Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 5 December 2021

[JanglyBeads]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

I thought it was 200,000 as an estimated proportion of the total number of people currently infected (and in that infection window in the four nations combined) with covid as opposed to daily positives but I can't tell you where I read that.

@bordermidgebite

Many thanks.

@Summerofcontent

Many thanks. I get that but I'm trying to get it through to my friend.

Today's numbers

78,000. A record?

Data people : anyone know anything about ventilation? A colleague has been told to improve hers by putting fans in her room??

Big case number reported today.

Does not look to be much of a lag.

96.5% of the cases reported today for England have Sunday to Tuesday spec dates.

@Piggyinblankets

Data people : anyone know anything about ventilation? A colleague has been told to improve hers by putting fans in her room??

Your friend may want to have a read of the ventilation section of this excellent guide put together by aerosol transmission experts:

docs.google.com/document/d/1fB5pysccOHvxphpTmCG_TGdytavMmc1cUumn8m0pwzo/edit#heading=h.m9jcy672mf5a

Thank you very much: this rather cracks me up as schools have been told anything up to 1500 is safe ,which is very much not what this says...

EvErYThInG Is Fiiiiiiiiiiine.

Nearly 80k is to be expected, nothing to see here...

So if only half of all cases are confirmed through testing that would mean around 160,000 cases today Which is slap bang in the middle of the LSHTM (I think) modelling that Sajid Javid quoted the top end of. Yikes.

@Itisasecret

EvErYThInG Is Fiiiiiiiiiiine.

Nearly 80k is to be expected, nothing to see here...

Huge spike in LFT's - no wonder there are none to be had. I wonder whether these are "worried well" ie: no symptoms, but just checking themselves out, and getting positives, or actual "I don't feel well, I will check with an LFT before bothering with a PCR".

Yes with the huge spike in LFTs plus as boys said little lag it is hard to actually know where we are in terms of modelling (at least for me!).

@Piggyinblankets

Data people : anyone know anything about ventilation? A colleague has been told to improve hers by putting fans in her room??

Fans won't do much will they unless all the windows are open. Fans with hepa filters built in are required. Perhaps that is what was meant.

@IndigoC

78,000. A record?

No, the highest ever number of daily cases so far was 81,475 on 29th December 2020 when four times fewer daily tests were carried out than today.

No, the highest ever number of daily cases so far was 81,475 on 29th December 2020 when four times fewer daily tests were carried out than today

That was the highest individual specimen date, only 53,135 were reported that day.

We didnt have LFT back in December - they came in March which must also have an impact on figures - how many today were LFTs?

South Africa still trending downwards in growth rate, with more indications that Gauteng is close to R=1. So I still think existing immunity does a lot to dampen Omicron - however I don't think we have enough existing immunity, and Boris should be announcing restrictions today that actually "flatten the curve" so we get to the immunity without overwhelming hospitals.

(ie closing indoor events)

According to a Guardian piece, the UKHSA have changed the "case definition" of Omicron ... does anyone know what this involves, please?

how many today were LFTs?

~16,000 so still not enough for the December one, however would be close with the previous highest announcement, but it also doesn't say about how many of the PCR only were people who had a positive LFD and just didn't report it which we have tended to believe is high. The rules on getting a PCR test have also changed, in that time period you simply isolated, now you PCR to avoid isolation, a big difference encouraging PCR'ing

That is definitely not what ismeant lelivre....

Re LFTs, the advice if you have a positive case in the house, for school children, is to do an LFT every day before you go to school, and only go if it is negative.

Me, I'm doing LFTs daily so that if I test positive I can get treatment (or get into a treatment trial) as someone who is vulnerable.

We are also being asked to test if we are going out, or going to see a vulnerable relative etc.

So lots of valid reasons for doing LFTs.

spec date graphic for England

seven day rolling case average for England, London (secondary y-axis), and England with London removed

and the / our London scenario