What do we think the odds of this case are?
Grok tells me "Drawing from similar cases (e.g., ~80% success rate for claimants in gender-critical employment disputes since Forstater, per analyses from groups like Sex Matters), I'd assess Kelly's odds of a full win (liability on at least one claim, plus compensation/policy remedies) at 75–85%. A partial win (e.g., harassment upheld but discrimination dismissed) is possible (~15% chance), with a full loss unlikely (<10%). If successful, awards could range £10,000–£50,000+ in compensation, plus costs.
This is an informed estimate, not a prediction—tribunals weigh evidence holistically. For deeper analysis, see Sex Matters' case briefing. Watch for judgment announcements via Tribunal Tweets."
I am keen for as many slam dunk, public cases as possible to happen so everywhere else (schools for me!) get with the programme.