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4 weeks behind Italy??

(13 Posts)
Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 21:07:12

Have heard Jeremy Hunt on channel 4 news and on radio 4 tonight saying, unchallenged, that we are 4 weeks behind Italy. But on 27th February, Italy had 400 confirmed cases. Today’s WHO report the UK have 460 confirmed cases. Surely that makes us 2 weeks behind? Am I missing something?

Exochord Thu 12-Mar-20 21:07:49

No I agree, we’re more like two weeks behind.

QueSera Thu 12-Mar-20 21:10:59

You are absolutely right.
Shameful that they got away with that blatant lie.

Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 21:15:12

Not sure he speaks on behalf of the government nowadays but why would he say this? There seems to be such a resistance to “going nowhere too early” but I’m very worried they’re not taking this seriously enough

Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 21:15:47

“Going too early” that should have said!

DrSheldonCooperPHD Thu 12-Mar-20 21:16:28

I can't find the thread now but someone posted a graph they'd been plotting for the last week of U.K. vs Italian cases and worked out we are 10-14 days behind.

Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 21:17:56

There was an epidemiologist on the news this morning also saying 2 weeks

TheABC Thu 12-Mar-20 21:24:30

It's Jeremy Hunt, so I am putting it down as "wishful thinking". 4 weeks behind brings us nicely to the Easter holidays and a smaller public impact on shutting schools, universities and businesses (by default).

I am still surprised we are not banning large events for the immediate future.

bemoreeverything Thu 12-Mar-20 21:35:37

We will never reach the same numbers as Italy due to lack of testing anyway.

Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 21:50:45

That’s very true, there is definitely a lack of testing.

Not sure if that’s what’s happened with China - have they got on top of things or just stopped testing?

Snowy111 Thu 12-Mar-20 22:01:24

Got some reason China’s latest testing figure is from 20 February en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_testing

US is right at the bottom of the pile!

NotStayingIn Thu 12-Mar-20 22:19:01

First I thought the discrepancy was due to the difference in size of population between UK and Italy, but they aren’t really that far apart. So I don’t get it either. But surely they will have done their research? Would be crazy to get something like that wrong? (Sadly we shall see sooner or later...)

BookMeOnTheSudExpress Thu 12-Mar-20 22:22:45

On all of the Corona threads (the long running ones) it's been said two weeks, until today, when it changed to four. Maybe the truth is somewhere between, maybe the convenience of the Easter holidays has helped them come up with the notion of four weeks.

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