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Feminism: Sex and gender discussions

Aren't transpeople still a tiny minority?

514 replies

Waheymum · 22/04/2026 06:24

Over about fifteen years, I've noticed growing awareness and concern about transpeople. This may be my age and simply a case of when people I knew started to transition.
What I'm wondering is whether there are statistics further to the last census on how many people are transitioning or have transitioned. This is because I'm pretty sure that men are still a bigger threat to women's safety than transgender (m-f) women are. I'm not saying that no transwoman poses a risk to women, I'm querying whether, statistically, I'm better off crossing the road to avoid a cisgender man or a transgender woman (if, hypothetically, one were on each side of the road).

OP posts:
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Tootingbec · 22/04/2026 08:39

BbjghiIfewh · 22/04/2026 08:35

Yes, it is a minority issue. All the stats shown above only demonstrate that it is indeed a minority issue. There are 82,000 male inmates. Of even a few hundred of them are trans rapists...it is indeed a drop in the ocean. You are probably more likely to die coming out of a bath than be raped by a trans woman. But yes let's all fear them and not the other highly unlikely events.

We don’t fear transwomen, we fear men.

Transwomen are men. It may make them sad to hear that but that is not my problem.

FlirtsWithRhinos · 22/04/2026 08:39

TwoLoonsAndASprout · 22/04/2026 08:32

We seem to have another plop-n-run from OP. I thought the school holidays were over…

I think OP is genuine, she's got posting history and posted on FWR and other topics before.

Screamingabdabz · 22/04/2026 08:37

I think the whole ‘trans’ element is a red herring when talking about the risk to women.

Ultimately men commit most of the violent and sexual crime. If you create a legal loophole that allows dangerous men to ‘identify’ as something that gives them a free pass to the chicken coup they’re going to use it. And girls and women will get hurt.

Whether that male bodied individual has genuine body dysmorphia is neither here nor there. The biggest measure to keep women safe is strict adherence to single sex spaces.

It’s so blindingly obvious.

DialSquare · 22/04/2026 08:37

threeineachlobe · 22/04/2026 08:22

Both men and women (don’t think there are any kids in the group). The group is unrelated to anything trans but every time he posts something that is actually related, he OF COURSE has to mention he is trans.

And I’m guessing most people who gush are just following the ‘be kind’ mantra, and it’s never been an issue for them.

I’m always reminded of this.

Aren't transpeople still a tiny minority?
nicepotoftea · 22/04/2026 08:35

Mt563 · 22/04/2026 06:30

Yes, they are a tiny minority and of that tiny minority, the vast majority pose no threat and just want to get on with their lives.

But humans always create in and out groups and currently one of the out groups is trans people.

The vast majority of men don't pose a threat and just want to get on with their lives and in most situations it is unlawful to treat men and women differently.

The law distinguishes between men and women and allows discrimination in some circumstances where sex is relevant.

Men who identify as trans are no more being excluded than men who like making jam or men who who use a wheelchair or men who are Buddhist monks. They are all just men.

BbjghiIfewh · 22/04/2026 08:35

Yes, it is a minority issue. All the stats shown above only demonstrate that it is indeed a minority issue. There are 82,000 male inmates. Of even a few hundred of them are trans rapists...it is indeed a drop in the ocean. You are probably more likely to die coming out of a bath than be raped by a trans woman. But yes let's all fear them and not the other highly unlikely events.

TwoLoonsAndASprout · 22/04/2026 08:32

We seem to have another plop-n-run from OP. I thought the school holidays were over…

Bertiebiscuit · 22/04/2026 08:31

There are no "trans" people or "Cis" people, only humans who are all either male or female right down to their DNA. Clothes change nothing.

Extrachoc · 22/04/2026 08:30

Helleofabore · 22/04/2026 06:32

Maybe this will be useful for readers.

This was a question answered in Parliament in 23 December 2024:

https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2024-12-16/20298.

Question from Rebecca Paul (MP Reigate): To ask the Secretary of State for Justice, with reference to the HMPPS Offender Equalities Annual Report 2023-2024, published on 28 November 2024, how many of the 50 transgender prisoners who reported their legal gender as female were convicted of a sexual offence.

Answer from Sir Richard Dakin (MP Scunthorpe): 23 December 2024

Of the 245 transgender prisoners who reported their legal gender as male (i.e. those who now identify as women, non-binary or gender-fluid) on 31 March 2024, 151 were convicted of a sexual offence. This includes both contact and non-contact sexual offences. Offence data was not available for 1 individual.

Of the 50 transgender prisoners who reported their legal gender as female on 31 March 2024, the number convicted of a sexual offence is five or fewer. We do not provide exact data for such small sample sizes as it risks identification of individuals. This approach is in line with our standards on data disclosure.

Just a note on this:
Regarding the % of male prisoners in UK with transgender identities. The mentioned above for the year ending 31 March 2024 had the figure that 151 of the 243 male prisoners in the UK prisons had at least one sex offence on their record.

