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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think we can't afford the triple lock

513 replies

paddleboardingmum · Today 08:47

Things seem very weighted against young people right now in terms of tax, student loans, and then there's the cost of mortgages and childcare. I know there are some older people struggling and I do feel sorry for them. But plenty are not and I think we just can't afford the triple lock at the moment. AIBU

OP posts:
Badbadbunny · Today 14:19

allthingsinmoderation · Today 14:16

So, for 17 years people paid NI believing the promise of the triple lock, i think it dishonourable and unfair to renege on that promise.
Are you saying a state pension of 31.5% of median wage is a bad thing or unreasonabel?
Figures ive seen suggest nearer to 28% but even 31.5% seems very low compared to other western countries.

There was never a contract/promise for the triple lock. If anyone was daft enough to believe it was guaranteed for ever, they're deluded. Taxes and benefits can be changed at any time on the whim of the political party in power - most sensible people understand that's how the system works and how it's always worked.

The ONLY element where some kind of "contract" exists is where people have bought extra years of NIC credits to make up the required number of years of credits to increase state pension. That's the only element where there is any kind of "contract" that the person will get a higher pension because of the extra voluntary contributions they paid.

CandyBubble · Today 14:20

Don’t forget retirement age is now 67 in less than 20 years. It used to be 60 for women.

DontSingSusan · Today 14:22

Differentforgirls · Today 14:09

What does the thread have to do with baby boomers?

Because current pensioners are mostly baby boomers (born 1946-1964).

CandyBubble · Today 14:22

Everanewbie · Today 14:03

I'm not going on about wealthy pensioners. Yes, if they have an income above the personal allowance, they'll pay income tax at their marginal rate. If they dispose of assets resulting in a chargeable gain above the annual exemption, they'll pay Capital Gains Tax. I am arguing against a previous poster who suggested a special triple locked personal allowance, exclusively for pensioners, which is outrageous.

Income tax that they’ve already paid income tax on .

Badbadbunny · Today 14:22

alcovecupboards · Today 14:02

I suspect we'll be moving to a universal basic income in the not to distant future and this question will be rendered moot. Mainly through the incoming AI takeover - assuming we don't all die - and the mass consolidation of wealth to fewer and fewer individuals. I imagine private ownership will effectively disappear - in increasing waves over coming generations - and everything will simply be rented - cars, homes, access to water, entertainment etc.

Should UBI be introduced, I think people will be surprised at just how low it would be set it. Probably around the same £12.5k as basic state pension. We simply can't afford it to be any higher, given we're trillions in debt and paying billions each year in interest alone. I fail to understand where people think the money is going to come from to give everyone massive handouts - I've seen figures of £25k-£35k banded about - utterly delusional to think it would be anything like that. It will be basic subsistence level at best.

CandyBubble · Today 14:24

welshgirl2025 · Today 09:15

Yes we can afford it. Stop giving billions of pounds in foreign aid each year. Why are we supporting countries like Pakistan? Stop spending millions of pounds on keeping illegal immigrants. We are not a poor country we just have repeated incompetent governments that give our money away to anyone except our own people.

Stop giving money to countries where the president’s wife takes a private jet to go designer shopping in Paris.

nietzscheanvibe · Today 14:25

Everanewbie · Today 14:16

I think it is an excellent starting point. If you have not saved anything else, then I don't think you deserve any more off the tax payer.

Fair enough, but what's that got to do with the triple lock, which is designed to prevent pensioners slipping into poverty through erosion of their pension by inflation, which did happen before the triple lock was introduced?

Yetone · Today 14:25

Q2C4 · Today 14:14

Billionaires are leaving the UK at unprecedented rates exactly because the tax burden is skewed so heavily towards the wealthy.

The UK can’t (currently) tax non-residents….

Yes Chris Rokos, who was paying 330 million a year in tax is leaving, along with other high tax payers because they want even more tax from him.

dustabsorber · Today 14:25

Badbadbunny · Today 14:22

Should UBI be introduced, I think people will be surprised at just how low it would be set it. Probably around the same £12.5k as basic state pension. We simply can't afford it to be any higher, given we're trillions in debt and paying billions each year in interest alone. I fail to understand where people think the money is going to come from to give everyone massive handouts - I've seen figures of £25k-£35k banded about - utterly delusional to think it would be anything like that. It will be basic subsistence level at best.

That's exactly what a lot of young people want - UBI, so they can lie in bed all day and stay up gaming all night.

Rollingpinofdoom · Today 14:27

Everanewbie · Today 14:16

I think it is an excellent starting point. If you have not saved anything else, then I don't think you deserve any more off the tax payer.

Can we say the same about those on UC? If you haven’t saved, you only get the bare minimum? Works for me.

Differentforgirls · Today 14:28

Badbadbunny · Today 14:13

But they won't be paying NIC, won't be having student loan deductions taken, won't be suffering high child care costs, and if they'd bought their home a few decades ago, won't be suffering the ruinously high housing costs. So their "deductions" are likely to be a lot lower than a younger worker even if their income is similar.

