Cobra meeting? Schools

[tearsandtiaras]

Has anyone heard anything about the results of the COBRA meeting yet?

Or news on schools closing?

Will they close universities too?

The economy is fucked regardless so we might as well try and keep everyone safe.

You do realise this is how exponential growth works?!

We will move into the delay phase and possibly stop large gatherings. But I don't think schools will close yet.

The UK is just about on the level where the number of known cases doubles roughly every two days.

So by next Friday (8 days) it would be 600x2x2x2x2 cases ... maybe about 9600 cases...?

That's if any of the other Western European countries are anything to go by.

Im in NI. ROI have announced closure of schools, universities and childcare facilities. Seems pointless if we dont follow suit, viruses dont recognise borders!

@brilliotic what would it be in 4 weeks roughly if that rate continues? (I could work it out but I'm tired and lazy )

A close relative of mine is in a nursing home for dementia patients. I have just literally received a phone call saying only essential visitors allowed (healthcare staff etc) and that they are not allowed out at the moment.

Where is this please?

@smithtylater someone I know has said the same..in wales.

We're still under the doubling every 2 days

2 days ago was 384 (so we'd need to be on 768)
3 days ago was 321 - double would have been 641, we actually got 460

For march we've averaged 1.7x every 2 days, last week is 1.6

ihaveaquestionplease:
4 weeks = 28 days => double the current number 14 times. so 590 times 2 by the power of 14. 2 by the power of 14 is 16'384. So 590 times 16'384.... that's over 9 million.

Just to be clear, I am NOT saying that the number of cases in the UK is going to double every 2 days for the next month.

We've taken our daughter out of school and are both working from home. It just isn't worth the risk. We've told school we are self-isolating and they seem happy with that.

DH has just had his post cancer check up for tomorrow cancelled. He’s been told that all appointments until 31st March have been cancelled and he would get a new date sent through in the post at a later date. Not going to lie - I’m gutted. He gets a check up every 3 months - if his appointment had been a day earlier he would have had it, now it looks like it’ll be at least a month - 6 weeks late. More likely 2 months or more. I know that 2 years on his chance of recurrence is not hugely high, but there’s a reason he still has regular checks and this doesn’t help.

The Daily Express now saying all schools to close next Friday 20th March.

www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1254138/coronavirus-uk-school-closures-easter-half-term-uk-coronavirus-news

Watching with very keen interest

Though statisticallychallenged points out that current confirmed numbers are not (yet) doubling in two days, I would point out that different speeds of spread are probably an artefact of different testing and reporting, rather than actual differences in the speed of spread. I doubt that the virus spreads more slowly here than everywhere else, especially given that everywhere else has put in place measures to slow the speed of spread, unlike here. So I am thinking, that even if the official numbers don't show that (yet), the actual spread in the UK might be similar to everywhere else, where it is mostly (roughly) doubling every two days.

@StormyClouds nothing has been announced yet.

That's just speculation though, it hasn't been announced yet.

If all the people complaining of not being able to get tested or even get through to 111, were actually tested we would find the numbers a lot higher.
I'm not normally one for conspiracy theories but if this were Iran or China publishing these statistics the UK would be complaining about how they were manipulating the data by withholding testing ...

@brilliotic yeah, I bet there's lots of people they have it that haven't been tested.

@brilliotic you wrote what I was also thinking/writing

Apparently the 12pm announcement came from Mumsnet and mumsnet alone

No, heard on BBC. Govt changed the time.

No school closures following the meeting, no plans to cancel mass gatherings.

I knew BJ was a twat but this is something else. HE is the super spreader. So angry, it's going to get completely out of control.

10 deaths now, 134 new cases in 24 hours. SHUTDOWN BJ you dickhead.

Sorry - bit carried away

@cheesemongery how do you know? I didn't think anything had been released yet

Nothing has been announced yet, cheese ?