Badkitten's 'Will it snow at Christmas?' thread.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Well, the moment has come

The 19th December - when many kids break from school has appeared in the GFS charts.....

I'm going to do my best to update this at least once each day, but bear with me if life interferes a bit. My usual disclaimer: I'm only an amateur and I get things wrong. I dont say this out of false modesty but because its true and for important forecasts and for making decisions please refer to the met office.

Also at this range the forecast will be complete crap anyway and will change daily. As we get closer to the Christmas holidays other models will come into range and things will start to become more accurate - hopefully!

So:

Friday 19th (GFS) - The day starts off cold with temps around freezing. Some precipitation but it looks to err on the wrong side of frozen (ie not). Europe isnt looking cold for this time of year and so we are looking to our north and north west for the cold at this point.
That's as far as the model goes but later in the day I would expect it to end up in single fig temps. Might update this on the next model run.

Thanks for this thread Kitten. (Shameless place marking)

You're welcome :)

Another utterly shameless placemark.

Thank you, thank you, OYBBK.

I LOVE snow any time of year, but specially at Christmas.

I live in hope !

Place-marking here too.

The snowflake appeared on my car's display today, it was 3C, yippeee!

DCs keep,asking when it's going to snow but as we're in Kent I think it could be some time

I love snow at xmas but not hopeful! Its been way too mild!

Very excited to be on this thread, I love weather & I'm looking forward to your predictions badkitten!!

Bacon I'm in Kent too (Ashford) so we can live in hope

Place marking
We are hoping for a return to snow for this year, last year was the first time since DH moved here in 2003 that there was no snow at all We are in the Lincolnshire Wolds

Noooo, the single snowflake has disappeared for Monday in north derbyshire

At people in kent, the most snow we had was when we lived there.

But snow must be sooo hard to predict

Thanks for doing this kitten.
and to keep you going.

Marking place (would quite like a couple of snow days for Yorkshire next week, if anyone's taking orders).

.

Thanks hoochy! Is that hot chocolate in the mug? don't fret yet about the snowflake symbol.

Thanks kitten! Love these threads! Fingers crossed for Not a damp grey Christmas day down here, snow would be fab from 20 dec

(Waves to hoochy)

There's snow forecast for the Scottish Highlands this weekend, isn't there?
Here otoh, in Central Scottish suburbia the frigging bulbs are poking out of the ground!

I'd love to have a white Christmas or any snow at all as there was NONE last winter. Not good enough, St Peter!

Thank you for the thread, OYBBK, I'll be riveted to it as ever

Joining the gang. Hoping for lots and lots of lovely snow. Exciting!

My children are desperate for snow! The keep saying 'Ask the Kitten lady' I obviously quote you far too much in weather situations

We're a little north of where Pacific is I, and the BBC gives us 2 flakes for PM Sunday. It certainly feels cold enough here. I quite like snow if I don't have to walk far or travel/drive in it. But think even without snow, I'm going to wear my fur lined boots from tomorrow. Brr!

I love your Christmas thread, OYBBK!

At least it's properly cold this year. I remember arriving home from work last Christmas Eve lunchtime to find my children sitting on a bench in the middle of my entirely flooded garden..

Aaaaah! OYBBK's Christmas snow thread. Now it's really the countdown to Christmas

Hmmm, well just send it over Herefordshire then. Don't want anyone else's plans scuppered....
Just do it so I can't get out if you wouldn't mind?

Waves to santy

Well, it's warmed up a bit. Which is nice, as my lovely MIL flies in from the UK on Sunday. Currently just after 5pm and -13. The clearer night skies are leading to some good Northern Lights. If you happen to be looking in the right direction and at the right time!

Really hoping for snao. My niece and her OH arrive from Sydney on the 16th to stay over christmas. She has never been to a cold country in winter or ever seen snow. She is very excited- I really hope it snows. Otherwise she will have to take a trip to Aviemore.

Excited!!!!

Morning all :)

Friday 19th (GFS) This morning it shows it as very wet and mild !! The only snow would be over Scottish mountains. What a difference a day makes in Model Land.

Saturday 20th (GFS) Coldish and damp with temps in low single figures away from the SW.

early Sunday 21st (GFS) Cold and damp, snow showers over hills away from the SW

The issue is a very irritating and stubborn Azores high bringing up milder air from the south and low pressures to our north bringing colder air from the north west. We are in the battle ground area so we end up with this no mans land over us with a muddle of influences.