todayisnottheday and this is where it is so frustrating when users join a set of threads that have been discussing something for weeks and think they are all over it.
The trajectory being followed by our cases matches those of Italy, but tracking 10-14 days behind. The data is all on the previous thread - go find it if you want, or don’t, I don’t have to justify myself to you.
Just because you don’t understand the data and models of the spread of the virus doesn’t mean it isn’t true.