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Ukraine Invasion: Part 39

985 replies

MagicFox · 25/03/2023 22:44

38 filled up quick. Welcome all to 39 🇺🇦

OP posts:
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ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/04/2023 14:19

UNITED24 Media

Chinese balloon shot down over US gathers intelligence from secret military facilities, NBC News, citing US officials.
China is said to have been able to control the balloon to fly over some objects (sometimes flying in a figure-eight shape) several times and transmit the information gathered back to Beijing in real-time.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz announced the opening of new hubs for repairing military equipment in countries neighboring Ukraine, — Reuters.
Asked why Romania was chosen to host the Rheinmetall service center, Scholz said other European countries would also open maintenance centers to repair Western tanks and howitzers that Ukraine uses to defend against Russian aggression.

▫️Japan announced it would also contribute to a special NATO fund to support Ukraine.

The KGB of Belarus (State Security Committee of the Republic of Belarus) reported that those involved in the criminal case for the detonation of the Russian A-50 early warning plane at the Machulyshchi airport might face the death penalty

In the temporarily occupied part of the Kherson region, the occupiers began to draw up lists for the "evacuation" of residents of the Skadovsk district to Crimea, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported
For now, the "evacuation" will be carried out voluntarily; primarily women and children will be taken out.

Russia "does not want a nuclear war" and "is trying to prevent it," said Vasily Nebenzya, Russia's permanent representative to the UN.
▫️Given the rhetoric of European leaders about the "Ukrainian-Russian conflict", the visit of French President Emmanuel Macron to China is unlikely to change anything.
▫️Did I have nightmares about the risk of starting a nuclear war? I sleep peacefully, knowing that at least the Russian Federation "does not want a nuclear war" and "is trying to prevent it."
▫️Russia takes a place in the UN Security Council "absolutely legitimate" as the legal successor of the USSR.
▫️Many UN Security Council member countries "will work against Russia" during its presidency. But no one will be a "more honest intermediary" than the Russian Federation.
▫️"The grain deal "doesn't work the way it should." We expect a breakthrough, but we'll see what happens after May 26th."
▫️Russia is "ready to organize a meeting" of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken at the UN.

For the first time in 60 years, China has changed its position on the question of ownership of the southern part of the Kuril Islands
As Kyodo reports citing a source, Xi Jinping said during the talks with Putin that China is now neutral and "does not take any side" in the territorial dispute.
In 1964, Mao Zedong stated that Beijing considered the four disputed islands to be Japanese territory. Since then, China's position has not changed, and the islands are marked as "occupied by Russia" on Chinese maps.

Employees of the US Embassy in Moscow still do not have consular access to Evan Gershkovich – the representative of the US National Security Council, John Kirby.

NATO aid to Ukraine exceeded Russia's military budget, The Moscow Times calculated
Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, NATO countries have provided Ukraine with more than $65 billion in military aid, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg said.
At the same time, in 2023, Russia plans to spend almost 5 trillion rubles, or $63.7 billion, on military needs, according to the draft law on the budget.

Russia can use nuclear weapons only with China's permission
This was stated by the Secretary of the NSDC Danilov in an interview with The Times. [unconfirmed]

Closed-door negotiations have begun in Washington to remove Cold War-era munitions from bunkers and further upgrade them for transfer to Ukraine, — Politico.

Five brigades of SU-27 and MIG-29 fighters are currently in service with the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, said the spokesman of the command Yuriy Ignat.

US mulls possible interim nuclear deal with Iran, – The Times of Israel
US officials have told their counterparts in Israel, France, Britain, and Germany that they are considering a proposal to strike a deal limiting Tehran's enrichment of nuclear material to 60 percent purity in exchange for sanctions relief.

Crimea is what must be liberated because you can destroy all Russian soldiers within a radius of 200 km from Bakhmut, but this will not affect the strategic end of the war, — American General Ben Hodges, former commander of the American army in Europe, in an interview with the Lithuanian TV and radio channel LRT.

🇱🇹Lithuania banned Russians from buying real estate, — Reuters
The ban, which will be in effect until 2024, will not apply to Russians who have received a residence permit in the country.

Natsku · 04/04/2023 15:03

Made the children watch the flag raising ceremony at NATO with me. Historic moment.

MissConductUS · 04/04/2023 16:28

Natsku · 04/04/2023 15:03

Made the children watch the flag raising ceremony at NATO with me. Historic moment.

