Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 5 December 2021

[JanglyBeads]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Princess what do you mean? Separating from which part?

It'll go through as Labour will support it. There's the die hard Tory few who will not vote or vote against but they won't make a difference.

Yes it will likely go through as said

But iirc about 60 we’re going to oppose

I wonder if number will reduce after last few days

They’ve separated out the vote on vaccine passports, daily LFTs to replace iso for omicron contacts, and the other new rules. So that they can guarantee getting most of it through.

Oh ok

Good actually

@AnyFucker

Maybe he is resigning 😑

Or maybe he's hosting a national quiz

I'll post the graph when it allows me.

7 day moving average (cases. not rate) in London was 3818 to 15th November, as at 9th December 7279 , with just a two day lag (eg 10th December) already higher again at 7396

The figures for the rest of England just under 29,000 on15/11 moving to just over 34,000 with a three day lag

Scotland is back to 10 self isolation for all household contacts of any positive cases.
I wonder if there will also be an announcement about 12-15 year olds getting a second vaccine? Bit late...

4002 positive cases reported in Scotland today, so on the way up again.

@MarshaBradyo

5 minutes?

It’ll just be new level

Although I’m now thinking what else you could address bomb the nation with in 5 minutes

Another baby, perhaps?

here's that seven day moving average graph. London is plotted against the secondary y-axis

Christina Pagel update:
mobile.twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1470094643757043722

Thanks - and really well done boys for not squashing either of the axes!

It's clear omicron is growing faster than what is likely delta elsewhere, but it's not 2 day doubling faster.

Going to be interesting to see how this moves, as the data for the days is beginning to look like it's hitting the second inflection point in Boys graph
epiforecasts.io/covid/posts/subnational/united-kingdom/london/
It should begin to increase to more omicron dominant spread.

BBC saying they have to vaccinated a million a day to reach the target!

BBC saying they have to vaccinated a million a day to reach the target

The chance of getting that level of booster take up is pretty slim surely? And has the rule been changed about 12 weeks after having covid for having a booster due to the increased risk changed?

Tf for that

I can deal with a booster message

I was wondering that fred.

@MarshaBradyo

Tf for that

I can deal with a booster message

Can you?

Dead cat bounce is what I think.

God yeah I was worried it was going to be harsher restrictions

Even though it was unlikely

I always get nervy. Esp if on a Sunday night public address scenario

Isn't it a month for adults (booster after covid). That's how long I waited ! Kids have to wait 3 months

And also it makes me feel like we’re going for booster plus wave scenario rather than getting closer to lockdown

It’s that which I really don’t want to hear

So, if people don't go to get their boosters fast enough, would it then alas be their fault if we had to lock down?

I doubt it.

It’s more get your booster - hopefully people will

And prepare for big wave / numbers

Not much use opening up to over 18s if you don't actually increase the capacity to deliver the jabs though is there? Where I live only 20% if people have boosters (half national average), no walk ins at all, and noone can book anything earlier than January (including 40+ people). And our covid cases are unsurprisingly rocketing

Following on from lonely's link to the CP thread, for which the omissions are possibly more interesting than the content.

Growth in London, from the gender data files, and as highlighted by a twitter thread someone (jangly ?) posted a day or so ago. Based on the seven day cases as at 9th December compared with those to 29th November.

As CP and earlier threads have flagged rapid growth - with London's rate of increase double that of any other region - for the 20-29s.

This therefore is the 20-24s percentage change in that period; plus actual number of cases that increase represents in the table.