I can't see Fleur winning, which is a shame because I find her really exciting to watch. Tyler and Mollie don't feel like winners to me either. Dunno about Hamza. Maybe? He feels too much like the contestants I always love who lose the public vote too early.
But you know I wouldn't write off Tony. Every year we have the John Sergeant Memorial Panic (TM Monkseal) where good dancers (though not likely winners) go out due to a popular duffer getting all the votes. And every year people panic that they'll win. And every year I say to myself, "naaah, it's fine, the GBP will get bored and drop them like a stone after Blackpool". And every year they do. Every year the rumoured army of speed-diallers for pop stars, Eastenders, Youtubers or Daniel O'Donnell fail to materialise (unless pop star/eastender is a charming person and excellent dancer with a winning partnership with their pro who wins over the SCD audience).
But maybe, just maybe, the online voting system is so easy nowadays, that the Arsenal fan groups really have got their act together enough to send a mass WhatsApp round at 8:47pm saying "voting's open now lads, send your three votes off for Tony". The judges might possibly have got the nod from on high that he's shipping votes in in unprecedented quantities so they need to go easy on him and frame him as a credible winner. (I think that's happened before).
Maybe I'm just paranoid. He might drop Katya on her head and fall flat on his arse tomorrow after all.