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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

AIBU to think Andy Burnham might call a general election soon?

664 replies

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 00:56

To think Andy Burnham will call a general election before Christmas? Yes it would be a massive roll of the dice but,

Reform - don't have the numbers for a GE and there's all frog faces suspicious money bringing him a lot of heat.

Torys - kemi doesn't have a lot of depth, I feel and she hasn't changed much in the polls. She's good at the dispatch box but let's face it anyone could stand up and insult the other side.

By calling a GE Andy would have his own mandate and break the deadlock of the back benchers.

Not being unreasonable = he needs to call a GE

Your being unreasonable = Robotic Kier and Ratchet Reeves have gone and Andy just needs to get on with it now.

OP posts:
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CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:13

ThingsAreNotWhatTheyWere · 20/07/2026 16:11

Well, she has a point. I grew up as a girl under Margaret Thatcher, and love her or loathe her, it was never a question in my mind that a woman couldn't be prime minister, if she had the ambition or aptitude for it!

Totally, but the aptitude part is crucial, of course.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:15

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:11

I think you’re focusing too much on the opposition calling for an election. I’m talking about the broader criticism via SM which benefited Labour. Supporters were happy to use it and now don’t like it back.

I'm focusing on what you said, which is that Labour set the scene. Whether you mean people actually known to be Labour members, activists and MPs or people who said things you didn't like on MN, they were not setting the scene because they didn't have the power and nor were they doing anything new.

There's nothing wrong with slagging Labour people off for being hypocrites now whilst not trying to pretend there's anything new about it. You overshot.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:19

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:15

I'm focusing on what you said, which is that Labour set the scene. Whether you mean people actually known to be Labour members, activists and MPs or people who said things you didn't like on MN, they were not setting the scene because they didn't have the power and nor were they doing anything new.

There's nothing wrong with slagging Labour people off for being hypocrites now whilst not trying to pretend there's anything new about it. You overshot.

Your hyper focus hasn’t changed anything which is Labour are now upset the social media they used is now coming back at them.

By Labour I mean those that support them and believe in that party. There’s been a few stop using SM in this way posts. Which obviously won’t happen but is also incredibly hypocritical.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:21

Burnham is swinging left, just watch.

🍿

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:23

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:13

The past centre right lot seem to have gone all People's Front of Judea. I know Reform wouldn't have won Makerfield anyway, but it did surprise me that Restore decided to contest it when it couldn't be ruled out that vote splitting would hand the seat to Burnham. It was quite a contrast to the Workers Party explicitly standing aside in favour of the Greens in Gorton and Denton.

Lowe is interesting because he's a fanatic and therefore uncompromising. He doesn't see Reform as a better bet than any one else, because unless they're all in with his ideology they are not an an ally.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:24

UK 30-year yields 5.74% - up 1.6% intraday.
(For context, during the Truss mini-budget, they hit 5%)

Not looking good for Andy.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:25

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:21

Burnham is swinging left, just watch.

🍿

As long as he leaves my private pension alone 😆 🤣

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:26

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:25

As long as he leaves my private pension alone 😆 🤣

🍌isn’t it?

I might suggest shorting the UK house builders, although that ship has already sailed.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:27

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:19

Your hyper focus hasn’t changed anything which is Labour are now upset the social media they used is now coming back at them.

By Labour I mean those that support them and believe in that party. There’s been a few stop using SM in this way posts. Which obviously won’t happen but is also incredibly hypocritical.

But the first paragraph was agreed way back. We both know that's true. It's just that only one of us was daft enough to make any kind of suggestion that it was a thing Labour specifically had ushered in.

There isn't any definition of Labour that will make that true. Because people who obviously aren't Labour were both calling for GEs when PMs changed and using social media for political purposes well before Labour last administration. No British opposition has the kind of influence you attributed to them once you decided you were talking about social media.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:28

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:23

Lowe is interesting because he's a fanatic and therefore uncompromising. He doesn't see Reform as a better bet than any one else, because unless they're all in with his ideology they are not an an ally.

Interesting in a bad way!

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:31

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:28

Interesting in a bad way!

