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Anyone else in the South East worried about Andy Burnham bringing in a land tax?

944 replies

Beachbooks · 22/06/2026 12:17

With it looking likely that Andy Burnhan will be the next PM, I was interested to see if anyone else in London / the south east were worried about potential tax raises specifically around the land tax rather than stamp duty ?

A lot of my friends who live locally are worrying that he will make the land tax for the South East so high in proportion to other areas of the UK that it will be financially very difficult to afford but then also extremely difficult to sell!!

BTW we have very standard house and garden but we live in an expensive area

OP posts:
Thread gallery
11
NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:42

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:29

A quick bit of research answers your question

‘ Gordon Brown contributed to the UK property bubble by loosening financial regulations, fueling easy credit, and encouraging property speculation. While serving as Chancellor, his policies allowed lenders to offer large mortgages, which pushed house prices to record highs before the 2008 market crash.

Critics point to several key ways his policies stoked the housing boom:

  1. Light-Touch Regulation

In 1997, Brown gave the Bank of England control over interest rates but stripped it of its banking supervision powers, giving that role to the newly created Financial Services Authority (FSA). This created a fragmented system that failed to monitor high-risk lending. Banks were allowed to lend recklessly, allowing buyers to borrow far more than they could afford.

  1. Explosion of Buy-to-Let

The government allowed "buy-to-let" mortgages to grow rapidly . This let everyday people buy extra homes to rent out . These amateur landlords flooded the market with cash, competing directly with first-time buyers and driving prices up .

  1. Culture of Easy Credit

Because his government focused on economic growth through consumption and borrowing, private household debt grew by over £800 billion during his time as Chancellor . This massive amount of borrowed money allowed buyers to easily bid up housing prices .

  1. Stamp Duty Increases

Brown raised Stamp Duty rates several times while in office . Critics argue this tax grab distorted the market, making moving homes more expensive while locking more people out of the first-time buyer market .

The Result: Boom to Bust
The combined effect of these policies was a massive spike in property values. House prices more than doubled in the decade leading up to 2007 . When the global financial crisis hit, credit dried up , and the housing market crashed—falling by roughly 20%

Edited

But it's the fault of owners of homeowners who have lived in it for years. And now they will pay a hefty price for the damage that they have caused...🙄

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 14:42

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:12

No
the LVT doesn’t account for income

That is why I said it SHOULD account for income.

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:43

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:38

It's their MO unfortunately.

Instead of creating the conditions for growth, it's appear to be planning a grab of future "wealth" (unrealised gains) to fund today's spending.

It won't end well.

Its a mentality born out of centuries of taking what wasnt there’s
Labour just can’t get past that

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:45

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 14:21

Don"t think landlords can do that any more, and there isn"t a line of people looking to pay higher rent on basic flats any more so not really comparable.

Thats the point.

But the government can and this time with other peoples properties. Power as a weapon.

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:47

EasternStandard · 01/07/2026 14:40

Yes I did that BBC survey my god it was Labour loaded.

Absolutely written to get make us stay, get more money from anyone who can and probably tax people.

Everyone is at it

It is a disease.

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:47

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 14:42

That is why I said it SHOULD account for income.

Apologies !

Agree !!
but what an expensive admin policy that would be

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 14:50

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 14:40

@KeepPumping I'm not saying that the Blair Governments did not have a role, but I don't think that the significant changes of the preceding Governments can be overlooked. All of it contributed to where we are today. It is impossible to cherry pick one particular era and lay the blame there!

The liberalisation of mortgage lending started in the 1980s. Building societies had a dominant position in the mortgage market by virtue of the corset on bank mortgage lending and until the election of the Conservatives in 1979, there was a formal Memorandum of Agreement between government and the building societies whereby they gave preference to first-time buyers and limited equity extraction. The Conservative government allowed this to lapse and lifted the corset on bank lending in 1980. Building societies held 80 percent of mortgage balances outstanding in 1980 and provided 78 percent of the value of loans. This rapidly declined as bank lending rose and made rapid inroads into the mortgage market. The 1986 Building Societies Act in turn gave societies the capacity to compete against banks.

So, you can't just pick from 1997! It is a whole series of changes and unintended consequences.

What you said;

"The property bubble had started before Blair came to power in 1997"

Our definition of "property bubble" is obviously very different.

