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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think that Trump is not going to get re-elected?

923 replies

Anon778833 · 23/10/2020 20:27

There are still a few fringe types who think he’s going to get a landslide victory.

Personally I find this unlikely.

Any MNers from across the pond have a view more informed than myself?

OP posts:
Thread gallery
15
MerchantOfVenom · 29/10/2020 22:56

His problem (well, one of them) is that he is hated a LOT more in 2020 than Hillary was in 2016.

And as hated as Hillary was in 2016, she was still liked by 3 million more voters.

BelleHathor · 29/10/2020 23:06

Michael Moore from today on why he still thinks the polls are wrong.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=vyn5rhRua-c

MerchantOfVenom · 30/10/2020 00:12

For anyone who doesn’t have time to watch the MM clip, he doesn’t say the polls are wrong, he says they’re tightening, and Trump has cut Biden’s lead in Michigan in half. He says whatever the lead is now, cut it in half again.

Biden is heading to Wisconsin on Saturday to campaign.

Michael is categorically not saying the Trump is going to win, which is very different from last time. He’s saying Trump could win, which of course, he could.

He also says that it could be a tsunami for Biden.

His message is very important. If Americans want Trump out, if they want Biden in - they must VOTE.

Do not let the polls make you complacent. Do not think this is in the bag. Because it wasn’t, and it isn’t.

HoldMyLobster · 30/10/2020 03:43

[quote BelleHathor]Michael Moore from today on why he still thinks the polls are wrong.
m.youtube.com/watch?v=vyn5rhRua-c[/quote]
Nice - that gives Democrat phone bank volunteers calling likely Biden voters something to say to people who aren't sure whether they really need to get out and vote.

MerchantOfVenom · 30/10/2020 03:51

MM has been very consistent this time around. As I said upthread, I’ve been following him pretty closely.

Vote, vote, vote. Do not take anything for granted.

And be ready for whatever shit Trump and his team of desperados pull to steal the election in the next couple of days.

blueangel19 · 30/10/2020 08:48

Well ladies! It has been a pleasure. I really wish and hope for the best for the US. Like it is not over until is over do not forget about resilience. Otherwise, is going to exhausting for 4 more years of hating Trump.

FairFridaythe13th · 30/10/2020 11:41

He doesn’t need to be in office for people to hate him... i wasn’t particularly enamoured with him 4+ years ago...

Parker231 · 30/10/2020 16:12

Trump isn’t happy!

The Supreme Court has rejected a bid from Republicans to block North Carolina’s absentee ballot extension.

The ruling means the state can count mail-in ballots received up to nine days after Election Day as long as they’re postmarked by Election Day.

Leaannb · 30/10/2020 16:16

@Parker231

Trump isn’t happy!

The Supreme Court has rejected a bid from Republicans to block North Carolina’s absentee ballot extension.

The ruling means the state can count mail-in ballots received up to nine days after Election Day as long as they’re postmarked by Election Day.

What makes you think we will? Speaking as a North Carolinian
MerchantOfVenom · 30/10/2020 16:54

What makes you think we will?

What makes us think you will what?

Count the votes.....?

Parker231 · 30/10/2020 17:01

I thought it was good as it will ensure all postal votes are counted properly?

Leaannb · 30/10/2020 17:03

@MerchantOfVenom

What makes you think we will?

What makes us think you will what?

Count the votes.....?

Yea...North Carolina has a long history of gerrymandering and not exactly doing what we are told when it comes to elections. This is not the first time NC jas been in Court over elections.
MissConductUS · 30/10/2020 17:04

@Parker231

I thought it was good as it will ensure all postal votes are counted properly?
It is good, which is why the Supremes ruled the way they did. The legal friction was that the states set the rules for elections and it's generally considered a bad idea to mess with them right before an election.
Leaannb · 30/10/2020 17:04

@Parker231

I thought it was good as it will ensure all postal votes are counted properly?
Maybe. But as a North Carolinian I don't have that faith.
bp300 · 30/10/2020 17:50

Did anyone see the pollster on the BBC who was doing 3 minute polls who had Trump 49% and Biden 43%? He said that the other polls that had Biden winning were 25 minute polls and would not be accurate polls.

Parker231 · 30/10/2020 18:03

Reports today are of some top Republicans now distancing themselves from Trump as they are expecting a Biden victory. Apparently after Trump visits an area and there is a poll, it shows a greater increase in support for Biden.

Parker231 · 30/10/2020 18:05

Reports in the press:

President falsely claims to be 'way ahead in Texas’
Trump ‘polling worst in states with big coronavirus spikes’
Biden ahead in Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania
Trump tells Tampa: 'If Florida goes blue, it's over. It's over’
Rivals head for Midwest in final weekend of campaigning

HoldMyLobster · 30/10/2020 18:29

I'm posting this on various threads because it seems valuable.

When To Expect Election Results In Every State
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/

ListeningQuietly · 30/10/2020 18:30

Lobster
Ooh, I like that !

MerchantOfVenom · 30/10/2020 18:47

Wow, New York...!

”The statutory deadline for certifying results is Nov. 28, but the New York City Board of Elections says it may not be done counting until Dec. 8-15.”

ListeningQuietly · 30/10/2020 18:49

Merchant
But NY will vote Biden
so its not really an issue

MerchantOfVenom · 30/10/2020 18:51

I did like this comment...

”Initial results (from in-person votes) will probably skew Republican. As absentee ballots are counted in the ensuing weeks, Democratic candidates will probably gain ground.”

Can there be anyone left in New York voting for Trump....?!

Parker231 · 30/10/2020 18:52

So I don’t need to stay up all night (UK) in case the results is declared?

Thank you Lobster for the information.

nicky7654 · 30/10/2020 18:52

Hopefully he will win ! Have great respect for him and don't listen to the snowflakes as they are so unintelligent! Trump is getting the illegals sorted which will help sort out.the drug issues and child trafficking. Nigel Farage needs to run our Country and make it Great again.

HoneysuckIejasmine · 30/10/2020 18:53

Fabulous satire Nicky. You even managed to make several grammatical mistakes whilst calling others unintelligent. Really well done 😂😂