The ratio changed from 43.3% (88/203) having at least one sex offence to their name at 31 March 2023 to 151/243 to 62.1% as at 31 March 2024.

The increase of the overall number of male prisoners with transgender identities in the UK prisons between 2023 and 2024 was only 42 yet the increase in the sex offenders was 63.

In 2019, there were 3.3% of female people in UK prisons were sex offenders. I haven’t looked up the stats since. But I wouldn’t expect this will be different. Last time I looked at the raw stats for female sex offences, they had remained stable numbers for a decade or more despite population growth.

For male people with transgender identities to have the same rate of committing sex offences, there would be 8 (3.3% of 243) prisoners with trans identities in the UK prison population with sex offences.

8
Not 151.

And if someone tries to suggest that the majority of these male prisoners have declared that they are women to gain access to the female prisons, I doubt this is true.

Considering the sex crime numbers for that prison population jumped from 88 to 151 male prisoners with a sex offence that declared they were women in a year (31 March 2024 to 31 March 2024) AFTER the publishing of the guidance in early February 2023, I seriously doubt these new prisoners are making declarations for the benefit of getting into the female prison.

Oh my goodness, I haven’t seen these stats before, that’s shocking!!!

Bertiebiscuit · 22/04/2026 08:26

Motnight · 22/04/2026 06:24

Transgender women are men.

Men who get their, ahem, jollies, wearing a fantasy version of what they imagine women wear. Nothing to do with actual women.

Helleofabore · 22/04/2026 08:25

EmpressaurusKitty · 22/04/2026 08:12

I’m probably most cautious when I’ve been to a women’s rights event & I’m wearing a WRN or Adult Human Female or Keep Prisons Single Sex top.

There was one lovely occasion when I was with 2 other women, none of us above 5 foot 2, & we were surrounded by TRAs. Fortunately the police turned up soon after.

I wonder if being threatened and intimidated by those male people who are supposedly the ‘righteous’ ones has stripped away any remaining emotionally evoked supportive reactions that might have been there?

Having had male people yelling abuse at me because I attended a meeting discussing female people’s rights and needs makes me very aware of how someone’s righteous loved one could end up being the extremist. I don’t know of any women protesting female single sex provisions who threaten and intimidate. And very rarely do women turn up to silence a trans inclusive event.

There really is no symmetry at all in the reactions and the threats and intimidation is never justified in any way. Yet once you see the male reaction to being told ‘no’, it must take some suppression to ‘unsee’ it.

threeineachlobe · 22/04/2026 08:22

Hallamule · 22/04/2026 08:08

Who's doing the gushing? And, more interestingly, why?

Both men and women (don’t think there are any kids in the group). The group is unrelated to anything trans but every time he posts something that is actually related, he OF COURSE has to mention he is trans.

And I’m guessing most people who gush are just following the ‘be kind’ mantra, and it’s never been an issue for them.

Justme56 · 22/04/2026 08:22

Why would anyone think that a man who called themselves Bill yesterday and identified as Brenda today was somehow a different person? We all know the difference between men and women and why women are wary of some men. It’s not rocket science.

RedToothBrush · 22/04/2026 08:20

It's irrelevant. There's enough to be a problem. Why?

Because it's not about how many transwomen there. It's about the impact a single transwomen has. One transwomen over the course of years if they decide to invade women's only space will violate the privacy and dignity of hundreds of not thousands of women. One transwoman in sport has an impact on every woman in that event - so football, it's every one on their own team and everyone they play.

And one transman who has significant complications and health problems as a direct result of transition is going to cost the NHS thousands more than someone who hasn't transitioned. That has an impact on everyone. And that's without considering detransitioners and possible future compensation claims.

So even a small number matters and is significant.

gonnarunoutofnames · 22/04/2026 08:19

Waheymum · 22/04/2026 06:24

Over about fifteen years, I've noticed growing awareness and concern about transpeople. This may be my age and simply a case of when people I knew started to transition.
What I'm wondering is whether there are statistics further to the last census on how many people are transitioning or have transitioned. This is because I'm pretty sure that men are still a bigger threat to women's safety than transgender (m-f) women are. I'm not saying that no transwoman poses a risk to women, I'm querying whether, statistically, I'm better off crossing the road to avoid a cisgender man or a transgender woman (if, hypothetically, one were on each side of the road).

Men with curly ginger hair are also a tiny minority. What’s your point?

Helleofabore · 22/04/2026 08:13

EmpressaurusKitty · 22/04/2026 08:03

As long as it’s an actual bear & not a furry.

Ewww!! I agree.

EmpressaurusKitty · 22/04/2026 08:12

I’m probably most cautious when I’ve been to a women’s rights event & I’m wearing a WRN or Adult Human Female or Keep Prisons Single Sex top.

