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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

AIBU to think Andy Burnham might call a general election soon?

664 replies

Mywishistoclimbthe3peaks · 20/07/2026 00:56

To think Andy Burnham will call a general election before Christmas? Yes it would be a massive roll of the dice but,

Reform - don't have the numbers for a GE and there's all frog faces suspicious money bringing him a lot of heat.

Torys - kemi doesn't have a lot of depth, I feel and she hasn't changed much in the polls. She's good at the dispatch box but let's face it anyone could stand up and insult the other side.

By calling a GE Andy would have his own mandate and break the deadlock of the back benchers.

Not being unreasonable = he needs to call a GE

Your being unreasonable = Robotic Kier and Ratchet Reeves have gone and Andy just needs to get on with it now.

OP posts:
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RodneyKitten · 20/07/2026 15:55

luckylavender · 20/07/2026 15:38

These two things have nothing to do with each other.

They most definitely do, you just need some lateral thinking to see it.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 15:56

No surprise Lammy's gone.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 15:56

5128gap · 20/07/2026 15:50

No, I think Reform peaked and its all down from now. They've convinced everyone they are likely to already and its not enough. If the public aren't satisfied with Burnham it'll be the Tories again.

Also my guess. The difficulty Reform have is there's as yet no evidence of widespread tactical voting in their part of the right. That's not to say it couldn't start happening in the next 3 years, but equally there's no guarantee they'd be the ones who'd benefit if it did.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 15:59

5128gap · 20/07/2026 15:50

No, I think Reform peaked and its all down from now. They've convinced everyone they are likely to already and its not enough. If the public aren't satisfied with Burnham it'll be the Tories again.

You say that, and you may well be right.

You can over intellectualise politics however, and Reform’s core voters could prove sticky. If a significant number are willing to hold their noses, what does that say about the level of Labours (un)popularity?

That would prove pretty telling.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:00

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 15:56

No surprise Lammy's gone.

Does he know where he’s gone? He has a habit of losing people, after all.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:01

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:00

Does he know where he’s gone? He has a habit of losing people, after all.

Will you stop it 😆 🤣

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:02

Reeves has gone.

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:02

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 15:56

Also my guess. The difficulty Reform have is there's as yet no evidence of widespread tactical voting in their part of the right. That's not to say it couldn't start happening in the next 3 years, but equally there's no guarantee they'd be the ones who'd benefit if it did.

This is true. Other than by their supporters, Reform are loathed and seen as the worst possible option. Not just around their policies, but also because they're inexperienced, incompetent and a bunch of wrong uns. I think tactical voting will only be used to harm not benefit Reform.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:03

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 15:54

If one broadens out 'setting the scene' beyond any actual meaning of setting the scene then sure, yes. However, words have meanings and you don't get to move the goalposts.

It's evident that what you actually meant was Labour were doing the same thing in opposition as various Tories are now. That's true, but it doesn't mean they set the scene. Opposition calling for GEs and social media mushrooming both existed long before Labour last administration. As well as the issue you have with definition, you also ignore the massive, Musk shaped influence on the social media landscape.

Context shouldn’t make it this difficult for you. I didn’t think it was that hard to get given I cited mn and btl media which are clearly not the Labour party.

And you’re missing the huge amounts of criticism aimed at the last gov including on here. You’re getting similar now and don’t like it. But thought it ok then. Reap what you sow etc

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:05

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:02

Reeves has gone.

Oh wow. I mean ik it was coming but still to see it in writing.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:05

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:01

Will you stop it 😆 🤣

Sorry….

I’m just a little cheerier today….

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:06

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:05

Oh wow. I mean ik it was coming but still to see it in writing.

She's expressed no interest in further roles.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:06

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:05

Oh wow. I mean ik it was coming but still to see it in writing.

To every young woman and girl let my time in office show there should be no ceilings on your ambitions, your hopes or your dreams.

JFC, does this person have one ounce of self-awareness???

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:06

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:05

Sorry….

I’m just a little cheerier today….

No you carry on !

rivalsbinge · 20/07/2026 16:06

It will be like brexit if he does and won’t go the way he thinks.

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:07

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 15:59

You say that, and you may well be right.

You can over intellectualise politics however, and Reform’s core voters could prove sticky. If a significant number are willing to hold their noses, what does that say about the level of Labours (un)popularity?