💪🇫🇮CakeWine

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/04/2023 17:12

Congratulations @Natsku and any other Finns lurking =)

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 04/04/2023 17:15

Next US aid package!

Ukraine Invasion: Part 39
Greenshake · 04/04/2023 17:19

@Natsku 👏👏👏

MissConductUS · 04/04/2023 18:11

One immediate and overlooked benefit to Nato is full Finnish participation in Joint Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (JISR). Finland collects a lot of signals intelligence on the Russians that will soon be fully available to Nato military intelligence programs. This is one of many reasons the Russians are really unhappy about this.

Natsku · 04/04/2023 18:16

Yeah they really won't like nato having all that intelligence

Mb76 · 04/04/2023 20:53

Natsku · 04/04/2023 15:03

Made the children watch the flag raising ceremony at NATO with me. Historic moment.

Congratulations 🎉 👏🏻

MissConductUS · 04/04/2023 20:59

The Russian general officer who led the turkey shoot failed assault at Vuhledar has been sacked and replaced.

Top Russian Commander Fired After Failed Vuhledar Assault—Reports

General Muradov won an award for his leadership of Russian forces in Syria, where he was mainly attacking civilians. That's likely why he thought he could send tanks over open terrain against an enemy that commanded the high ground and had Nato anti-tank weapons and specialized artillery.

Silly Russian.

Members of a Ukrainian artillery unit

Top Russian commander fired after failed Vuhledar assault—reports

Colonel General Rustam Muradov had come under heavy criticism for Russia's failed attempt to seize the Ukrainian city of Vuhledar.

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-commander-fired-rustam-muradov-vuhledar-reports-1790890

Zuffe · 04/04/2023 23:50

Slightly odd picture. It looks too squat for an M109, but I guess it is some weird camera angle or the hull is in a dip somehow.

MissConductUS · 05/04/2023 01:51

I think it is dug in, and possibly has some field installed additional turret armor. The M109 makes sense. We've sent a bunch of the A6s.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 05/04/2023 10:54

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-4-2023

Key Takeaways

  • The Kremlin will likely attempt to coerce Belarus into further Union State integration when Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko meet in Moscow on April 5 and 6.
  • The Kremlin continues to attempt to employ nuclear threats to deter Western military aid provisions to Ukraine ahead of Ukraine’s planned counteroffensive.
  • Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s demonstrative response to the assassination of Russian milblogger Maxim Fomin indicates that Prigozhin likely believes that the attack was in part directed at himself.
  • The Kremlin continues to attempt to (falsely) reassure the Russian public that the war in Ukraine will not have significant long-term economic consequences.
  • The Kremlin is likely trying to shift more responsibility for growing Russian industry onto regional bodies to insulate itself from possible criticism about Russia’s deteriorating economic situation.
  • Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the Svatove-Kreminna line.
  • Russian forces continued offensive operations in and around Bakhmut, and along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City frontline.
  • Russian forces continue to prepare for a rumored pending Ukrainian counteroffensive in the southern direction.
  • Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu claimed that Russia’s ongoing spring conscription cycle is going according to plan, progressing as quickly as planned, and has completed initial military registration.
  • Russian occupation officials denied Ukrainian reports that Russian occupation authorities are preparing evacuation plans from occupied regions of Ukraine.
  • Belarusian state media claimed that the Belarusian State Security Committee (KGB) reportedly arrested two men under the suspicion of attempted terrorist attacks in Grodno.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 39
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 05/04/2023 11:10

Kyiv Independent Telegram

⚡️Shoigu claims Russia placed aircraft, missile systems (https://kyivindependent.com/shoigu-claims-russia-placed-aircraft-and-missile-complexes-in-belarus/)in Belarus capable of delivering nuclear strikes.

⚡️Ukrainian military downplays (https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-military-downplays-wagner-group-founders-claims-on-bakhmut/)Wagner Group claims on Bakhmut capture.
Military spokesperson Serhiy Cherevatyi downplayed Wagner mercenaries' claim of allegedly raising the Russian flag over Bakhmut city hall, noting the building has long been destroyed.
"Prigozhin probably goes to Bakhmut because it is not safe for him in St. Petersburg right now"

⚡️SBU: Moscow Patriarchate official blessed Russian soldiers (https://kyivindependent.com/sbu-moscow-patriarchate-official-blessed-russian-soldiers-during-occupation-of-kharkiv-oblast/)during occupation of Kharkiv Oblast.

