Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 26th September 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

Well, boys, as even the official data guy doesn’t understand….

Excessive celebrations after the award

@TheSunIsStillShining

not data, but don't want to start a thread.... Anyone else experiencing that they can't register their pcr kits online for NHS tests?

on facebook people are saying you need to download a code to get new boxes of PCR tests now - are you trying to get new kits or register test results?

I passed a chemist the other day saying from 1 October a code was needed to pick up LFDs. I wondered if it was to match up the names of people picking up tests to check whether they were registering results.

I want to register the test kits I received this morning.
Tomorrow will be fun:

• I have to call 119 - to register 3 kits. going to take ages
• have to call boots to rearrange flue jab for kid. If he was above 16 I could do it online, but because he is not I can't. Where's the logic?

Fun times Sun…..

There I suspect it’s more likely to be a precursor to fees being charged for them, as hinted at in the summer

@JanglyBeads

Fun times Sun…..

There I suspect it’s more likely to be a precursor to fees being charged for them, as hinted at in the summer

I'll be on the phone in the car while driving my son to his podiatry appointment. (I have back to back meetings/workshops all day apart from the doc app.) I know how to pile on the fun! :)

Wasn't 1st October the day PHE became UKHSA?

Yes indeed Bordois

I've just ordered them online,no problem.

“PHE” looking into the now acknowledged phenomenon of people testing positive on LFD but negative on PCR:

mobile.twitter.com/kit_yates_maths/status/1445674420513636356?s=21&fbclid=IwAR1Qfgm1IVgE6-zwv6hYTlw1JzgVoAu_1V70h73jiK4WCiDs0KHzQ6uuA44

Should have written, positive multiple times on LFD but still negative on PCR

Very interesting JanglyBeads.

Can anyone recall how long reports of +ve LFD but negative PCRs have been going on for? Search isn't letting me refine by date.

So false positive LFDs or false negative PCRs? If it's the latter then would we begin to see an increase the ratio of hospital admissions : +ve PCRs?

Nearly 40k cases today. That's a shock. Nanny will be back online soon with news like that.

Strange, no increase in LFD numbers in recent days, but a decent increase in PCR's for yesterday by the looks of things, and it's across all nations.

Something changed, new cycle number chosen for PCR tests? Missing tests that haven't been backdated but the recent problem fixed?

I know this is a data thread so apologies but I'm worried. Desperately hoping it's a blip...

@ThereIsAGreenHillFarAway according to the link I posted earlier much more likely to be false negative PCR I think? <a class="break-all" href="http://go.mumsnet.com/?xs=1&id=470X1554755&url=www.instagram.com/p/CUXwS9jo_pM/?utm_medium=copy_link" target="_blank">http://go.mumsnet.com/?xs=1&id=470X1554755&url=www.instagram.com/p/CUXwS9jo<a class="break-all" href="http://go.mumsnet.com/?xs=1&id=470X1554755&url=www.instagram.com/p/CUXwS9jo_pM/?utm_medium=copy_link" target="_blank">pM/?utmm<a class="break-all" href="http://go.mumsnet.com/?xs=1&id=470X1554755&url=www.instagram.com/p/CUXwS9jo_pM/?utm_medium=copy_link" target="_blank">medium=copylink

Might not show up in hospitalisations as many infections are in young people/children at the moment?

There, I’d say I’ve been seeing reports from people for nearly three weeks.

The Covid board relevant thread’s OP is dated 23/09.

Thanks Pink and Jangly

Today’s numbers may be a genuine increase and it may be the result of the new “back to the office” wave. I guess we will know more over next few days.

I still do not think that the wave will lead to uncontrollable growth (opinion, not data) but it is entirely possible it will last a few weeks.

On the positive side, England has now given out 1.575 min boosters (including 620k to people over 80). This should start helping with hospitalisation numbers.

Comparative graphs as shown for the past few weeks.

7 day average, and just relating to England.

2021 and 2020 compared overall; then,

August to December for both years, and,

August to October

Hospital Admissions which have remained largely flat for the past couple of weeks, with the seven day average remaining below 600. Well below - ie around half - the lower estimate of last SPI-M model, and close to eight times lower than the mid-point of the central estimate

Number in hospital

deaths within 28 days, by date of death - 7 day average stops close to a week ago. Again direction positive.

full year on year case comparison for completeness, although with the vaccine programme the impact these numbers have is very different to last year.

@wintertravel1980 that is wonderful! Really good news, thanks for sharing