Chances of VBAC success?

[hanflan]

Hi all. Yet another VBAC thread....
With DD1 I went into labour by myself waters broke right at the start of labour but had meconium in so I had to be monitored. Baby wasn't happy whenever I had a contraction so they gave me an induction drip. After 9hrs I was still no more than 1cm dilated and baby was still distressed so I had an EMCS.
I think this would be classed as baby in distress, failure to progress, and failed induction.... am I right? If that's the case then what are the chances of a successful VBAC? Did anyone have a similar first birth but then had a VBAC?

I had a VBAC 2 weeks ago. I was induced at 39 weeks with my first due to GD and after pessaries and lots of general fiddling I didn't dilate to even 1cm. With this birth I went to 2 weeks overdue and had my waters broken. 3 and a half hours later, beautiful baby here. My hospital has a 70% VBAC rate. I don't know what the national figure is.

You can ask for a birth debrief and discuss your personal situation and chances of vbac.

My consultant said it was possible that waters breaking very early or being the cause of labour starting is sometimes indicative of poor positioning which in turn is an early indication for an increased likelihood of cs. Sure enough with my vbac attempt, my waters broke out of the blue again. Baby in a rubbish position preventing even dilation. Repeat emacs after 38hrs. I tried!

I was induced at 42 weeks, didn't progress past 5cm in 36 hours due to position of ds, ended up with emcs.
Opted for vbac with dd, spontaneous labour at 40+3 (though latent stage contractions since due date) 12 hours from first 'proper' contraction to delivery.

Oh, and my friend is a mw and said you have more chance of successful vbac if you've been in labour before (rather than emcs with no labour)

I had an emcs with my first due to failure to progress.
I researched like mad re vbac decided to go for it.
Spontaneous labour at 40+7 18 hours later second emcs again failure to progress.
I feel positively that I tried, with my first I was induced over several days, put on a syntocin drip, epidural, stuck on the bed etc. Second time I did everything I could to avoid it- stayed active and upright only had gas and air.
The downside was I was exhausted and I think it took me a lot longer to recover. In the end though two perfect ginourmous babies.
The hard truth is no one can tell you how your birth will be.
Good luck.

National rate is 70%.

There is some correlation to the further dilated you got last time the more chance of a vbac.

But there's no way of telling. If you have a spontaneous labour with no mec this time it could be a totally different labour this time.

Hi op did you give birth yet and if so how did it go?
I'm having the same dilemma now as with my first labour I also had a failure to progress (only 3cm after 10 hours on the drip) and baby was distressed so I had EMCS.
I would like to try for a vbac this time but I don't know what are the chances for a successful one.

overall success rate for VBAC (75% if no previous vaginal birth; 90% if previous successful VBAC; 80% if vaginal birth followed by CS) and the risk of scar rupture (0.5%)