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Related: Lockdown Learning, discuss home schooling during lockdown.

What are the chances of lockdown this Christmas?
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43leftfeet · 05/12/2021 23:19

I've been away this weekend (UK, but I've been distracted and not following the news).

I see there's been talk of Johnson announcing a "ban on Christmas" possibly, around the 17th - or not, depending on what happens with Omicron - is that about right?

I know we can't know yet what's going to happen, but what are people's feelings?

What do you think the restrictions, if any, are likely to be in England & Wales & in Scotland?

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siestalady · 05/12/2021 23:28

I doubt they will lock down as I think people will pay very little attention to it (and they know that)

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fedup65356 · 05/12/2021 23:30

It's around New Year they're more likely to bring in more restrictions but probably not a full lockdown.

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userxx · 05/12/2021 23:32

No, there won't be a lockdown over Xmas. Enjoy it!

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Northsoutheastwest76 · 05/12/2021 23:34

I can't see there being a Lockdown tbh.

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AnyFucker · 05/12/2021 23:35

What are the chances of anyone complying even if the govt tried to impose a lockdown this Xmas ?

Negligible, I would say

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MissPeregrine · 05/12/2021 23:35

I really can’t imagine there will be a similar scenario as last year, the bumbling about and dithering and then the ‘sorry, Christmas is cancelled’, at the last minute…then again, until we know more about this pesky new variant who knows!

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43leftfeet · 05/12/2021 23:39

@userxx

No, there won't be a lockdown over Xmas. Enjoy it!

We're meant to be visiting relatives who won't want us coming if the government says not to travel.
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PastMyBestBeforeDate · 05/12/2021 23:41

Practically nil, especially while they're being pushed on Christmas parties last year at No. 10

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noblegiraffe · 05/12/2021 23:42

@AnyFucker

What are the chances of anyone complying even if the govt tried to impose a lockdown this Xmas ?

Negligible, I would say

I do wonder if that is why someone has been stirring things up with reports of Downing Street parties last Christmas.

They'll have sat on that info for a long time. The story isn't obviously targeted at Johnson so I reckon it's someone who wants to kill any possible idea of restrictions with non-compliance.
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Skysblue · 05/12/2021 23:43

No, cos Boris wants his xmas party and he’s already had covid so isn’t bothered. Xmas will be normal.

It’ll probably be in late Jan or Feb for lockdown, once the hospitals are really struggling.

Such a shame Boris cancelled the order of the vaccine that works against the whole virus not just the spike, given we now have a virus with a very mutated spike. Slow handclap for Boris… 🤦‍♀️

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ShiftingSands21 · 05/12/2021 23:44

Lockdown no but I think there could well be more restrictions, depending on the trajectory. I feel like our office party won’t be happening.

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FindingMeno · 05/12/2021 23:44

I very much doubt we will go into another lockdown unless omi whatever its called proves to be a really serious bugger.
I very much doubt people would do it anyway.

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Judystilldreamsofhorses · 05/12/2021 23:46

I read the same thing about the 17th being decision day - but I read it more as increased restrictions rather than a lockdown. I would imagine similar to Ireland if anything.

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43leftfeet · 06/12/2021 00:04

@Judystilldreamsofhorses

I read the same thing about the 17th being decision day - but I read it more as increased restrictions rather than a lockdown. I would imagine similar to Ireland if anything.

What's the situation in Ireland?
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milly74 · 06/12/2021 00:13

It won't be Christmas but I strongly feel there will be a "lockdown lite" in New Year with return of wfh etc

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julieca · 06/12/2021 00:13

Cases are expected to soar in mid to late January. I suspect more restrictions on 17th Dec would reduce that, but unlikely to happen. I suspect things will carry on until by late January/early Feb the hospitals are getting overwhelmed and schools are closing because of the amount of ill staff.

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PrincessNutNuts · 06/12/2021 01:39

When they brought in masks on public transport and in shops in November the three week review was scheduled for December 18th.

Parliament has to vote in favour of them again I think. Or they expire on the 20th.

If Omicron cases are at about 246 today and they do double twice a week then that will put them about 1968 at that point, which won't worry anybody. (Even though it probably should because that's only 6 doublings/3 weeks from some really big numbers if the trend were to continue.)

What are the chances of lockdown this Christmas?
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forallthetea · 06/12/2021 01:54

I could see a 'circuit breaker' for 2 weeks at the start of January.

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XenoBitch · 06/12/2021 02:11

They can announce it, but I doubt many would follow it. Me included.

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FanGirlX · 06/12/2021 02:12

Some kind of circuit breaker in early / mid Jan. if that doesn't work then lockdown light for a few months.

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IndigoC · 06/12/2021 02:28

Entirely dependent on the severity of illness Omicron causes IMO. Looks likely to be milder and if so I think they’ll refrain from much beyond what we have.

But if it’s at the same level of severity as Delta + crazy high transmission, I can see another lockdown. Or perhaps if it turns out to be dangerous for under 5s etc.

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Userevermore · 06/12/2021 04:11

If there is one it will be in January, possibly just before New Year. Possibly more restrictions on hospitality before Christmas.

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WanderingFruitWonderer · 06/12/2021 04:22

I also think a January lockdown, or lockdown ish, is much more likely than a Christmas one...

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Userevermore · 06/12/2021 04:34

Plan B after Christmas so WFH and vaccine passports, quite likely I suspect, probably to start after the Christmas break and for NYE

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