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Brexit

If leaving is such a certain disaster then why did they give us a vote?

65 replies

3amEternal · 15/06/2016 20:41

Seems bizarre to me. Surely if we go out and the sky falls down the government will be at fault for offering the option in the first place?

OP posts:
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SpringingIntoAction · 15/06/2016 23:55

Leaving wouldn't be a disaster if we had a coherent plan to deal with how we carry on out of the EU. Unfortunately we don't, and most of the best minds are not working out a comprehensive, constructive and , collaborative way forward. Therefore if we do all vote to leave now it'll be a disaster cos we DONT HAVE A PLAN!!

We do have a plan.

It's called Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. It lays down the process for leaving the EU. It starts when we trigger that law by writing to the EU. The EU must negotiate with us - they are legally bound under the Treaty to do so. The EU is also prevented from penalising for wanting to leave - under Treaty law and World Trade Organisation law.
While we are negotiating our exit from the EU everything continues as normal. However we can also trade freely with the other 168 countries in the world that being in the EU prevented us from doing and start make trade deals with the other 168 countries in the world - who will be queuing to do a deal with us as the world's 5th largest economy.

So we do have a plan. Parliament sits as normal and passes domestic laws as normal. We have as much of a plan for a LEAVE situation as the Government currently has for a REMAIn situation. It's business as usual - even Lord Rose who ran the Remain campaign for Cameron said that

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SpringingIntoAction · 15/06/2016 23:57

It's going to be a who blinks first scenario. If we vote leave the EU will then start to seriously negotiate to keep us in. We are the second biggest net contributors to the EU the EU has a lot to lose if we walk out. It's a classic business negotiation technique

Absolutely.

Even if you want to Remain you are best to vote Leave to get the EU to come up with a better offer, which, according to their past performance they always do. They say they will not make another offer but faced with the every real loss of the UK they will.

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Brokenbiscuit · 16/06/2016 07:31

Even if you want to Remain you are best to vote Leave to get the EU to come up with a better offer

FFS, what utter nonsense. If you want to remain, you should obviously vote remain.

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Globetrotter100 · 16/06/2016 07:36

And anyone who thinks article 50 is a "plan" fundamentally misunderstands the treaty. It could be described - at best - as a vaguely ordered exit door. With no handle on the other side Hmm

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Eve · 16/06/2016 07:41

Leave lead by boris a Tory and next leader if they win, stay Cameron remains in place, but he's already said he will go this term.

So Either scenario see's a Tory led government for a few years as UKIP reduced and Corbyn not effective. It's not about the EU it's pure politics.

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MuddledMuse · 16/06/2016 08:15

Why do you think Boris would be the next Tory leader? I can't see that at all, even if there is a Brexit. I would imagine his name is mud amongst Tory MPs at the moment and there are other, more sensible options (I speak as someone who doesn't vote Tory).

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IrenetheQuaint · 16/06/2016 08:20

Yes Muse, but he is v popular among the party - so we could end up with the odd situation where both major parties have leaders who are loved by their rank and file but disliked or disrespected by their parliamentary colleagues.

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nearlyhellokitty · 16/06/2016 08:27

Agree that Cameron didn't think it through.

For Boris it's clearly pure political opportunism - seems like he thought that this was his shot at leading. If he wins the referendum, great! if he loses then he still wins because he'll have the support of the disgruntled euroskeptics for being on their side.

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claig · 16/06/2016 08:27

'I would imagine his name is mud amongst Tory MPs at the moment'

Becuse Tory MPs don't elect the leader. It has to go out to members in the constituency parties etc nd most of those are pro Brexit as are most Tory voters. Cameron and the team of modernisers are unpopular with party members, whereas Boris is popular with them.

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Sixweekstowait · 16/06/2016 08:53

Claig I thought Tory MPs narrowed it down to two candidates and then the members of the party voted - so if Boris is one of the final two, he'll be PM won't he? I agree with pp who have said that he promised the referendum to have a bargaining tool because he thought there would be another coalition. I find it hard to believe that the EU will try and negotiate with us after a Brexit vote. I'm just feeling very sad about it all now - it will be Brexit and the saddest thing of is that all the poor and dispossessed who are told that there is a new dawn breakng, will carry on in an even darker world.

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claig · 16/06/2016 08:57

'I thought Tory MPs narrowed it down to two candidates'

You may be right, I can't remember how it works

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GiddyOnZackHunt · 16/06/2016 09:08

David Davies was supposed to be the last 'next' leader but the party were swayed by PR. Do the Tory party actually see Boris as PM? They may like him but do they see him as leader? Do they want the Boris show?
It's such a shame that the media circus has turned this into a slapstick comedy sideshow. Geldof & Farage made fools of themselves yesterday, Osbourn is a ridiculous man, Cameron has totally lost control, Gove still looks like Pob.

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ipsogenix · 16/06/2016 09:58

eyebrowse you're absolutely right about the lack of class barrier in Scotland. I've moved to England after growing up in Scotland and it boggles my mind, the amount of effort that people go to here to get their kids into private schools. Almost all of the children that I know over the age of 8 here have private tutors solely with the aim of getting them into private schools that will cost the parents £15k a year in fees. It's daft. The really sad thing is that the kids then come out with weird false social mannerisms and seem to entirely lose their sense of self in the process.

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AnnPerkins · 16/06/2016 11:45

It's such a shame that the media circus has turned this into a slapstick comedy sideshow.

I don't know what you mean Grin

If leaving is such a certain disaster then why did they give us a vote?
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Globetrotter100 · 16/06/2016 12:53

About 5 minutes later the farmers throw a cow on him Grin If only...

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