Incidentally, that list of parachuted Tory candidates I posted was treating Wellingborough as a winnable seat.
David Goss, the prime minister’s deputy political secretary, became the latest high profile figure from Downing Street to be selected for a winnable seat in Wellingborough and Rushden, recently lost to Labour in a gruelling by-election.
If the polls the Tory press are pumping out are using that sort of measure, then it's possible things are far worse than even they are able to let on.