"You've linked to an FT article about Gordon Brown and financial and banking regulation - I'm not sure what that has to do with a property bubble."

The points you make about de-regulation are the same ones I made in another post, you give more detail, none of that compares to the lift off in property prices from the early 2000"s, Blair/Brown were running things then?

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:50

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:42

But it's the fault of owners of homeowners who have lived in it for years. And now they will pay a hefty price for the damage that they have caused...🙄

Homeowners aren’t to blame

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:51

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:50

Homeowners aren’t to blame

Sorry, I was being ironic, badly!😂

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:54

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:51

Sorry, I was being ironic, badly!😂

🙃
missed that one.😆

scared homer simpson GIF
NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 14:59

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:54

🙃
missed that one.😆

Edited

😂

I should have used a 😉

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 15:01

@EasternStandard you mentioned a Labour loaded survey

Is that a current one ?

As an aside my dh got an email from Labour this morning asking if he’d support them
( Did anyone else get one ????)
and ‘blow me down’ he said no
My lifelong Labour dh 😃 I think those posters in the toilet have already started working 😆😆

I might put some up in the ladies at M&S, in fact I might put them up in the men’s too, according to Labour I can use them 🤢

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:10

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 01/07/2026 14:50

Homeowners aren’t to blame

No, people who grabbed all the cheap debt leading up to the bust and bailout are to blame, and the people who kept on borrowing thinking rates would never go up again, they are to blame. Homeowners benefited of course by being able to pretend that their house was worth a small fortune, maybe boasting about how much tax you pay will be the new "my house is worth" conversation?

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 15:16

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:10

No, people who grabbed all the cheap debt leading up to the bust and bailout are to blame, and the people who kept on borrowing thinking rates would never go up again, they are to blame. Homeowners benefited of course by being able to pretend that their house was worth a small fortune, maybe boasting about how much tax you pay will be the new "my house is worth" conversation?

We shouldn't be creating tax policies based on invented dystopian fantasies.

With interest rates north of 14%, my mates were "sitting around" wondering how they were ever going to pay the negative equity back, or whether they should just hand the keys back. Many of them did and couldn't get another mortgage for years. These were modest homes they had scrimped and saved to buy, often taking years to build up the deposit. We didn't have parents who could bail us out. Not to dismiss those who do.

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:17

The problem with housing bubbles is that at some point you run out of buyers to pay stamp duty, it was inevitable I suppose that they would eventually come for the actual houses because you can choose not to buy but you can"t choose not to be in your house when the tax bill comes?

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:17

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 14:50

What you said;

"The property bubble had started before Blair came to power in 1997"

Our definition of "property bubble" is obviously very different.

"You've linked to an FT article about Gordon Brown and financial and banking regulation - I'm not sure what that has to do with a property bubble."

The points you make about de-regulation are the same ones I made in another post, you give more detail, none of that compares to the lift off in property prices from the early 2000"s, Blair/Brown were running things then?

I guess I see the massive increase in house prices from 1995 onwards as a more systemic issue, than the result of one particular Government. We inevitably have a series of short-term policies in this country because every Government only ever sees themselves in power for absolute max 5 years before they have to sell themselves to the electorate again. And because we have an adversarial system, rather than a consensual system, policies have to be seen to be the opposite of the previous incumbents - who clearly had it all wrong. I therefore see what has happened in the property market as an accumulation of unintended consequences that goes back to the 1970s - probably further.

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:25

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:17

I guess I see the massive increase in house prices from 1995 onwards as a more systemic issue, than the result of one particular Government. We inevitably have a series of short-term policies in this country because every Government only ever sees themselves in power for absolute max 5 years before they have to sell themselves to the electorate again. And because we have an adversarial system, rather than a consensual system, policies have to be seen to be the opposite of the previous incumbents - who clearly had it all wrong. I therefore see what has happened in the property market as an accumulation of unintended consequences that goes back to the 1970s - probably further.

No, house were dirt cheap in 1995, people thought property was a bad investment. The policies you mention were put in place to boost lending into housing but the true bubble formed much later, Blair/Broon could have put the brakes on but they instead opted to hit the accelerator as it allowed people to think they were "wealthy" as their house value went up, and it covered the lack of wage rises for ordinary people. A fitting end to Labour"s house price bubble actually would be if AB taxes the fuck out of everyone with a house then the market crashes!

