Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date Link broken?
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
MSAO Map of English cases Link broken?
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read://https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

‘It may be necessary to greatly accelerate vaccine roll-out to have an appreciable impact in suppressing the resulting disease burden.’

I feel I’m reading an understatement here. Yes it may well be! Come in Ox / Az

Sorry, brain not yet woken up! More coffee needed.

@FeelingBIue

Have the heat maps disappeared? I can't seem to find them today.

Age heat maps are back for cases -and a new one for deaths too for England regions

The death rate is twice as high in the North vs the South East. Thoroughly depressing

Unfortunately higher deaths always follow higher cases, but there is an appreciable lag time as the virus works its way through to older populations.

The death rate closely follows the cases rate for over 60s.

If you look at the attached two charts for the case rate for over 60’s
First one is the North West, where the over 60’s rate follows the overall rate closely, and was over 300/100,000 for a long time in October/November.
Second one is for the South East and the increase is much steeper in the below 60s (so far - let’s hope it stays that way).
So the difference in death rates makes sense

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/

New link for tracking vaccinations

@TheDinosaurTrain

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/

New link for tracking vaccinations

They could not have come up with an even less helpful format.

@TheDinosaurTrain

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/

New link for tracking vaccinations

Thanks for the link Dinosaur.

Sunshine - I found it informative. What do you want - a breakdown by astrological star sign of every person vaccinated? A breakdown by local area so MNetters can nit-pick about who got what and the unfairness of it because their 89 year old mother hasn't been invited yet even though they're CEV and their paramedic mate says they're throwing it away in London?

521k England only.

That's a really good start.

Nearly 1% of the population have had a vaccine that works really well after 1 dose

Nearly 1% of the population have had a vaccine that works really well after 1 dose

Do we know percentage of over 60's / 70's etc, as ceeveebee said above the death rate is correlated with that, and it would be useful to see the implied rate of really susceptible people.

To be fair, a regional breakdown might help people to realise that some tier 4 areas are nowhere near at rolling out vaccine stage. latest estimate 11 Jan in my borough for first vaccinations. Not sure why but we do always seem behind the curve.

It says that 70% of the vaccines were given to those over 80 years old - which is great!

@FeelingBIue
I would have liked to see an infographic where without having to read sentences I could see:

• number of vaccines in the country
• number of vaccinations given - potentially by nations and potentially %of vaccines used up
• age/occupation would be nice.

I#d also like to see the plans: when is the next shipment for example, but that is taking it too far I know.

Presenting information in an easily digestible format that journos cannot interpret as they like is key. But so far all gov comms were shitty. This one is no different.

I'm happy to have at least this info, but let's not pretend that it's wow. The bar is so low, that if we are drip fed anything we are actually happy. :(

@Piggyinblankets

To be fair, a regional breakdown might help people to realise that some tier 4 areas are nowhere near at rolling out vaccine stage. latest estimate 11 Jan in my borough for first vaccinations. Not sure why but we do always seem behind the curve.

Look on the bright side: you have a date. I couldn't find one for ours.

TheSun do you have examples of any other countries and how they present their info?

I've got to admit i really have only been looking at the UK so don't know how others do it.

I think with this one, they will probably approve it over time.

This is a last minute thing and probably it was a case of just get the basic info promised out there.

I am not necessarily sure we need all the info you require though.

Knowing that people are being vaccinated on schedule is all the info I really want.

Lots of over-80s are getting their first vaccine dose this week, in my area. About 80% of the 80+ population I think. But it won't be given to other age groups until all the 80+ are done, as I understand it.

I don't think that age group are contributing much to the existing spread though, so I can't see any change in case rates due to that for some time...

improve

@Wakeupin2022
Remind me in a few days and I'll dig out other examples. I've seen really good ones over the past few months. I remember some EU countries and some asian ones being clear, concise and informative. But no links. And today is christmas (I'm from mainland europe) so I'm off finish off early dinner and wrap presents :)

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE!

Our town council just announced they would start vaccinating the over 80s first week in Jan. Don’t know why we are later than other areas.

TheSun and everyone else - Merry Christmas!

@TheSunIsStillShining you might get at least some of your wish later today
I follow the Twitter accounts for the software engineer who owns the dashboard (twitter.com/Pouriaaa) and the head of phe stats ( twitter.com/statsgeekclare) and the say the vaccine data will be on the dashboard as from today
twitter.com/statsgeekclare/status/1342053059258679297?s=21

Not sure of the credibility of the source of that date sun!

TheSunIsStillShining - Do you live in mainland Europe, or are you just visiting?

[quote TheSunIsStillShining]@Wakeupin2022
Remind me in a few days and I'll dig out other examples. I've seen really good ones over the past few months. I remember some EU countries and some asian ones being clear, concise and informative. But no links. And today is christmas (I'm from mainland europe) so I'm off finish off early dinner and wrap presents :)

MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE! [/quote]
I’d love to see this too Sun. it would be great to follow other countries vaccination programs. What country are you from / based in?
Ireland starts 27th Dec I think.