I've been listening to a few different podcasts and trying to hear different POVs so I am not in an echo chamber. I foolishly tuned into James O'Brien's show from 16th April.
It was really difficult to listen to someone so hostile to women's views but I really listened to what he was saying and it seemed really clear that he had met a trans man at some point in the past, was impressed by them and their committment. He felt a great deal of sympathy and thinks he is "protecting the most vulnerable" who have all had lots of surgery and are in a "vanishingly small number".
It has been really thought provoking. I think trying to challenge the "most vulnerable" rhetoric is very difficult because for most people it is difficult to understand that somone can be both vulnerable and simultaneously a risk to other people. That is not an easy topic to discuss and often involves revealing details about family members which is complicated.
But it is the "vanishingly small number" which struck me.
This is the easiest to deal with by far. Looking at the census data for Scotland from 2022 (who didn't have a whoopsie with their questions) we can see that across the total population, trans folk are 1 in 230 people.
And for under 35s it is 1 in 95 which is a lot higher than even I expected!
So where maybe people previously would have said that it is OK for women to "budge up" when the numbers of trans people are vanishingly small, that doesn't work when the numbers increase to rates of 1 in 100 (and presumably this will rise over time). So third spaces, unisex, are the best way to go...