That would prove pretty telling.

You mean if significant numbers of Reform voters will hold their noses and vote Tory to keep Labour out? Yes, I think that's quite possible. Less likely the other way round though perhaps. As Conservatives seem as deeply troubled by the incompetence and criminality of Reform as everyone else. Sometimes it goes beyond ideological distance and people look at things like the mess Reform are making in the councils. The arrests. The links with extremists. The fraud. Conservative voters don't want these things.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:07

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:06

She's expressed no interest in further roles.

No further roles have expressed interest in Reeves.

There, fixed it.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:09

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:03

Context shouldn’t make it this difficult for you. I didn’t think it was that hard to get given I cited mn and btl media which are clearly not the Labour party.

And you’re missing the huge amounts of criticism aimed at the last gov including on here. You’re getting similar now and don’t like it. But thought it ok then. Reap what you sow etc

You're according MN far too much importance, although in fairness you didn't actually say that in the first place and only tried to make it about MN once you'd begun the goalpost moving process. MN and BTL are two small parts of the wider internet landscape.

Labour did not set the scene for current opposition calls for a GE. There is no possible way to construct that phrase that also gives them the necessary level of influence on social media as well as accepts the fact that opposition parties were doing it under Brown. It cannot be done.

And lastly, you don't know what my politics are. I'm a floating voter, but you don't know which ways I've floated in which elections. Whereas you, on the other hand, are partisan. Which is why you were daft enough to make such a broad claim about Labour's influence in the first place.

LuckyHazelFox · 20/07/2026 16:09

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:07

No further roles have expressed interest in Reeves.

There, fixed it.

Yes that's about right. Pride I suppose.

Binnyforthewin · 20/07/2026 16:09

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:06

To every young woman and girl let my time in office show there should be no ceilings on your ambitions, your hopes or your dreams.

JFC, does this person have one ounce of self-awareness???

Reeves has proven the only limit to her success was her own incompetence.

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:11

Binnyforthewin · 20/07/2026 16:09

Reeves has proven the only limit to her success was her own incompetence.

Sometimes I struggle to believe that the last two years wasn’t one giant bloody nightmare, honestly.

ThingsAreNotWhatTheyWere · 20/07/2026 16:11

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:06

To every young woman and girl let my time in office show there should be no ceilings on your ambitions, your hopes or your dreams.

JFC, does this person have one ounce of self-awareness???

Well, she has a point. I grew up as a girl under Margaret Thatcher, and love her or loathe her, it was never a question in my mind that a woman couldn't be prime minister, if she had the ambition or aptitude for it!

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:11

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:09

You're according MN far too much importance, although in fairness you didn't actually say that in the first place and only tried to make it about MN once you'd begun the goalpost moving process. MN and BTL are two small parts of the wider internet landscape.

Labour did not set the scene for current opposition calls for a GE. There is no possible way to construct that phrase that also gives them the necessary level of influence on social media as well as accepts the fact that opposition parties were doing it under Brown. It cannot be done.

And lastly, you don't know what my politics are. I'm a floating voter, but you don't know which ways I've floated in which elections. Whereas you, on the other hand, are partisan. Which is why you were daft enough to make such a broad claim about Labour's influence in the first place.

I think you’re focusing too much on the opposition calling for an election. I’m talking about the broader criticism via SM which benefited Labour. Supporters were happy to use it and now don’t like it back.

EasternStandard · 20/07/2026 16:12

CagneyLacey · 20/07/2026 16:11

Sometimes I struggle to believe that the last two years wasn’t one giant bloody nightmare, honestly.

It is feeling like that.

BrownBookshelf · 20/07/2026 16:13

5128gap · 20/07/2026 16:02

This is true. Other than by their supporters, Reform are loathed and seen as the worst possible option. Not just around their policies, but also because they're inexperienced, incompetent and a bunch of wrong uns. I think tactical voting will only be used to harm not benefit Reform.

The past centre right lot seem to have gone all People's Front of Judea. I know Reform wouldn't have won Makerfield anyway, but it did surprise me that Restore decided to contest it when it couldn't be ruled out that vote splitting would hand the seat to Burnham. It was quite a contrast to the Workers Party explicitly standing aside in favour of the Greens in Gorton and Denton.

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