Thread 51 Sunak: A William Hill to die on

[DuncinToffee]

Previoust thread

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/_chat/5100698-thread-50-sunak-civil-war-what-civil-war?page=40&reply=136272126

10 days to go

Oh shit. And mine. Tories and Labour neck and neck in second place. 😳

77% chance of Labour winning here in once Dorries Land.

Fucking hell. How has this happened?

Reform predicted to be 2nd party here ..🤢

Did it occur to no-one in Conservative Central Ofice that maybe it's not a good idea to remind voters of Sunak's attitude to people who actually did fight for this country?

My current constituency. Con have gone from 1% to 0%

Might be worth checking you are using the correct site ? Type it in and don't allow your browser to "help" you by autofilling the URL

https: //www. electoralcalculus. co. uk/

Just checked my postcode again. Con: 27% (down from 48% in 2019), Lab: 29.1%, SNP 29.5%. EVERY Vote Counts

I think there might be something wrong with the Electoral Calculus site. The Telegraph is predicting a Labour win where I live. I refuse to believe that 52% of voters here have lost their minds.

It's definitely the right one.

We are talking about the constituency that voted in Braverman. 🙄

Clearly she isn't enough of a right winger round here so they've gone for reform now.

Wouldn't surprise me although I sincerely hope it doesn't happen. We were a very culturally undiverse area until recently. I've loved seeing it become more mixed and we now have a mosque in town just been built.
But I fear for some that spells fear and danger 🤬

A two percent chance of winning for the local incumbent Tory.

Just had a lovely chat with a striking Doctor. Lovely man. Thanked him for all that they do and wished him good luck.

Reform gone up to 3% in my constituency. Labour still at 82% though so Phew!
Postal vote for Labour done and posted.

Blimey, Labour gone from 82% earlier this week to 98% in my constituency.

My constituency is 76% chance of Labour, 23% Conservative (swing from 11% Tory majority to 10% Labour predicted).
Not sure where the other 1% has gone, but other parties have 0% chance of winning here.

81% chance of Labour winning West Suffolk. <faints>

I really hope Reform do not get 19 seats.

People are going to vote tactically.

Braverman losing is good. She is poison. I would say she was worse that Farage given her actions as Home Secretary.

Thoughts and prayers. That must be a shock.

Another success for Rishi https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/dentist-rishi-sunak-launched-plan-33119815

Braverman's Reform opponent. Apologies for the link to Reform's website.

www.reformparty.uk/fareham-and-waterlooville-constituency

Maybe Cambridge Analytica or similar have figured out how to mess up their polling?

Some <cough> sites I use break links to prevent the tracking from connecting you.

IClaudine - the Reform candidate says taking legal action against government policy was unheard of before now - has he not heard of judicial reviews?

I will do that next time.

Kevan seems to be a big old anti-vaxxer, going by what is on his FB account. Shocker!

Do they teach that at nursery ?