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Weather

Autumn 2018/Winter 2018/19

265 replies

GloriaSmud · 14/08/2018 11:08

TheWeatherOutlook have some early thoughts on Winter 2018 here and Autumn here.

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Dockray · 01/01/2019 14:17

It's ok, I haven't cursed it completely. I still need to order some more wood and coal before I'm ready for snow.

GloriaSmud · 01/01/2019 14:39

I might have 'put a spanner in the works' as well ~ my parents are members of a narrowboat syndicate and I told my Dad last night that he might want to put the heaters on in the narrowboat from the 11th January onwards, as it was looking a bit colder.

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hoochymama1 · 01/01/2019 15:44

Dockray and Gloria. What have you doneShock

It was all going so well..

I have now consigned the sledge to the dusty part of the shed where the spiders live, to make up for your foolishness.

It's all sunny and nicely cold here in West Yorkshire. So far Grin

Dockray · 01/01/2019 16:03

Shall I go out on the day the sledges are due to be delivered to tempt the snow back?

GloriaSmud · 01/01/2019 16:33

I've blown it, haven't I? My reputation is in tatters.

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xsahm · 01/01/2019 16:56

Is it really all over??

GloriaSmud · 01/01/2019 17:31

I don't think so xsahm ~ metoffice still going for cold from the 3rd week of January....

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Sunday 6 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 15 Jan 2019:
The second week of the the New Year starts mainly settled. Most places look to be dry with sunny spells after frosty starts, although some fog patches may be slow to clear. The far north and northwest may be cloudier with some drizzle over the hills, with these conditions perhaps spreading to eastern areas. By the end of the week there may be a change to more unsettled conditions, particularly in the north. There may be periods of rain and strong winds, interspersed with brighter showery periods in between. There is a risk of some hill snow in the north, but perhaps to lower levels at times too. It will be rather cold to start, but temperatures will probably recover closer to average with some milder interludes.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 16 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 30 Jan 2019:
It is likely start unsettled across most areas at first, with perhaps heavy rain and gales at times, especially in the north, where severe gales are possible. Hill snow is also possible, as well as snow to lower levels at times in the north. By the third week of January there is then an increased likelihood of a change to much colder weather generally, bringing an enhanced risk of frost, fog and snow. These conditions may then continue to the end of the month, but some milder, wet and windy interludes also remain possible throughout this period.

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GloriaSmud · 01/01/2019 18:07

The Guardian have picked up on the possibility of cold weather a-coming

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 01/01/2019 22:24

It's not over :) this is my usual sceptical before it starts showing in the synoptics chart phase. I do this every time.

hoochymama1 · 02/01/2019 07:30

Ooo Smile

OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 07:50

Maybe it's starting to show in synoptics...
This is for the 18th - snow risk. Showing atlantic weather systems bumping into cold air, but with perhaps a blocking high beginning to develop in the atlantic.

Autumn 2018/Winter 2018/19
Dockray · 02/01/2019 08:33

Can I get a tiny bit excited or would that scare the snow?

OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 08:59

Just a tiny bit!

GloriaSmud · 02/01/2019 09:06

Snow risk for the 16th isn't too bad either!

Autumn 2018/Winter 2018/19
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xsahm · 02/01/2019 10:10

So is it creeping further south as it moves in?? Can I order a sledge?

OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 16:17

I wouldn't spend too much yet. You only need to look at the Christmas weather thread to see how gfs can show snow two weeks hence and not deliver.
Maybe just add one to a basket ready to press 'buy now' in a few days Wink

OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 16:18

Mind you I won't let dh get rid of a sledge I bought about 9 years ago Wink

hoochymama1 · 02/01/2019 16:32

You just never know with snow ...

OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 18:36

It does look like we are undergoing a major ssw and models are demonstrating the troposphere responding. Heading in the right direction I think. Not necessarily meaning snow, but proper cold looks pretty likely now.

GloriaSmud · 02/01/2019 19:01

Latest Outlook from the metoffice ~ sounds like they're 'covering all bases' to me!...

UK Outlook for Monday 7 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 16 Jan 2019:
Most places are likely to stay dry but rather cloudy through next week. The cloudiest and mildest weather is likely to be in the northwest, where it will be cloudy enough for some drizzle over the hills, and sometimes rather windy. In the south, winds will stay light and there is a greater chance of sunny spells, but also a greater likelihood of overnight frost and fog. Where fog does form, it may be slow to clear during the day. By the end of the week a change to wetter and windier weather is likely, particularly in the north. There is a risk of snow on hills in the north, and perhaps to lower levels at times too. In the south, night frost and fog will become less likely.

UK Outlook for Thursday 17 Jan 2019 to Thursday 31 Jan 2019:
Most of the UK is likely to start this period with predominantly wet and windy weather, and a chance of heavy rain and gales at times, especially in the north. Hill snow is also possible, as well as snow to lower levels at times in the north. In the south though, the weather is likely to be on the mild side. Towards the end of January, however, there is an increased likelihood of a change to much colder weather generally, bringing an enhanced risk of frost, fog and snow. This cold spell is by no means certain though, and in any case, some milder, wet and windy interludes are likely during this period.

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 19:18

They've pushed back the timeline from previous forecasts.

GloriaSmud · 02/01/2019 20:06

Yes, they have. The update has not gone down well on the netweather message board ~ they're getting 'snippy' with each other!

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OhYouBadBadKitten · 02/01/2019 20:07

lol!!

Perihelion · 02/01/2019 21:06

Happy new year.....( Slides/sledges into the thread after drinking more on Hogmanay and yesterday than the whole of 2918 Blush )
Dockray you can blame me, as I bought 2 foamy sledgy boardy things before Christmas as we wore out 2 sledges with last winter.

Hogmanay was weirdly warm, but the cold is back. Today has been stunning with no wind and frost all day....DD went to the beach with friends this afternoon and had a dip in the sea. I'm still trying to decide whether to be impressed or accept that DD is more bonkers than meHmm

LadyFlumpalot · 03/01/2019 08:06

Hi all, came across last night during a bit of you tubing and thought you lot might appreciate it!

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