Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date Link broken?
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
MSAO Map of English cases Link broken?
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read://https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Just wanted to say merry Christmas to everyone. I hope you all have a happy, healthy and peaceful day. And thank you for all the support this year. I am taking two days off so there will be no updates to the table on the homepage of COVID messenger until Dec 27th. All the best and stay safe this Christmas. H x

Thank you littleowl1 - I have followed your service from the start, it’s very helpful.
Merry Christmas everyone, may it be relaxing and healthy

Hopefully not something necessary for anyone on here to know, but presumably test centres are still open tomorrow?

Thanks littleowl1 and to you.

Thanks for all your work this year.

Yes, Thank you, @littleowl1 really appreciate all the work.

And Merry Christmas to all!

39,036 cases, 574 deaths.

That number will be short around 20 deaths and 600 cases due to Northern Ireland not reporting today.

Looks like Swale and Thanet, the two local authorities at the centre of Kent outbreak, may be plateauing or even going down. The numbers are still high but the exponential growth might have stopped.

London healthcare numbers look grim - 505 admissions reported on Dec 21.

@DecemberStar

Hopefully not something necessary for anyone on here to know, but presumably test centres are still open tomorrow?

Yes, I know someone who is working at one tomorrow

Surveillance report:

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/947873/Weekly_COVID-19_and_Influenza_Surveillance_Graphs_w52.pdf

Higher onward transmission in primary?

DecemberStar yes, open in our area. Luckily one within ten miles as DH having to isolate.

Sorry to anyone having to avail themselves of T@T over Christmas!

Not looking good for primary schools either.

That's what I thought

The numbers dont suggest much more transmissible on surveillance for schools. Looks more like gradual increase from sept with drop from lockdown but back up again now.

@Witchend

Yes, Thank you, *@littleowl1* really appreciate all the work.

And Merry Christmas to all!

Yes, thank you LittleOwl. Yours is the first email my husband reads in the morning and he usually brings me a cup of coffee in bed and tells me in detail how cases are doing in all family areas.🙂

My DS has just been offered the vaccine, we both work for the same NHS trust, he is 27 and asthmatic and I am 56 and high BMI so I am guessing he being male and asthmatic is higher risk, both of us work in non patient facing roles.

@Jenasaurus that's great news. I have the impression from friends who work in the NHS that sept are given an amount of tests and asked to allocate.

So I don't think anyone will have compared you to your son as such- it's just that he's in the top X% of vulnerable people in his department.

Hope that makes sense!

I see, that makes sense, I do worry though as he has had an anaphalatic shock episode, when he had nuts and other allergys, lactose intolernant etc

@Keepdistance - look at slide 35; the secondary rises in London, SE and East are being hidden by drops elsewhere. 10% of all primary school outbreaks being in the past week is pretty startling too, no? Even moreso when you realise many schools weren't open for some or all of that week.

@Jenasaurus - I thought the advice with allergies was not to take Pfizer (maybe wait for Oxford)? He should discuss it with the people administering the vaccine.

Anyway, happy Christmas everyone x
I shall aim not to think about covid all day tomorrow so shouldn't be posting!!

@MRex

That slide (35) is very interesting. Look how years 11-13 have dropped off, and compared to primary increasing.

If it was just years 12/13 decreased, some of the 6th form colleges shut a week early round here, which could effect that.
It's possible schools have kept year 11-13 in at times when they sent others home until they really couldn't any more.

However it does look like this is at least transmittable more at primary age from the figures here.

@witchend - Years 12-13 were probably most affected by the wider lockdown restrictions (pubs, coffee shops, etc closed) than younger children, who don't tend to have so much social contact outside school.