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What will it take for the Government to enact welfare reform?

1000 replies

Schlossadler · 17/09/2026 16:00

What has to break, before the Government is finally willing to enact welfare reform?

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ThingsAreNotWhatTheyWere · 19/09/2026 12:19

Differentforgirls · 19/09/2026 11:58

Is this meant to be sarcasm?

I certainly hope so (but fear it isn't).

Anyone with this attitude is presumably confident in being safe from experiencing this Dickensian nightmare but would be wise to remember that most of us are only a step or two away from being thrown into the workhouse they seem rather keen to bring back.

Theseagullwhisperer · 19/09/2026 12:19

theyneverchangedothey · 19/09/2026 11:57

I agree. But ill thought out performative tax rises don’t work either. VAT on school fees? Additional taxes which have made being a private landlord financially unattractive, so now there is a shortage of supply and rocketing rents? Who would have thought it 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️

I agree with that too, and that’s why I am on the whole an advocate for cross-party, consensus driven politics. I think on both cuts and tax raises, pragmatism is key: will it ultimately cost more money than it saves through cost-shifting? Will a tax have unforeseen consequences? Economists like Dan Neidle are very strong on this, and in general I think governments should take more independent, research led advice.

If I could pin point a moment when I think the quality of our political discourse began to go downhill, I do think it would be Michael Gove saying, we’ve had enough of experts.

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:23

Theseagullwhisperer · 19/09/2026 12:13

There has been plenty of detailed, long-term research into just that, and the research shows that access to a Sure Start improved educational outcomes, reduced the number of 16-year-olds who received a criminal conviction, reduced hospital admissions and I’m sure much more. I think I read that for every £1 spent on Sure Start, the government saved £2 in reduced crisis intervention and healthcare costs. Cutting it is a perfect example of cost shifting. I’ll link to some of the studies below:

https://ifs.org.uk/articles/sure-start-achieved-its-aims-then-we-threw-it-away

https://ifs.org.uk/publications/effect-sure-start-youth-misbehaviour-crime-and-contacts-childrens-social-care

https://www.newstatesman.com/thestaggers/2023/02/replacing-lost-sure-start-centres-is-a-tacit-admission-of-austeritys-failure

This is what I mean when I say we need to be pragmatic - the government should think long term and make decisions on research and evidence.

What cuts do you think could happen and if none then it means spending more. We’ve run out of room for borrowing.

Theseagullwhisperer · 19/09/2026 12:26

Pineneedlesincarpet · 19/09/2026 11:31

I was replying to a PP who said I am not sure Sir Jim Ratcliffe should be held up as any type of political or economic visionary.

Whats your point? Because other successful people have different views to him that means he must be wrong? Or his views should not be taken seriously?

Plurality of views of successful people is a good thing. And if you are a master of your field (which he most certainly is) and vital to the health of the UK economy he should be listened to.

Fair enough - I suppose my point is he’s not an economist or a tax expert, so I don’t think his opinion is anymore valid than - for example Gary Stevenson’s - on this. But you’re right - a plurality of views amongst successful people is a good thing, and we shouldn’t make lazy assumptions that everyone within a given tax bracket will think the same.

Theseagullwhisperer · 19/09/2026 12:31

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:23

What cuts do you think could happen and if none then it means spending more. We’ve run out of room for borrowing.

I personally don’t know what cuts should happen, because I’m just some woman on Mumsnet, not an expert - and if the government were to listen to my under-informed, knee-jerk instincts, that’d probably be a mistake. I am confident though that the Timms report, for example, will find evidence-based suggestions for cuts which could be pragmatic and effective.

jobnotsure · 19/09/2026 12:32

Pineneedlesincarpet · 19/09/2026 11:59

Perhaps he also pays tax in other jurisdictions

Anyway that golden goose is heading off so he wont be there to tap for cash to pay for everyone else.

Edited

He has moved to a tax haven so very little if he does. Pays business tax but that’s only because he can’t avoid that!

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:33

Theseagullwhisperer · 19/09/2026 12:31

I personally don’t know what cuts should happen, because I’m just some woman on Mumsnet, not an expert - and if the government were to listen to my under-informed, knee-jerk instincts, that’d probably be a mistake. I am confident though that the Timms report, for example, will find evidence-based suggestions for cuts which could be pragmatic and effective.

Edited

I looked up Timms and what is the likely backlash and various disability charities came up as opposing. So I guess we’ll see what Labour MPs do.

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:33

TemperanceWest · 19/09/2026 09:10

Britain is truly broken

No it is isn't. That is Farage/Lowe speak. And you know it.

No, it’s broken - get out and have a look round.

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Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:35

jobnotsure · 19/09/2026 09:21

Ah yes the same Jim Ratcliffe who had to apologise for essentially sounding like a racist… not sure I want to take anything he says as gospel as he is at best clumsy with words or at worst he knew exactly what he doing and that is more sinister

You have happily accepted his tax and investment though, right?

