3836973-To-be-worried-about-coronavirus-part-9

updated data on this page every day at 2pm until further notice.
www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public#number-of-cases

It's not just like flu www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/01/yes-it-is-worse-than-the-flu-busting-the-coronavirus-myths

Why WHO not declaring a pandemic www.newscientist.com/article/2235342-covid-19-why-wont-the-who-officially-declare-a-coronavirus-pandemic/

Worldometer www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

BNO News bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

Link to WHO report www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019

The Lancet coronavirus hub - latest research and comment www.thelancet.com/coronavirus

JAMA coronavirus research centre jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/pages/coronavirus-alert

So worst case infection rate is 80%, death rate 3.4% if I understand correctly?

@Jrobhatch29 it was one of the prem babies if I’ve read that right .

NHS England declares coronavirus a level 4 incident, the highest level of emergency - Sky News

There's a few people I'd like to die

What a horrible comment to make.

There are lots of cases in Italy outside the lockdown towns, and I think it's extremely unlikely that every case has been caught by testing.

I think people are far more at risk of catching Coronavirus in Northern Italy than on the tube- it's the airports they go through as well as their final destination. There's no real evidence to suggest widespread community transmission in London (yet).

Also, the Italian health system is becoming overstretched.

I hope anyone going skiing would be able to cope with quarentine + self-isolation on return!

Also, bringing more cases into the UK increases the chances of community transmission.

At the moment we are (just about) containing this in the UK, but each new case coming in will increase the chances we can't contain the situation anymore.

But then equally it's on the government to make better travel recommendations.

I followed the Twitter link and looked in the DoH page, but can't find any info about where the new cases are. Does anyone know? I saw something about Humberside which isn't far from me, but can't find anymore info.

Does anyone know when the last time the NHS called a level 4 emergency?

theres a few people id like to die

@GraveShift

I suppose you think you're being edgy or daring or amusing. You're not, your remark is shitty.

sorry. my stomach's in knots

all the new cases are caught abroad, so no direct transmission

Well only direct when they caught it overseas, anyway. Does it matter whether they caught it "in the community" in the UK, or in Italy, or Singapore, or anywhere? You have to catch it from somewhere and people won't magically become less prone to passing it on when they come (back) to the UK.

The situation in Italy is far more progressed than the situation in the UK and so it is selfish behaviour

I disagree. And I also disagree that we don't have the cases here. They just haven't been picked up yet.

I think for the first time I’ve seen my parents as really vulnerable 😢 it’s a horrible feeling

Someone on FB told me that this is insignificant because millions of people died from Spanish flu and this is nothing in comparison

Someone said southern Italy upthread My relatives are in Molise.

Spanish flu had a very similar CFR and R0, from what we know. I wouldn't be taking any succour from those stats.

@ijustneed
London
Hampshire
Northamptonshire
Bury
Wirral
Greater Manchester
Humberside
Kent

NEW: U.S. death toll from coronavirus rises to 7 after Washington man who died 6 days ago is found to have been infected - NYT

Another 6 people in #Stockholm - #sweden have been confirmed to have the #coronavirus. 15 new cases have been added today, and in total 30 people are currently infected by the #coronavirus.

I new Boris Johnson wasn’t at Kettering General Hospital in the dead of night just to talk about developmental plans...

Sorry less haste... I knew

Does anyone know whether the results from the testing going on in the 8 NHS trusts and 100 GPsurgeries are included in the numbers being quoted each day ?

@ofwarren thanks.

@Ijustneed

This link was posted on Reddit the other day - may be related to the Humberside case reported today?

www.hulldailymail.co.uk/news/hull-east-yorkshire-news/coronavirus-uk-hull-medics-hazmat-3901339?utm_source=linkCopy&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sharebar

wowzers. 3.4% of 80% of 66.4 million = 1.8 million