Nigel will possibly be 3rd. But it's so lush how all the frothing Farage haters have gone absolutely loco over him still being there.. 'I just cannot fathom WHY Nigel Farage is still there' they gasp in sheer horror. 'Everyone I know HATES him!!!' Not understanding that lots of people don't think like them. They only hang around with, and communicate with woke, left-wing, anti-Brexit people like themselves, and it just doesn't compute that ANYone would vote to keep Nigel in.
Many people voting for him are the silent majority. The ones who won't/don't speak up on the internet, for fear of being slaughtered, hung drawn and quartered, mocked and derided, and 'cancelled' for their non-lefty views. Same thing happened with Brexit and when the Conservatives kept winning elections. The lefties only speak to and communicate with people who think like them, and refuse to hear any other point of view, so they are totally gobsmacked when things don't go their (lefty) way. (Which is often!)
As I say, it's because many people think differently to them but keep quiet about their views. But then they vote, and the non-lefty side wins, and wins, and wins, and all the lefties are like...... WTF>??? 
It's so entertaining to watch. 
Like someone said on Twitter/X a while back...
The media controls the newspapers, the radio, the TV, magazines, the music industry, social media, the film industry, the art industry, and the arts in general.
It does not control the ballot boxes.