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Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:37

This reply has been deleted

Message deleted by MNHQ. Here's a link to our Talk Guidelines.

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:38

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:35

You have happily accepted his tax and investment though, right?

That’s it. Why drive this out? Generally not just him. It’s madness.

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:39

Nearly £800m in child maintenance has gone unpaid since the CMS was created. It has extensive enforcement powers, but little apparent urgency about using them.

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Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:39

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:38

That’s it. Why drive this out? Generally not just him. It’s madness.

It’s utter stupidity - people should despair.

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TemperanceWest · 19/09/2026 12:40

Wrong thread!🤣

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:41

Is that supposed to shut us up, close us down?

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EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:43

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:39

It’s utter stupidity - people should despair.

Labour sowed this rhetoric for political gain. It’s ridiculous.

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:45

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:41

Is that supposed to shut us up, close us down?

As excited as people are it doesn’t mean more money is available. Probably less given it’s just tax hikes and borrowing spikes.

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:47

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:45

As excited as people are it doesn’t mean more money is available. Probably less given it’s just tax hikes and borrowing spikes.

Yep, let’s revisit the numbers after 28th October.

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GiaGia16 · 19/09/2026 12:49

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:33

I looked up Timms and what is the likely backlash and various disability charities came up as opposing. So I guess we’ll see what Labour MPs do.

Edited

Timms report most likely be a load of bureaucratic waffle

EasternStandard · 19/09/2026 12:53

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:47

Yep, let’s revisit the numbers after 28th October.

And we’ll see after winter. Even the last gov helped out with energy costs, Labour have no more borrowing available.

I expect some will stick no matter what. But it could get rocky.

jobnotsure · 19/09/2026 13:00

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 12:35

You have happily accepted his tax and investment though, right?

Interesting so you want to make more work for the tax office and increase administration costs by making them checking who says silly, arguably racists stuff and stop them from paying tax…that’s not my position, it maybe yours, but if that’s the case it’s not smart.

Mouldemort · 19/09/2026 13:01

We've also got all the usual nonsense on here about benefit fraud.

Estimated fraud and claimant error in the benefits system is between 1-3%, which is usually not reporting a change in circumstances.That's about £7bn.

This compares with uncollected tax at £59bn.

As for child benefit, the best and most successfully targetted measure to end child poverty is removing the child cap. Children are future citizens, and we want them to do well. The only way of doing this is to give their parents the money, however much this upsets people who think they are the "undeserving poor."

Careful analysis shows that child benefit is absolutely not a factor in people having extra children, and that most of the benefits these people get are in-work benefits. 40% of them have a disabled person in the family.

The other choice, to save a bit of money in the short term, is to let children stay in poverty to pwn the poor. Child poverty costs the UK £39bn a year, and this measure costs £3bn.

So, it lifts 450,000 kids out of poverty, costs £3bn, saves a lot more than that and yet people object to it.

Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 13:04

FT

Britain’s biggest taxpayer Fred Done has said he is “too old” to join the ranks of rich residents leaving the country, but he would not be able to dissuade his children from moving to more tax-friendly nations.

The 83-year-old billionaire founder of gambling group Betfred told the FT he would “not wish to be reborn” in the UK and there were better opportunities for his family elsewhere. “They keep saying those with the broadest shoulders should be paying more tax. Well, how broad do my shoulders have to be? We paid £400mn in taxes as a family last year,” he said.

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Schlossadler · 19/09/2026 13:05

jobnotsure · 19/09/2026 13:00

Interesting so you want to make more work for the tax office and increase administration costs by making them checking who says silly, arguably racists stuff and stop them from paying tax…that’s not my position, it maybe yours, but if that’s the case it’s not smart.

WTF are you talking about, genuinely.

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GiaGia16 · 19/09/2026 13:07

Mouldemort · 19/09/2026 13:01

We've also got all the usual nonsense on here about benefit fraud.

Estimated fraud and claimant error in the benefits system is between 1-3%, which is usually not reporting a change in circumstances.That's about £7bn.

This compares with uncollected tax at £59bn.

As for child benefit, the best and most successfully targetted measure to end child poverty is removing the child cap. Children are future citizens, and we want them to do well. The only way of doing this is to give their parents the money, however much this upsets people who think they are the "undeserving poor."

Careful analysis shows that child benefit is absolutely not a factor in people having extra children, and that most of the benefits these people get are in-work benefits. 40% of them have a disabled person in the family.

The other choice, to save a bit of money in the short term, is to let children stay in poverty to pwn the poor. Child poverty costs the UK £39bn a year, and this measure costs £3bn.

So, it lifts 450,000 kids out of poverty, costs £3bn, saves a lot more than that and yet people object to it.

The cap that has recently been lifted is nothing to do with child benefit, it’s the child element of universal credit. If you have multiple children and are on universal credit it can increase benefits considerably.

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