Absolutely.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:34

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:27

But the first paragraph was agreed way back. We both know that's true. It's just that only one of us was daft enough to make any kind of suggestion that it was a thing Labour specifically had ushered in.

There isn't any definition of Labour that will make that true. Because people who obviously aren't Labour were both calling for GEs when PMs changed and using social media for political purposes well before Labour last administration. No British opposition has the kind of influence you attributed to them once you decided you were talking about social media.

Labour as in all of you supporting them. Geez it’s really not this hard. The poster I responded to was annoyed hounding went on and said it had to stop.

From partygate onwards Labour (including Labourites) leant in / created / used whatever you want to hound the last gov. You now don’t like it.

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 16:34

@BIossomtoes I agree. Nigel has buckled until scrutiny at top level. Will there be a Reform come the next election? And if so will they have enough candidates to stand? Because at the moment they are no where near.

OP posts:
CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:37

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:34

Labour as in all of you supporting them. Geez it’s really not this hard. The poster I responded to was annoyed hounding went on and said it had to stop.

From partygate onwards Labour (including Labourites) leant in / created / used whatever you want to hound the last gov. You now don’t like it.

The double standards is breathtaking.

We know they’re having a bad day, but really.

luckylavender · 20/07/2026 16:37

RodneyKitten · 20/07/2026 15:55

They most definitely do, you just need some lateral thinking to see it.

Trust me they don't. Not at this stage when he wasn't even sworn until after the final.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:39

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 16:34

@BIossomtoes I agree. Nigel has buckled until scrutiny at top level. Will there be a Reform come the next election? And if so will they have enough candidates to stand? Because at the moment they are no where near.

If you subscribe to there not being an early GE, then logically you have to grant the Conservatives the same three years - hard to see anyone other than Kemi picking up the majority of disenfranchised Reform voters.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:40

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:37

The double standards is breathtaking.

We know they’re having a bad day, but really.

Ikr it is a bad day for them, but still.

BIossomtoes · 20/07/2026 16:40

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:37

The double standards is breathtaking.

We know they’re having a bad day, but really.

On the contrary. I for one am having an absolutely fabulous day. A new PM who gives me hope, filled with enthusiasm and rolling up his sleeves. Quite honestly it’s the best day I’ve had for a looooong time.

Walkden · 20/07/2026 16:42

Why would ab risk the absolutely massive majority he has in parliament?

Conservatives hung on for dear life when they were playing musical chairs with prime ministers . Labour will do the same!

KatiePricesKnickers · 20/07/2026 16:43

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:25

As long as he leaves my private pension alone 😆 🤣

That’ll be invested in Thames Water before you know it, or in the Gaza rebuilding fund.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:47

Starmer, Reeves, Lammy, Hermer, Kendall.

A straight flush.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:48

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:34

Labour as in all of you supporting them. Geez it’s really not this hard. The poster I responded to was annoyed hounding went on and said it had to stop.

From partygate onwards Labour (including Labourites) leant in / created / used whatever you want to hound the last gov. You now don’t like it.

Once again, don't include me in the 'you' of Labour supporters. I am a floating voter and you don't know who I've most recently chosen for what. You are not going to do the you only disagree with something stupid I've said because you're a Labour supporter routine here. @CagneyLacey just want to highlight this bit to you as well.

And either way, Labour didn't set the scene. The only way this could be true is if you included people who are literally MPs and activists for other movements in 'Labour' which is obviously batshit. They simply didn't have that level of influence.

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 16:48

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:39

If you subscribe to there not being an early GE, then logically you have to grant the Conservatives the same three years - hard to see anyone other than Kemi picking up the majority of disenfranchised Reform voters.

I'm not convinced on that point. If Andy can make a stronger case for Labour who knows they could swing it. Stranger things have happened. I also think two party politics have had their day Kemi is a strong speaker but nothing much else to convince me to vote for her. One things for sure we are in a completely new era of politics. Very interesting.

OP posts:
CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:48

If this is the best day for a long time - I think that’s a savage indictment on the last two years….

LOL.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:50

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:48

If this is the best day for a long time - I think that’s a savage indictment on the last two years….

LOL.

His cabinet plans are taking a rethink. He's running two hours behind. Not a good start. Rayner can't wait to skip down the street though. That will be sickening.