Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#table
School statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
Modelling real number of UK infections February to date Link broken?
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
MSAO Map of English cases Link broken?
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
NI Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read://https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@littlestpogo thanks I believe it know an ICU nurse T4 not been vaccinated yet 🤦🏽‍♀️. I think to assume the Oxford Vaccine will flow seemlessly forward on demand across U.K. as required is perhaps optimistic. It will obviously have less supply issues than Pfizer though.

Apologies for not concentrating and for being slow on understanding ,but can someone run through the caught covid just before being vaccinated scenario ?

Do we need a campaign to remind people to continue to SD after they've been vaccinated ?

And is the Oxford vaccination only one dose ?

Gove just said he “hoped” schools would open to y11 and 13 next week.

And so it begins ....

Apparently there’s some govt meeting today to make a decision about schools. Sounds like Gove is sowing the seeds of expectation before an official announcement.

I’ve got to organise a blood test at my surgery. I’ll be telling the nurse I live 2 mins away and available any time and a fast runner should they have spare appts they wish to fill 😁

@littlestpogo last email about vaccines my trust sent out was a week ago, and was basically "Don't bug us - we'll let you know when you can book an appointment". So I reckon that Guardian article is accurate, to my experience.

I have worked with patients all the way through. I am finding these few weeks really hard. It's one thing to work when you know all the precautions that can be taken are being taken; it feels very different to keep turning up when there's a vaccine available but not yet to you. It's leaving me feeling sick inside, to be honest.

Plus I'm in a tier 4 area. Cases are skyrocketing (@littleowl1 - thank you for the emails) and it's going through my colleagues like a dose of salts. It really does feel like this thing is closing in on me and I'm finding it hard not to feel angry and frustrated that the vaccine is not yet available to me.

Basically want to pull the duvet over my head til spring.

@peridito. It takes about 12 days for your body to produce antibodies in response to vaccination so you can catch Covid in that first week or two after vaccination. Yes I think they do need to do a better job of making people know that - DSD went to see her BF's grandparents the other day who'd just had the vaccine and said they seemed to have no idea that they weren't yet protected (and wanted hugs, which were withheld )

And yes the Oxford vaccine uses two doses. I think all the vaccines do.

@peridito

Apologies for not concentrating and for being slow on understanding ,but can someone run through the caught covid just before being vaccinated scenario ?

Do we need a campaign to remind people to continue to SD after they've been vaccinated ?

And is the Oxford vaccination only one dose ?

Oxford is two doses (I've not heard of any that aren't). Measures are probably going to have to stay in place until pretty much every willing adult has been done as the vaccines don't block transmission.

@peridito I’m not medically qualified but have been following the UAE advice out of interest. They specifically state people should not be vaccinated for 3 months after Covid. Then again it seems America is vaccinating pregnant women whereas in U.K. they’re not so obviously advice differs. Oxford is two doses and yes there needs to be a campaign re continuing to mask/distance post vaccination until there’s more known about transmission post vaccination etc.

They specifically state people should not be vaccinated for 3 months after Covid

.mmm ,but if you were asymptomatic or had it very mildly ,you might not know whether you'd had it .Surely not an option to test all for antibodies before having a vaccination is it ?

Thank you v much Firefliess and QueenStromba. It's all so fraught ,complex .

You are very welcome littleowl.

JHB is a vile woman.

It might just be sensible not to bother vaccinating people who've had Covid recently ahead of others maybe? They'd be very unlikely to catch it again in the next few months so should wait til others who are at higher risk have had the jab

@peridito no although I guess it catches those who’ve had a positive test. Each country is doing it slightly differently. UAE are giving pregnancy tests before vaccinating women for example.

But that's not what they're doing in the UK btw - people who've had Covid are being vaccinated just like everyone else and they're not testing for antibodies first

I thought it was because the vaccines haven’t been tested on people who’ve had Covid, although a few did end up in trials apparently. That was my understanding as to why although it also makes sense to avoid wasting vaccine on the naturally immune initially.

@Motorina @littlestpogo

You are very welcome!

[quote Piggyinblankets]I have come across a few tedious pseudo statisticians on here lately parroting the Great Barrington Declaration, or their mouthpiece, Julia Hartley Brewer. This article provides most of the rebuttal:

www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/coronavirus-disinformation_uk_5fe848f7c5b6e1ce833a20de?fbclid=IwAR2mjxkz4E7O6Sviu0fIemdirN5_BFylz0mNR0o2DfMfdes34fojc-Xa1nA[/quote]
Thanks for posting this, Piggy. I've seen increasing amounts of posts talking about the 377 who matter and my blood is running colder by the day at the attitude to the old and sick (or even the young and just a little bit sick.) This is a helpful article. JHB seems to relish spreading misinformation and Twitter is riddled with it.

I’ve worked with JHB and she was so easy and charming . This was a long time ago but I liked her very much. She’s either a psychopath or a has a career fake persona !

I think she is just appealing to the people who already think this is a fuss about nothing. Plenty out there and we just have to carry on and let them have their little theories and ignore . I doubt she has converted anyone.

This was in the Daily Mail. Does anyone know where the figures are from?

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9092177/Only-primary-school-children-students-Year-11-13-return-classrooms-week.html

A mass testing study in England's schools revealed that one in every 79 people tested positive in November, without knowing they were infected.

The Office for National Statistics data showed 1.24 per cent of pupils and 1.29 per cent of staff went in because they did not know they had the virus.

Infection rates were highest in secondary schools, and tests in the worst-affected areas of the country found around one in every 67 tested positive.

Talking about vaccination rates, am I right in thinking whilst the Pfizer jab has potential for a reaction and therefore people need to be observed for 15 minutes the Oxford jab doesn’t. So once approved we will be able to give the Oxford jab at the rates flu jab is given ie 20 to 30 per hour and just send people on their way afterwards.

I'm out at the mo but the thread is almost full, is anyone else able to set up a new one please?

When I set this one up I had to do it on the computer & copied the links.

@SnowmanDrinkingSnowballs

Talking about vaccination rates, am I right in thinking whilst the Pfizer jab has potential for a reaction and therefore people need to be observed for 15 minutes the Oxford jab doesn’t. So once approved we will be able to give the Oxford jab at the rates flu jab is given ie 20 to 30 per hour and just send people on their way afterwards.

the 15 min observing is/should be standard for any vaccination.

but it's specially highlighted for the pfizer vax due to the observed cases of allergic reactions.