Covid 19 Thread for HCPs (& PH specialists, Epidemiologists, research scientists etc)

[EgonSpengler2020]

I have been following and occasionally commenting on both the AIBU and Prepping Coronavirus threads (under a different user name), but thought I would try to start a thread for HCPs and other professionals who will be on the frontline if this does turn into a Pandemic.

I'd like to keep it as evidence based as possible, so links to peer reviewed studies, or try to make a little note if it looks like the link you are posting has yet to be peer reviewed as things are moving super fast.

I also hope it can be a place for peer to peer support if/when the shit hits the fan.

For non HCPs/health science professionals, your're welcome along, but please try not to derail the thread or turn it into an AMA.

I'm a Paramedic by the way.

I've been reading this

institutefordiseasemodeling.github.io/nCoV-public/analyses/first_adjusted_mortality_estimates_and_risk_assessment/2019-nCoV-preliminary_age_and_time_adjusted_mortality_rates_and_pandemic_risk_assessment.html

which was referenced on this page www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-action-plan/coronavirus-action-plan-a-guide-to-what-you-can-expect-across-the-uk

It is ridiculous for me to be looking at it as I'm not a scientist etc but ...I wondered if anyone on this thread @Smelborp ? or @everythingthelighttouches ? would be interested in it .

It does mention a possibilty that Covid19 might be comparable to the 1918 Spanish Flu ,with the caveat of no effective control or treatment. And of course I was a bit surprised by that ,hence my posting here in the hope that could be intepreted for me..

evidence to date points toward 2019-nCoV having the potential to be the second-most-severe respiratory pathogen pandemic in the last century have comparable severity to the 1918 flu pandemic in the absence of effective control and treatment, when averaged across all ages.