⚡️Kamianets-Podilskyi Council bans (https://kyivindependent.com/sbu-moscow-patriarchate-official-blessed-russian-soldiers-during-occupation-of-kharkiv-oblast/) Moscow Patriarchate church, revokes land rights.

⚡️Official: 24,000 people on Ukraine’s list (https://kyivindependent.com/official-24-000-people-on-ukraines-list-of-russias-war-sponsors/) of Russia’s war sponsors.

⚡️PM Shmyhal: Ukraine needs (https://kyivindependent.com/pm-shmyhal-ukraine-needs-37-billion-for-humanitarian-demining/) $37 billion for humanitarian demining.

⚡️ Clinton regrets (https://kyivindependent.com/clinton-regrets-persuading-ukraine-to-denuclearize-in-1994/) persuading Ukraine to denuclearize in 1994.
“I feel a personal stake because I got them (Ukraine) to agree to give up their nuclear weapons. And none of them believe that Russia would have pulled this stunt if Ukraine still had their weapons,” Former U.S. President Bill Clinton said in an interview with RTÉ.

⚡️ Southern Command: Russia deploys (https://kyivindependent.com/southern-command-russia-deploys-additional-ships-to-black-sea/) additional ships to Black Sea.
Ukraine’s Southern Command said on April 4 that Russia deployed additional ships to the Black Sea. There are currently 15 ships, including six missile carriers.

⚡️The Guardian: Britain blocks UN webcast (https://kyivindependent.com/uk-blocks-un-webcast-featuring-russia-childrens-commissioner-wanted-on-war-crimes-charges/) featuring Russian children’s commissioner, subject to arrest warrant.

⚡️Erdogan: Current structure of UN Security Council 'unsustainable (kyivindependent.com/erdogan-current-structure-of-un-security-council-uns/).'
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has called for a reform of the UN Security Council's structure, saying that the current model is "unsustainable," Turkish state-run Anadolu Agency reported on April 5.

⚡️State Bureau of Investigation: Commander who beat subordinate can face up to 12 years in prison (https://kyivindependent.com/state-bureau-of-investigation-commander-who-beat-subordinate-can-face-up-to-12-years-in-prison/).

⚡️Russia has targeted Ukroboronprom facilities more than 150 times (https://kyivindependent.com/russia-targets-ukroboronprom-facilities-more-than-150-times-since-start-of-full-scale-invasion/) since start of full-scale invasion.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 39
ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 05/04/2023 11:22

UNITED24 Media Telegram

The flag of Finland was raised near the NATO headquarters in Brussels.

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen discussed preparations for the 11th package of sanctions against the Russian Federation.

⚡️ Norway joined the tenth package of EU sanctions — the country introduced mirror restrictions on Russia.

In Kramatorsk, 260 houses were flooded due to the breach of the dam

Jameson whiskey manufacturer returned to the Russian market, — Independent

🔻 Forced evacuation of children has been announced in 21 settlements in the Donetsk region, the Ministry of Reintegration reports.
A total of 126 children are planned to be resettled. [To be taken to the West out of the war zone, for safety reasons]

Donald Trump was arrested before the start of the trial in New York, CNN reports

Donald Trump has been charged with financial fraud in 34 episodes — CNN, citing sources.

The new president of Montenegro, Jakov Milatović, for first time his own attitude toward Russian aggression against Ukraine.
In an interview with AP, Milatović, in particular, noted that Montenegro will continue to comply with EU sanctions against Russia.

🇺🇸 Training of Ukrainians on American M1A1 Abrams tanks has not yet begun, but it will happen "relatively soon" — a high-ranking official of the US Ministry of Defense on condition of anonymity

The Armed Forces of Ukraine switch to the WGS-84 world coordinate system instead of the Soviet SK-42, which is accurate only for the territory of the former USSR
WGS-84 is a more accurate model commonly used by NATO countries.

The invitation of the Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs Dmytro Kuleba to the meeting of the heads of foreign affairs of NATO countries undermines the unity of the Alliance, Hungary will not support any integration of Ukraine until the return of rights to Transcarpathian Hungarians, – Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Economic Relations of Hungary Peter Sijarto

Athletes from Great Britain will not perform at the men's World Boxing Championship due to the participation of boxers from Russia in the tournament, the press service of the British Boxing Federation reported.
Earlier, the national teams of Ukraine, the USA, Ireland, the Czech Republic, Sweden, and Canada announced their decision to boycott the World Cup.

