Thread 47 Sunak : The Ship of Fools sails on

[DuncinToffee]

The countdown to the General Election continues

Previous thread https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/_chat/5082182-thread-46-sunak-dont-rain-on-our-parade?page=40&reply=135651872

Good to know the government are keeping an eye on H5N1 in the US. Or not.

Same here for my true Blue area.

Added bonus it's Braverman out of Labour do win!

Mine is too. Once the safest Tory seat in the country. 😀

Mine won't change from blue to red, but I bet Reform take second place.
The Labour Party won't get a look in.

My sil lives in a blue area. Labour are now 3% behind (surprising because I was expecting it to be libdems). Sil won't be voting tory, but may hold her nose and vote for Labour.

Current area is toss up Tory hold but Labour within touching distance.

New area is toss up Lib Dem but it’s part of the old constituency where tractor porn guy was and is currently held by Lib Dem’s so I’d be surprised if Tories could win it back.

I’ve never voted Labour before. It’s never been a worthwhile option.

If I lived in England, I'd hold my nose and tactically vote Labour or LibDem (or even Green- eg Brighton or Bristol): whoever had the best chance of getting or keeping the Conservative candidate out.

I was wondering how the lessons are going this week. Is there almost too much to discuss?

Where are you finding what your constituency is showing?

The chatty ones have gone to exam land, sadly.

I talked to myself, mainly...

I use electoral calculus

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/newseatlookup

Whoa. I was looking at YouGov for my seat, which was showing tossup. Electoral Calculus are showing 75% chance that it's going to go Labour.

If it does, I shall crack open the champagne.

I just checked El Cal again and it now shows Lib Dem 67% winning chance for our area.

Thanks @CassieMaddox

Wow, 98% chance of Labour winning here which will be a swing (back) from the Tories.

My areas is predicted drop of 17% Tory, 10% SNP drop with Labour picking all this up & increasing to just 3% behind Tories. So, the smug wee Tory who chapped my door & told me 'not to waste my vote on Labour as it was a straight fight between Labour & SNP here' should think again. I appreciate opinion polls are often wrong but it's close if it's at all correct.

Oh 😂

Oh dear. The Conservatives’ first election broadcast shows the union flag flying the wrong way up, which is a distress signal…

https://x.com/PippaCrerar/status/1797711070863466889

Someone’s really enjoying themselves. 😁

Mine showing Lab win on electoral calculus. Currently 21k Con majority.

These Tory cock ups can't be all just accidents ? Surely deliberate?

Looking at BBC News app it's all about Farage. Nothing about the polls. I know that the YouGov one is YouGov/Sky but even so

Yes he's going to suck up all the media energy. Tories will announce leaving ECHR/Rwanda flights/abolishing IHT etc but it will make little difference. And the rumblings about changing leadership will start up again after the temporary ceasefire.

Basically more Tory drama and blatant lies - as if we haven't suffered enough of that for the last decade.

It's actually going to make it bloody hard to dig out real policy information from under the heap of 💩 coming our way.

How terribly democratic of them.

Farage has lost his temper on BBC News and refused to appear on Newsnight https://x.com/implausibleblog/status/1797761928158130510?s=61&t=xKCXjKa1-S6Ks0nSd_LXGg

Diddums