Need to keep an eye on the coming weekends weather (5th on)

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Mn lost my very detailed post. :( and now I'm short of time.

Look at the 120 hr Bracknell chart which shows ex-hurricane Nadine coming our way at the end of the week.

Now Nadine has been a really pesky hurricane. Very long lived. At one point she was downgraded and then reinvigorated to reform into a hurricane. She then strengthened when forecasts were for her to grow weaker. You can see her history Here

Now there's no guarantee that she will hit our shores and if she does the impact will depend on any other weather systems and troughs that she interacts with. she would be an extra-tropical low by that time.

IF she hits our shores AND the conditions are right, then it could be quite a stormy affair. STay tuned....

[SuePurblybilt]

I can confirm that the SW is indeed experiencing heavy rain
Not much wind to speak of.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

As one storm dies, so another is born. Goodbye Nadine, hello Oscar

[Northernlurker]

We had quite heavy rain here in York last night. Garden looks v soggy but lovely morning today.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

suePurb, that's just a little taster ahead of tonight

Just looked at the radar. Northern France are really copping it.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

warnings are changed, much smaller area than at first, which tallies well with the overall rainfall figures not looking as bad as they did but note the new warnings for Sun/Mon

[SuePurblybilt]

What sort of time are we talking do you think, for the Devons? I have to go exploring (trying to find a very rural riding school) either at 4.30 today or tomorrow. Which is the least likely to be 'orrible do you think?

[SuePurblybilt]

Oh I've found the breakdown, don't worry. Looks much of a muchness.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

The rain at the end of the weekend looks really nasty for the SW, coming after heavy rain tonight/tomorrow, I think it could cause some issues with around 80mm of rain in that second bout.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

So we have had Spawn 1 of Nadine last week, Spawn 2 coming up tonight/tomorrow/Sat and then ex-nadine herself (all absorbed into a larger low) on Sun/Monday.
Shes been a right royal pain!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

BYE BYE NADINE as NOAA put it! They reckon it was the second longest lasting tropical atlantic storm.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Just had a look at the wind gusts that met office are forecasting along the south in the early hours. looks like widespread gusts along southern coast of 60mph, perhaps higher. IOW could get some nasty stuff too. Even quite far inland could get 40-50mph. Which is not really out of the ordinary, but even ordinary gales can cause disruption.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

bump to catch the evening crowd.

[SuePurblybilt]

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Tether those trampolines on the coast

[pepperrabbit]

I'm not coastal but I have 3 fence panels only held up by willpower...

[pepperrabbit]

I'm not coastal but I have 3 fence panels only held up by willpower...

[pepperrabbit]

and a twitch on my posting finger clearly!

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Oh dear pepper! I remember all the winds we had last winter, nothing awful but constant blowiness - watching our fence panels flap back and forth with plants to worry about and neighbours stressing was not fun!

[pepperrabbit]

We have an enormous old oak tree which lost a huge spire in the summer storms at vast expense we had to have it properly pollarded - the really scary bit was it looked fine just after all the wind as I went specifically to check it as it's above the climbing frame.
3 days later with not a breath of wind it came crashing halfway down the tree, I still get a "what if" moment every now and again.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Crickey!!!