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Weather

OYBBK- chances of a white christmas?

403 replies

CherryMonster · 14/11/2010 14:26

what do you think? will the uk be buried under 6 foot of snow, or will cheltenham be cold, wet and windy?

OP posts:
duckyfuzz · 19/12/2010 15:42

yes, here its for heavy snow today, issued this morning

PfftTheMagicDragon · 19/12/2010 15:46

are your skies clear? I just wish I knew what it was going to do! I can cope with the weather, it would just be nice to have a little warning!

duckyfuzz · 19/12/2010 15:55

I know, we've coped with really bad snow and ice over the past 3 weeks, but would like to know if our 500 mile round trip us going to happen mon-wed or not! Skies have that snowy pink tinge to them now... according to highways agency its snowing all around us Hmm

EarthMotherImNot · 19/12/2010 15:59

Thank you OYSSK, that doen't sound un-do-able(sp)

Hopefully they'll manage the journeyXmas Smile

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 16:07

ok, quick update - dd is keen for the pc and shes not getting much chance atm!

Latest gfs model is out. It looks very similar for tomorrow. Snow spreading from the SW across the south. It defers from the met office in both timing and extent of the snow so be aware if you are generally in the south. Some of the precipitation in the sW will be rain, so don't be surprised if that happens!

met office - what is showing on met office invent for your area?

Losingmymind - I don't know what the road conidtions are like there but tomorrow neither the met office or GFS show any particular extra problems for that area for Monday. Tuesday I'm not sure..... its close.

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 16:08

ok, handing over pc to dd for a bit :)

teenyweenytadpole · 19/12/2010 16:44

So not looking good for my inlaws driving down to Gloucs from Essex on Thursday then! Bit of a bugger really but not the end of the world, just feel sorry for people in worse situations!

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 17:12

hmmm, well, give it a couple of more days before writing them off - will probably all be different anyway!

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 17:24

Just a heads up for commuters in the London area for tomorrow evening. Models are not in agreement with how far the snow will spread tomorrow. It is worth being prepared for a tricky journey home. Keep an eye on the met office weather warnings tomorrow in case you need to adjust timings.

Justalittlereindeer · 19/12/2010 17:46

OYSSK - how far north is the snow tomorrow likely to move? We're in Milton Keynes. Wondering if we're at risk of this snow moving up from the south?

moonmother · 19/12/2010 18:16

Justalittle I'm in Dunstable, and the Met O has forecast us for snow tomorrow night.

So you may get to see some more Grin

moonmother · 19/12/2010 18:21

Here are Justalittle your in the Met O warnings too

www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html

mspotatochip · 19/12/2010 18:41

I'm getting a serious sense of deja vu. We are due to fly from gatwick at 16.50 tomorrow. Half hoping flight is cancelled early tomorrow and we can leg it to Holyhead ahead of the snow (trying to get to Dublin). Train or car then being the question. Oh for a crystal ball! The annoying thing is we're already ina hotel at gatwick we booked it for the parking aeons ago

mspotatochip · 19/12/2010 18:42

oh yes forgot to mention we got stuck last year in gatwick in another snow storm hence the deja vu doH!

rosieposey · 19/12/2010 18:47

Hmmm not sure which site to go with for tomorrow as Met Office have a severe weather warning for heavy snow in the SW (and Swindon if you scroll down) but i think its only a chance not for definate but NetWeather and MetCheck both have no snow for tomorrow here - which is the most reliable? (apart from OYSSK of course :))

SuePurblybiltbyElves · 19/12/2010 18:48

OYBBK, I'm aware we may/will have snow tomorrow but what do you think about the temps tonight? BBC helpfully narrow it down to "maybe" -15 across four counties, I have animals outside and I'm worried that -15 is a bridge too far for them. They're well rugged up and closed in but I could bring them indoors if I (really) had to. It's looking like -3 for us tonight, would you agree? Okehampton area of Devon.

Mr Tesco Man is looking unlikely in our vilage, Londis cuisine for Christmas Dinner here Xmas Grin

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 20:20

Justalittle - you are at risk - but you arent in a definite area. The SW will get snow (some cornwall and coastal parts may get rain) it is just a matter of how far it spreads.

You may get a bit colder Sue - as you have snow - it can often get very cold over snow fields and I've noticed that weather forecasts can under play this effect. I'm guessing rather but I'd be prepared for maybe -6 or so.

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 21:27

waiting for the next model run! My life is divided into 6 hourly chunks at the moment.

Habbibu · 19/12/2010 21:33

Hello, lovely kitten. Am trying to decide whether (a) we try to go from Fife/Dundee to Inverness on 23rd, or (b)we ask IL's (with winter tyres and no small children) to come to us, or (c) everyone stays put, meaning we have the turkey and they have the veg! Think we'll need to put b or c to them pretty soon if it seems necessary - any thoughts on how the weather will be?

You need an MN medal, by the way. talk about public service.

Evenstar · 19/12/2010 21:52

I know you are very busy OYBBK, but any chance you could tell me what my chances will be on Wednesday for getting from North Hampshire/Surrey borders to Centerparcs at Longleat. I have cancellation insurance, but we have had a hard year and the kids and I are so looking forward to a Christmas break Sad

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 21:53

:)

Tricky. I would go for b with a fall back to c if need be. It does not look like there will be any improvement for Scotland before Christmas. It is more a case of trying to work out where the snow will fall at any one time and at the moment no one really knows much about tomorrow even! Next gfs comes out in 20 mins or so, so I can give you a snap shot guess then.

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 21:54

Evenstar - will give you the latest thoughts in a little bit too :)

Habbibu · 19/12/2010 21:57

You star. Many thanks.

Evenstar · 19/12/2010 21:57

Thank you Smile

OhYouSnowySnowyKitten · 19/12/2010 22:01

ok tis out :) hang on.

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