NorthXNorthWest · 01/07/2026 15:29

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:17

I guess I see the massive increase in house prices from 1995 onwards as a more systemic issue, than the result of one particular Government. We inevitably have a series of short-term policies in this country because every Government only ever sees themselves in power for absolute max 5 years before they have to sell themselves to the electorate again. And because we have an adversarial system, rather than a consensual system, policies have to be seen to be the opposite of the previous incumbents - who clearly had it all wrong. I therefore see what has happened in the property market as an accumulation of unintended consequences that goes back to the 1970s - probably further.

I agree it's a systemic problem for which successive administrations need to bear some responsibility.

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:30

@KeepPumping it feels like you want to insist that only the Blair govt is responsible. As though nothing or no one came before. The housing market only came into existence in 1997!!!!

Buy to Let was brought in at the height of the Thatcher era in 1988. It came in as part of the Housing Act of that year, which extended landlord rights with the aim of boosting the private rented sector, allowing landlords to set rents and introducing assured shorthold tenancies. But it only took off in 1996, when buy-to-let mortgages were introduced - again before the Blair government came to power in 1997.

I do not doubt for one moment that the Blair Government could have managed the housing market better - of course they could. But surely you can see that there had been so many substantive changes that preceded them that allowed the prices to rocket?

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:33

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:30

@KeepPumping it feels like you want to insist that only the Blair govt is responsible. As though nothing or no one came before. The housing market only came into existence in 1997!!!!

Buy to Let was brought in at the height of the Thatcher era in 1988. It came in as part of the Housing Act of that year, which extended landlord rights with the aim of boosting the private rented sector, allowing landlords to set rents and introducing assured shorthold tenancies. But it only took off in 1996, when buy-to-let mortgages were introduced - again before the Blair government came to power in 1997.

I do not doubt for one moment that the Blair Government could have managed the housing market better - of course they could. But surely you can see that there had been so many substantive changes that preceded them that allowed the prices to rocket?

Yes, but none of those changes come even close to the loose lending from the early 2000"s and then zero rates to bail it all out, I"m not sure the Tories would have bailed out the bankers in the same way.

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:34

But the "loose lending" as you call it couldn't have existed without the deregulation of the mortage market under Thatcher! It is all inter-linked.

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:42

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:34

But the "loose lending" as you call it couldn't have existed without the deregulation of the mortage market under Thatcher! It is all inter-linked.

Ah, so although Thatcher left power in 1990 she was responsible for the global property debt led economic meltdown in 2008, and Broon was just caught up in her bad policy. Got it now.

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:45

@KeepPumping again you are wilfully ignoring everything I have said about the housing issues being due to the unintended consequences of decades of tinkering with policies towards housing since the 1970s. I lay the blame at no one Government's door, as to me that is far to simplistic. I've said this so many times, but as you seem to want to deliberately ignore what I'm saying, perhaps we shall just agree to differ and you can carry on blaming Gordon Brown - if that makes you happy!

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:49

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:45

@KeepPumping again you are wilfully ignoring everything I have said about the housing issues being due to the unintended consequences of decades of tinkering with policies towards housing since the 1970s. I lay the blame at no one Government's door, as to me that is far to simplistic. I've said this so many times, but as you seem to want to deliberately ignore what I'm saying, perhaps we shall just agree to differ and you can carry on blaming Gordon Brown - if that makes you happy!

So when, and if, big if, AB gets his tax policy through do we blame Thatcher for that as well?

KeepPumping · 01/07/2026 15:52

MargoLivebetter · 01/07/2026 15:45

@KeepPumping again you are wilfully ignoring everything I have said about the housing issues being due to the unintended consequences of decades of tinkering with policies towards housing since the 1970s. I lay the blame at no one Government's door, as to me that is far to simplistic. I've said this so many times, but as you seem to want to deliberately ignore what I'm saying, perhaps we shall just agree to differ and you can carry on blaming Gordon Brown - if that makes you happy!

The main culprits were the bankers, the politicians went along for the two main reasons I mentioned, to blow a housing bubble you need either cheap debt or very loose lending, or both, at one point under Thatcher rates were at 17% and mortgage lending was 3.5 times your income if that, so your argument just doesn"t have legs IMO.

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