Scottish students don't suffer student loans.

I didn't suffer high child care costs as there was very little childcare available so I halved my salary to care for them myself.

There was no childcare benefits, no free hours.

Both my children own their homes and don't have ruinously high housing.costs.

My deductions are lower than my children but they earn a lot more than me as I live on my LA pension.

Both have more disposable income than we do.

Everanewbie · Today 14:29

CandyBubble · Today 14:22

Income tax that they’ve already paid income tax on .

What are you getting at? Do you think income should not be taxable beyond state pension age?

amber763 · Today 14:29

welshgirl2025 · Today 09:15

Yes we can afford it. Stop giving billions of pounds in foreign aid each year. Why are we supporting countries like Pakistan? Stop spending millions of pounds on keeping illegal immigrants. We are not a poor country we just have repeated incompetent governments that give our money away to anyone except our own people.

This!!!

Q2C4 · Today 14:30

Yetone · Today 14:25

Yes Chris Rokos, who was paying 330 million a year in tax is leaving, along with other high tax payers because they want even more tax from him.

It’s the Laffer Curve in action https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve

NowSober · Today 14:30

allthingsinmoderation · Today 14:16

So, for 17 years people paid NI believing the promise of the triple lock, i think it dishonourable and unfair to renege on that promise.
Are you saying a state pension of 31.5% of median wage is a bad thing or unreasonabel?
Figures ive seen suggest nearer to 28% but even 31.5% seems very low compared to other western countries.

Sorry, here is a more accurate calculation

Median wage is £766.60/week
State pension is £230.25/week i.e. 30% of median wage

In France the aim is for the state pensions to be 50% of your salary prior to retirement.

Everanewbie · Today 14:31

nietzscheanvibe · Today 14:25

Fair enough, but what's that got to do with the triple lock, which is designed to prevent pensioners slipping into poverty through erosion of their pension by inflation, which did happen before the triple lock was introduced?

It was designed to increase state pensions to a more appropriate level. I believe it has done what it set out to achieve and more. Now it should return to a more sober rate of increase, CPI capped at AEI.

Differentforgirls · Today 14:32

DontSingSusan · Today 14:22

Because current pensioners are mostly baby boomers (born 1946-1964).

What age would a pensioner be today who was born in 1960?

allthingsinmoderation · Today 14:35

Badbadbunny · Today 14:19

There was never a contract/promise for the triple lock. If anyone was daft enough to believe it was guaranteed for ever, they're deluded. Taxes and benefits can be changed at any time on the whim of the political party in power - most sensible people understand that's how the system works and how it's always worked.

The ONLY element where some kind of "contract" exists is where people have bought extra years of NIC credits to make up the required number of years of credits to increase state pension. That's the only element where there is any kind of "contract" that the person will get a higher pension because of the extra voluntary contributions they paid.

I think contributory benefits are somewhat different .
I can see its not a contract ,rather a political policy, but it was most definitely a political promise .
I can see it can be reneged on or changed by the current government,i think that dishonourable to the people it affects. It just my opinion. I dont think it will go down well.

NowSober · Today 14:35

CandyBubble · Today 14:20

Don’t forget retirement age is now 67 in less than 20 years. It used to be 60 for women.

The new state pension you receive at 67 (£230.25/week) is considerably higher than the old state pension that you would have received at 60 (£176.45/week) so nobody loses out.

DontSingSusan · Today 14:36

There's a lot of talk on here about fairness and "honouring" agreements and social contracts. But what about the coalition government's promise not to increase tuition fees, and then the recent changes in the terms of student loans? I'm not part of that generation but I really feel for them! The 'social contract' should work in both directions!

Rollingpinofdoom · Today 14:37

Everanewbie · Today 14:29

What are you getting at? Do you think income should not be taxable beyond state pension age?

But they already laid income to when they earned money and paid in Their contributions no?

Differentforgirls · Today 14:37

NowSober · Today 14:35

The new state pension you receive at 67 (£230.25/week) is considerably higher than the old state pension that you would have received at 60 (£176.45/week) so nobody loses out.

You lose out by having to work another 7 years.

NowSober · Today 14:37

Yetone · Today 14:25

Yes Chris Rokos, who was paying 330 million a year in tax is leaving, along with other high tax payers because they want even more tax from him.

Two fabulously wealthy crypto billionaires have moved back to the UK this year so the traffic isn't all one way.

Differentforgirls · Today 14:39

DontSingSusan · Today 14:36

There's a lot of talk on here about fairness and "honouring" agreements and social contracts. But what about the coalition government's promise not to increase tuition fees, and then the recent changes in the terms of student loans? I'm not part of that generation but I really feel for them! The 'social contract' should work in both directions!

It does where I live. No tuition fees. Free bus passes for all under 22.

Beece · Today 14:41

dustabsorber · Today 13:52

What government has said that the young won't get a state pension in the future? Noone is saying that.

It’s not going to be affordable. The sums don’t add up.