Autumn 2023

[GloriaSmud]

As we're a few weeks away from the start of meteorological autumn (1st September), some early thoughts here.

First ice warning of the season!
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-10-22

Jesus as if they haven't enough to contend with 🙈

I wouldn't worry about the 4th yet, we've lots of water to pass under the bridge yet. (literally!) I'm keeping an eye on next Sunday at the moment, when GFS shows a low pressure system passing over SE.
Generally though, plenty of wet and windy weather to come.

@OhYouBadBadKitten the run off has started here. Our streams, waterfalls are torrents. Water running across roads. Frost and ice the scots really don't need just now.

Woke up this morning to zero degrees. Had to do that thing where you squint out of the window in the dark to try and see if there's frost / ice. I decided it just looked like condensation on the car but went out early anyway. Good job I did - pure ice on the windscreen.

We had a fair bit of rain here, but not as much as some. One of our farmland fields is like a lake which I've never seen quite as bad before in 42 years of living here.

Be safe everyone.

The ice this morning must have been a bit of a nightmare!

I'm not sure what to say about the weather for this week. Unsettled is the theme. Where you have drier interludes, make the most of them.

It was a chilly 3C this morning (now back in Leicester after my lovely week on the SW coast!) I'm about to take advantage of the nice weather today and start emptying my pots of the summer bedding plants.

(And I noticed from one of my favourite webcams, that the Christmas tree has gone up this morning in Lordi Square, Rovaniemi in Finland.)

I've started a warnings thread because they are just going to keep rolling in and it's easier for people who aren't the usual weather followers to spot them when they start trending.
https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4926544-autumnwinter-weather-warnings?reply=130158571

Where you have drier interludes, make the most of them.
That gave me the kick i needed to clear the garage gutterings today. House was done in summer but I refuse to pay extra for the garage ones that I can reach from a mini stepladder. It was very...ummmm...midgey.

oh yuck Pixie. But well done! You've just reminded me, I need to go and clear out where our down pipe goes into the drain.

Amusingly, GFS has introduced the risk of snow down the spine of the UK on the 3rd. Not just for the Pennines, but into the south.
just one model run though and GFS is fond of overforecasting snow.

And here starteth the 'Will it, Won't it?' Snow dance that shall prevail until at least.. ooh late March shall we say? 😄☃️

Snow? Don't talk to me about snow! You young 'uns know nothing. Why, when I were a lass, that was snow! And when I was older, and had moved to NE England, that was really snow!!

I am an optimist, and still live in hope each year. Plus now, I can walk to my nearest shops, and don't have to drive to work any more...

GFS likes to be rogue. I think we can expect a lot of moisture... be that rain, hail, sleet, snow. Probably rain.

Friday 3rd November seems to me to be a day to watch out for, as the low pressure system comes in. Wind may be the issue, as that could bring down trees onto power lines. We are still over a week away, so models will change.

@OhYouBadBadKitten what do you make of the latest GFS run for Friday 3rd, especially for NE Scotland?

There's definitely something up in the models for 2/3/4th Nannynick. I wouldn't like to guess specifics, but it looks stormy and/or cold. Pretty rough scenarios keep popping up.

We're in for cold weather before that though. 🥶🥶

Why is it still so bloody mild?! It's doing my head in!

The days here are sunnier but the nights nicely chilly. Think of the heating bills you're saving on

Tomorrow mid afternoon into the evening looks perhaps quite lively for some with thunderstorms possible across southern central and eastern areas into the midlands.

Thursday is beginning to look like another named storm day. I think early warnings will go out in the next few days. This most likely affecting the south and south east for wind.

https://www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4929935-potential-named-storm-for-around-1st2nd-nov I've started an early thread for Wednesday/Thursday. Note that winds currently look worst for south and west, not south and east as stated last night.

I didn’t know there was a weather thread - hurrah! I have two indoor barometers and a very old fashioned weather vane and weather house and thinking about building my own stevensons box? I think that’s what it is called. I know this is to talk about the weather and is fab - but I’m interested in where it all comes from eg local to me it’s the airport readings which are higher up so often not the same as me in the village 10 miles away.

@Rocksonabeach sounds like you will fit right in!

Had a look at the reservoir levels just now some are well above the average year. We've flood alerts out tonight for some areas.

I'll be starting a thread for saturdays fierce looking weather in a day or two. Looks like we will have two named storms in a week. In the mean time, take every opportunity to enjoy the bits that aren't raining!