There was one lovely occasion when I was with 2 other women, none of us above 5 foot 2, & we were surrounded by TRAs. Fortunately the police turned up soon after.

Hallamule · 22/04/2026 08:12

DworkinWasRight · 22/04/2026 08:09

The whole problem with gender ideology is that it allows any man to claim to be a woman and access women’s facilities and activities.

You only have to think about it a short while to work out which men are most likely to take advantage of this opportunity.

Are you suggesting that the only reason for keeping trans women out of women's spaces are we can't tell them from the predators? I disagree. Even if we could tell the "true" trans women from the fetishists, and predators , I still think it's fine to want spaces free of men.

Helleofabore · 22/04/2026 08:12

So @Waheymum to answer your OP.

”I'm pretty sure that men are still a bigger threat to women's safety than transgender (m-f) women are.”

If you are talking in raw numbers, sure there are less male people who have declared that they have transgender identities. So what?

The risk factor is the key. And there is no evidence at all that a male person with a transgender identity is less likely to cause a female person harm than any other male person. So, that male person on one side of the street carries the same risk of harm as the male person on the other side of the street.

That also makes sense when you consider the studies have now shown that male people retain male pubertal advantages even with suppression of testosterone which includes male people having 160% punch power.

We build risk factors by reviewing the crime data and criminality patterns of the population.

You saying ‘there are less male people with a transgender identity’ is meaningless in the context of understanding the risk assessment.

GrandmasCat · 22/04/2026 08:12

Waheymum · 22/04/2026 06:24

Over about fifteen years, I've noticed growing awareness and concern about transpeople. This may be my age and simply a case of when people I knew started to transition.
What I'm wondering is whether there are statistics further to the last census on how many people are transitioning or have transitioned. This is because I'm pretty sure that men are still a bigger threat to women's safety than transgender (m-f) women are. I'm not saying that no transwoman poses a risk to women, I'm querying whether, statistically, I'm better off crossing the road to avoid a cisgender man or a transgender woman (if, hypothetically, one were on each side of the road).

Real ones? I would say they are a tiny minority.

Those pretending to be transgender to have access to women, women spaces and vulnerable women, are they really transgenders? Don’t think so. At all.

TheSandgroper · 22/04/2026 08:11

Waheymum · 22/04/2026 06:24

Over about fifteen years, I've noticed growing awareness and concern about transpeople. This may be my age and simply a case of when people I knew started to transition.
What I'm wondering is whether there are statistics further to the last census on how many people are transitioning or have transitioned. This is because I'm pretty sure that men are still a bigger threat to women's safety than transgender (m-f) women are. I'm not saying that no transwoman poses a risk to women, I'm querying whether, statistically, I'm better off crossing the road to avoid a cisgender man or a transgender woman (if, hypothetically, one were on each side of the road).

But it only takes one. Are you willing to put your hand up and offer to take one for the team? Are you willing to be the one so the rest of us aren’t?

https://reduxx.info

Home - Reduxx

Reduxx your unapologetically pro-woman, pro-child safeguarding source of news and commentary.

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FlirtsWithRhinos · 22/04/2026 08:10

Joking aside, I don't cross the street to avoid anyone. Male, female, trans, not trans, old, young, race, whatever. Most people, including most men whatever gender they present as, are not an immediate physical or sexual threat.

That doesn't mean trans women alone, out of all the men who aren't a threat, should get special access to women because they are somehow mentally "more like women" than other men are.

And it doesn't stop the collective entitlement of men over women being a systemic threat to women's safety: sexual and physical yes, but also emotional, financial and social, and the chilling effect this has on how we move through society and on whether we have the practical freedom to make full use of our theoretically equal opportunities.

DworkinWasRight · 22/04/2026 08:09

The whole problem with gender ideology is that it allows any man to claim to be a woman and access women’s facilities and activities.

You only have to think about it a short while to work out which men are most likely to take advantage of this opportunity.

Hallamule · 22/04/2026 08:08

threeineachlobe · 22/04/2026 06:35

People who say they’re trans may indeed be a minority, but fuck me don’t we know about them.

In a FB group I’m in, one bloke in particular bombards it with his ‘girl’ feelz. Head tilt, smirk - the usual. And the amount of gushing over him is nauseating.

Who's doing the gushing? And, more interestingly, why?

EmpressaurusKitty · 22/04/2026 08:08

tnorfotkcab · 22/04/2026 08:05

Interesting that all @Diverze kids friends are ALL autistic.

There's a very strong link between autism and people pretending to be women/men

If they all really stay out of female spaces, which I assume means using unisex ones when possible & male ones when not, that’s at least an improvement.

I remember when there was a trans-identifying bloke on a panel at FiLiA (not Hayton) who said that if a unisex space wasn’t available he’d use the women’s one. That was very unpopular with the audience, & he was meant to be one of the reasonable ones.

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