@BlueCatRedCat
CNN live channel show Georgia is blue and tally is 917. Discussing out now.
Whoever called Arizona did so way too early. That one will go to Trump in all likelihood.
It was definitely called early, but
should stay blue. Don't panic. Just yet.
Its also irrelevant if PA and GA go blue.
A local observer tweeted this 7hrs ago.
DJ Quinlan @djquinlan
Arizona results thread, context edition: Pima County late early votes are not the same as the county as a whole! We expected the whole batch of outstanding Pima votes to favor marginally. Trump was up slightly in the first half. Doesn't change the expected outcome.
Big Maricopa update coming at 7PM. Should be over 100k with a big Trump advantage. 59% is over/under for Trump keeping it interesting. Let's see what that looks like, but so far today has gone pretty close to expected.
More context: big Maricopa update coming shortly, but so far today 67,767 ballots counted mostly on Trump turf, and Trump has a 57/40 margin. Trump needs all of the remaining ballots to perform at 57%, and the second half of Maricopa just isn't that friendly for him.
75,314 Maricopa votes counted: Trump 42,276 (56.13%, Biden 31,700 (42.09%). Trump needed more from this batch.
143k ballots counted today, and I hear 280k to go. Trump hit 56.69% Trump needed 57% heading into today with all outstanding ballots. The remaining ballots are less favorable to Republicans. Like I said from the beginning, Trump had votes to cut the margin, but not take a lead.
and then 2hrs ago
DJ Quinlan @djquinlan
Update on remaining Arizona votes: 285k votes remaining. Trump needs 58%. Remaining Maricopa will not help Trump. I expect votes counted tomorrow to give us clarity on the final result. My original projection stands.Arizona's 11 electoral votes will go to Joe Biden.
This tallies with what the Biden camp had said - they expect a narrowing in Arizona but not enough to cause a problem and they expect the very last batches in Arizona to be more favourable to Biden.
The cavet here is whether there are more votes yet to come in, and just how many. Thats the spanner that could be thrown in the works, but as it stands thinks are looking ok.
It is possible Trump could still win, but it does look like Biden should hang on.