Russians in the occupied Zaporizhzhia region scare the population with "evacuation" to the Russian Federation and kidnap people

French President Macron arrived in China on an official visit
It is reported that the French leader intends during the conversation to involve China in accelerating the end of the war in Ukraine.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy has already met with Andrzej Duda in Warsaw.
The President and First Lady arrived at the Royal Castle in Warsaw. At 18:00, their joint conference is scheduled.

Against the backdrop of Western sanctions, the Chinese yuan has replaced the US dollar in Russia. For the first time, the yuan outperformed the dollar in monthly trading volume in February, and the difference became more pronounced in March.

ReleaseTheDucksOfWar · 05/04/2023 11:29

Live: Ukraine Telegram

🇱🇹 Lithuania offers EU sanctions option on Russian nuclear power that includes exceptions for Hungary and a two-year transition period for phasing out existing contracts - Reuters

Residents of Avdiivka refuse to leave the frontline city, which is constantly shelled by Russians, and hide their children from evacuation - Head of Avdiivka City Military Administration Vitaliy Barabash

Putin talks about import substitution of Western products using a Bosch microphone

Only now the Russians are completing the repair of the railway part of the Crimean bridge
It was blown up seven months ago.

Spain will hand over the six promised Leopard 2A4 tanks to Ukraine in the second half of April, Defense Minister Margarita Robles said. These tanks have been mothballed since the 90s and have been re-equipped.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 39
Ukraine Invasion: Part 39
MissConductUS · 05/04/2023 15:44

I never expected this - a Finnish vatnik and conspiracy theorist. Good job predicting that massive Russian winter offensive that never happened.

https://twitter.com/P_Kallioniemi/status/1643553793483718657

https://twitter.com/P_Kallioniemi/status/1643553793483718657

Natsku · 05/04/2023 16:04

We have our fair share of vatniks and conspiracy theorists, Finnish twitter is full of them.

notimagain · 05/04/2023 17:00

The Armed Forces of Ukraine switch to the WGS-84 world coordinate system instead of the Soviet SK-42, which is accurate only for the territory of the former USSR
WGS-84 is a more accurate model commonly used by NATO countries.

I know you are all desperate for the details....😬

Basically WGS-84 does a better job of mathematically replicating the real shape of the entire world verses earlier versions of WGS or other more localised systems which don't give as neat a fit.

Can be really important if you are trying for accuracies down to metre or less level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Geodetic_System

World Geodetic System - Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Geodetic_System

blueshoes · 05/04/2023 18:24

notimagain · 05/04/2023 17:00

The Armed Forces of Ukraine switch to the WGS-84 world coordinate system instead of the Soviet SK-42, which is accurate only for the territory of the former USSR
WGS-84 is a more accurate model commonly used by NATO countries.

I know you are all desperate for the details....😬

Basically WGS-84 does a better job of mathematically replicating the real shape of the entire world verses earlier versions of WGS or other more localised systems which don't give as neat a fit.

Can be really important if you are trying for accuracies down to metre or less level.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Geodetic_System

Notimagain, thanks for the explanation of WGS-84. Ukraine will need that level of precision to maximise the accuracy of their hits and conserve their precision-guided munitions.

MagicFox · 05/04/2023 18:25

A fire has broken out at the Russian MOD in Moscow

OP posts:
MagicFox · 05/04/2023 18:26

Here's the link: twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1643657773253525506?s=46&t=ZRiOqYBPJdwGCarjKNzCeQ

Doesn't look huge

OP posts:
DrBlackbird · 05/04/2023 18:38

Jameson whiskey manufacturer returned to the Russian market, — Independent

Off my list of gifts to buy my whiskey drinking friends.

Surplus2requirements · 05/04/2023 19:10

DrBlackbird · 05/04/2023 18:38

Jameson whiskey manufacturer returned to the Russian market, — Independent

Off my list of gifts to buy my whiskey drinking friends.

Bushmills Black Bush is far superior for the more discerning palate

Amispringy · 05/04/2023 19:28

DrBlackbird · 05/04/2023 18:38

Jameson whiskey manufacturer returned to the Russian market, — Independent

Off my list of gifts to buy my whiskey drinking friends.

Meh. Whisky is better Grin