Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 5th August 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

South West 1 of 2

Sedgemoor 2nd highest rate in England based on the three day lag, and highest if a two day lag used. Torbay also on an upward curve.

BCP and Bristol continue downward.

South West 2 of 2

South East 1 of 4

South East 2 of 4

South East 3 of 4

South East 4 of 4

East of England 1 of 2

East of England 2 of 2

East Midlands 1 of 2

East Midlands 2 of 2

London Inner Boroughs

London Outer Boroughs

North East

North West 1 of 2

North West 2 of 2

West Midlands 1 of 2

West Midlands 2 of 2

Yorkshire and the Humber

We talked before about PCR positivity tracking cases quite well; in England still steady at about 8.3%.

Sorry silly question on PCR positivity - we used to hear a lot that WHO said 5% or less positivity was evidence of controlled outbreak/sufficient testing. Would it be fair to say that we have a higher PCR positivity because the use of LFT is encouraging more people that strongly suspect they have Covid (i.E from +Ive lft) to test? Or are we “uncontrolled”? Given the relatively stable numbers it seems unlikely
Or something else?

[quote lonelyplanet]This may is useful on global distribution (map at the bottom) but beyond my scientific understanding!
nextstrain.org/groups/neherlab/ncov/AY.3?c=gt-S_417&f_clade_membership=21A%20%28Delta%29&label=clade:21A%20%28Delta%29[/quote]
There hasn't been consistency with the AY nomenclature - some of the sequences of the variant we're talking about has been called AY.4 and AY.X and some of those listed as AY.3 are other variants. We need to wait for the data to be properly curated before we can figure out what's going on.

Thank you QueenStromba, Christina Pagel has added a tweet to her thread.
"UPDATE: apparently the classification of sequences into the different AY. sub lineages of Delta is very fluid at the moment and has in fact changed in just in the last few days... so likely that many/most of the classified AY3 sequences in Sanger are not AY3."

We'll just have to wait to see if there is it is one sub lineage beginning to grow or just a number, which may be less of a worry if none become dominant.

Here's a good thread about the AY issue from someone who knows his shit.

twitter.com/arambaut/status/1428272566469279749?s=20

Scotland is 3,367 cases today, with a test positivity of 9%. There have only been 4 days with cases higher than that, ever (by reported date, not specimen date, though 17th seems like it will be in the top handful of specimen dates too).

It seems like a crazy fast jump from flat to near peak.

I feel very uneasy about Scottish numbers . As most schools went back this week , I think they could get worse . On the plus side, hospitalisations remain relatively low.