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Neil Ferguson should be held accountable

155 replies

Mumlove5 · 30/03/2020 10:03

... for causing mass hysteria and panic with his grossly overestimated pessimistic model. The man that caused the 2020 global economic collapse over a death rate similar to that of a severe seasonal flu.

I don’t read the DM much but this article struck a cord.
www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-8163587/PETER-HITCHENS-Great-Panic-foolish-freedom-broken-economy-crippled.html

“ Crucially, those who began by claiming that we faced half a million deaths from the coronavirus in this country have now greatly lowered their estimate. Professor Neil Ferguson was one of those largely responsible for the original panic. He or others from Imperial college have twice revised his terrifying prophecy, first to fewer than 20,000 and then on Friday to 5,700.

He says intensive care units will probably cope. And he conceded a point made by critics of the panic policy – that two-thirds of people who die from coronavirus in the next nine months would most likely have died this year from other causes.

He tried to claim that the shutdown of the country had led to this violent backtrack, claiming that it was ‘social distancing strategies’ which had brought about his amazing climbdown. How could he possibly know either that this had happened, or that it would happen, or that there was any connection between the two?

It is very hard to see by what means he could know any of these things. Could he have softened his stance because of the publication early last week of a rival view, from distinguished scientists at Oxford University, led by Sunetra Gupta, Professor of theoretical epidemiology? It suggests that fewer than one in a thousand of those infected with Covid-19 become ill enough to need hospital treatment.

The vast majority develop very mild symptoms or none at all. Millions may already have had it.

This report is being unfairly sneered at by Government toadies, but we shall see. It seems unlikely that Oxford University would have bungled their work.

And it is obvious that a few days of raggedly enforced house arrest could not have made so much real difference. Even those who believe in these shutdowns think they take two weeks to have any effect.”

www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

en.globes.co.il/en/article-lockdown-lunacy-1001322696

OP posts:
Michelleoftheresistance · 30/03/2020 15:31

We lost an extended family member yesterday. Young. No health issues. Another one is now in hospital.

Bollocks is this 'no worse than flu'.

LaurieMarlow · 30/03/2020 15:32

Self responsibility may or may not work for the swedes.

No fucking way it would work in the UK.

PertEllaTitsahoy · 30/03/2020 15:56

Condolences Michelle Flowers

Imok · 30/03/2020 16:36

Forgive me if I'm being ridiculous here, but when people are saying that x number of people die during a 'normal' year, surely not all those deaths can be attributed to the same cause? Isn't that what makes the current situation so frightening? And the figures we are being given are only those where covid19 is a factor? We are not being given the overall number of deaths from any cause?

As I say, forgive me if I am missing something.

Walkingtohealth · 30/03/2020 17:12

The death rate is 4x higher than seasonal flu...a fact that appears to have passed the OP’s tiny brain.

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