Progress 8 scores

[Mytoeofdoom]

SATs scores are a predictor of GCSE results. Schools publish their progress 8 scores, but is there a way I can see how that breaks down further? I want to see how well pupils within a given SATs range do at GCSE e.g. 110-115, 116-120. Is there a way to find out the specific progress 8 scores for subsets of SATs scores?

No, because this year and last year's cohorts didn't sit SATs so there isn't any data.

Normally yes - in any other year the gov.uk website that publishes progress8 scores will allow you to break down the stats by lower, medium and higher prior attainment scores which is really useful - when I was comparing schools I was able to see that one school with a brilliant progress8 score had achieved it by getting amazing results with their lower-prior-achievement cohort and the outcomes for their brighter pupils were quite middling, and at another school with a fairly average overall score this hid the fact that they got excellent results for their small number of higher-prior-attainment pupils. But that data won't exist again now till this time next year because the SATS didn't take place due to Covid and I don't think they'll be reliable for the next 4 or 5 years as the kids whose primary education was disrupted for 2 years will not have accurately indicative Sats scores.

@KindlySurfiingPlatypusthat’s what I wanted to ascertain too.

When a school refers to its progress 8 score now, what is that based on then? Is there a breakdown of whatever it’s based on? A school referred to its progress 8 score when I went to the open evening last week.

i’m not sure it this is relevant to what you’re doing but did you know that the SATS scores are often a very bad prediction of GCSE grades in an individual child, even thought they might be quite decent at a population level? Eg if the primary school has coached them heavily for the SATS or if they did not enter a child for a higher tier paper when that child would have been capable of it, or if the child is a ‘late or early developer in some relevant areas such as puberty or intellectual development.

You need the website www.compare-school-performance.service.gov.uk/

But as others have said, there is no data for current years due to a lack of sats. Grades are still there, but not prior attainment.

I would guess that they are probably relying on the last accurately calculated progress 8 scores from 2024 (when the 2019 sats cohort took gcses)

Theab9ve website linked by @handmademitlove says this in the progress 8 section - you can find the 2 year old scores for the schools you are interested in there but it won't be much of a guide for how they are doing with their current cohorts or how they will do with your children.

Some schools use third party sites which collate data from many schools (all submitted directly by the school). These companies then use all the data collected to estimate what the progress 8 score may have been, based on the teacher assessed data or CATs. It is not perfect but gives schools a ball park figure for "progress 8" to work with.

Thank you all for your help.