Possible severe gales on Monday 28th.

[OhYouWickedWickedWitch]

I'm keeping a pretty close eye on developments for Monday. some of the models (in particular gfs) are showing a deep low developing over England, with the majority of the gfs runs taking the worst of the wind over the south.

Massive if. But if the weather were to pan out as those models are suggesting it would be a damaging storm, especially given the trees still being in leaf. I'd keep an eye on the met office early warnings page and if they start warning about it then it would be a good weekend to tidy the garden before you lose your stuff

I'll update as things become clearer.

Gah. I hate strong winds. Freaks me right out. How far north might it go, do you think? I'm south Derbyshire.

Thanks for the warning kitten, time to put away the garden furniture and secure the trampoline

Snakey, utterly impossible to know at the moment I'm afraid, the models are too divergent. As soon as they start to converge on a solution I'll update :)

Thanks Kitten/Witch

Oh hurray a storm for half term. Yes I've been looking ar the possibly of 70mph gusts for Cornwall.

DS is going on the ferry to Ireland on Monday 28th... oh dear

Thanks for keeping everyone updated Kitten

dh is supposed to be flying out then. oh dear here too!
Still it is early days, so plenty may change yet!

Bugger.

Ooo marking my place for this. We've got a very dodgy fence which probably won't survive

us too spooky and we are flying out on Monday... think DH will spend the w/e fixing the fence - he'll be delighted.

Latest gfs takes the winds through France instead. There is about as much uncertainty as there possibly can be with this potential little nasty.

Will the winds be westerly, southerly or SW?

Oh dear I'm flying back from holiday on Monday

Many trees in our area have been dropping their leaves for the last 2 weeks. I assume it was the very dry hot summer, or an omen of things coming early?
We normally have our Autumn Colour display after 29th October - or used to- and some years didn't fall until well into November

Marks place. We're on a hill facing the sea so feel the storms!

Carol on Breakfast has just mentioned the potential for Monday - she said it could be "gales, severe gales, or the potential to be something more than that"

This could be the death knell for a couple of my fence panels.

3 main models look very different!!

GFS has a wind storm tracking over England giving severe gales across southern England.

UKMO has a fairly deep large low to the north of the UK giving generalised strong winds.

ECMWF gives a less deep solution, but I can't quite work out the track.

So it's all still in the air (so to speak)

Manky. Perfect summary.

One option though is instead of a discrete low forming a squall line develops giving brief severe gusts with erm the potential for more tornadoes.

Digerd, impossible to give the direction of the wind until we know the track of any storm that develops.

The Bracknell fax chart takes the storm winds through France.

NAVGEM takes a less strong storm to the north of the UK.

Aaargh!!

Watching with interest...we'll be in Wales

Rotten timing todaysdate. Suggest everything is securely boxed!