I absolutely think it needs to be worked through, and hopefully scrutiny on them will help.
Political Reality 1:
The only thing that is going to help is Andy Burnham and the Labour Whips getting cold feet and arranging for this Draft Bill to be quietly shelved before it gets anywhere near Parliament.
Political Reality 2:
The Scrutiny Committee does not need to make concessions and the Bill that pops out at the end of the process does not need to make sense.
It is Manifesto Commitment and the Government has the votes to push it through against any opposition. Not that it needs help but it can also rely on TRA MPs in other parties to back the Government.
The Scrutiny Committee is packed with TRAs and there have been oral submissions from two Conversion Practices Victims who have told the Committee in no uncertain terms that the Draft Bill does not go anywhere far enough:
https://parliamentlive.tv/event/index/5adf4d53-df49-41eb-88bf-47590da34a94
Political Reality 3:
Unlike the Assisted Dying Bill, the House of Lords can't help because the Bill is a Manifesto Commitment.
Political Reality 4:
If the Bill gets introduced to Parliament it will be the GRA all over again:
- movers of amendments will be given false reassurances
- they will withdraw their amendments rather than have them voted down
- the Labour Government has got the votes to steamroller it through the Commons, just like the GRA, and that is what will happen.
House of Commons
Labour (incl. Labour Co-op) 404
Conservative 118 Official Opposition.
Liberal Democrat 71
Independent 12
Reform UK 8
Scottish National Party (SNP) 8
Sinn Féin 7 (Abstentionist — they do not take their seats.)
Green Party 5
Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) 4
Plaid Cymru 4
Your Party 2
Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) 2
Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) 1
Alliance 1
Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) 1
Restore Britain 1
Total: 650.
The Government has 404 seats against 246 others and some of those those others are TRAs and will vote with the Government.
Absolutely Tinsel should put in her submission and have it on record. We all need to put in submissions and have them put on record. Just hope that those submissions will help to convince the Government that this is a Vote Loser come the next General Election.
The two witnesses yesterday might help with that. They spent a lot of time talking about Religious Conversion Practices. They focussed on Christianity because that was their experience. However, other Religions would be equally affected.
One outcome, if this Bill gets into Parliament, might be that Labour (and other Parties that support the Bill) will see erosion of their "Muslim Vote" to the benefit of Independents or perhaps even the establishment of a sectarian, homophobic, misogynistic "Islam Party".
If the possibility of that unintended outcome is foreseen by the Labour Whips then maybe that will be enough to tip them over the edge and bring them to their senses.