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Weather

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23

730 replies

OhYouBadBadKitten · 30/12/2022 21:16

Old thread : www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4626193-winter-weather-outlook

www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2022-12-31

Not quite January yet, but the weather warnings continue. Generally a mild outlook to come, though of course parts of Scotland will see more wintry weather on and off.

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TokyoSushi · 09/03/2023 07:22

iPhone weather tells me 100% snow from 8am, I like iPhone weather, it's woefully inaccurate, but tells me what I want to hear!

justasking111 · 09/03/2023 08:19

Son has phoned to ask for the sledges kids are taking a snow day so is daddy 😂😂

GloriaSmud · 09/03/2023 08:24

Side roads are beginning to get a covering here now.

justasking111 · 09/03/2023 08:26

North Wales

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23
InMySpareTime · 09/03/2023 08:41

Been snowing for hours in Manchester but it's so wet it's all just melting.

Tricyrtis2022 · 09/03/2023 08:41

Just checked three weather sites - Met Office, Net Weather and XC Weather and they all show different forecasts, especially wind direction. MO says wind from the east, NW says wind from NE and XCW says wind from SE then changing to E at midday.

How can we rely on any of them?

Tricyrtis2022 · 09/03/2023 08:42

Mistake - XCW showing wind from the south from midday.

OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/03/2023 08:48

Tri you can't really put Netweather and XC on the same forecasting level as the Met Office. The Met Office are our national forecasters and part of the civil service. They run their on model suites on supercomputers. They feed in data into the NHS and various other important national infrastructure.

Netweather and XC use other peoples models and in the case of Netweather put their own interpretation on them. Its not to say that the people at Netweather aren't skilled, they are very skilled and half of what goes on in forecasting is interpretation of models. For that though, you need to look at the worded forecasts, not the pictograms that are auto generated.

In all cases, sometimes there are situations where weather is very hard to forecast and this really shows in snow. Just a tiny change in something like the temperature, position of weather system, dew points, et etc are game changers in terms of what people see on the ground.

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Tricyrtis2022 · 09/03/2023 09:00

Thanks for the explanation, Kitten.

It's just the confusion that gets me, all the forecasters saying different things.

Tricyrtis2022 · 09/03/2023 09:01

That doesn't mean I don't appreciate forecasters, I really do!

Ihateboris · 09/03/2023 09:16

TokyoSushi · 09/03/2023 07:21

Nothing at all here in Cheshire, boo!

Whereabouts in Cheshire? It's snowing here in Chester

TokyoSushi · 09/03/2023 09:22

We have it now @Ihateboris Grin

OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/03/2023 09:54

www.mumsnet.com/talk/weather/4759321-amber-snow-warning-for-parts-of-north-wales-910th-march a new amber warning is out. This time for north Wales and Shropshire.

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cheeseybeans19 · 09/03/2023 10:24

Quite a good covering on the roads now as well as the paths and grass in Leicestershire. Doesn’t seem to be slowing down, hoping it sticks for a bit so my son gets to play in it after school! He will be very disappointed if it gets rained away before he has chance!

nannynick · 09/03/2023 11:29

East coast, Scotland. Looks nice in the sunshine.

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23
ScarlettDarling · 09/03/2023 16:18

@OhYouBadBadKitten My dh has to drive from Newcastle to Oxford tomorrow right through an amber weather warning 😩 What time do you think it will be best to travel? He had intended to set off after rush hour to get there early afternoon but will that be the worst weather time? Am so stressed at the thought of him driving all that way in thick snow!

EmmaEmerald · 09/03/2023 19:25

Really weird in North London
Not that bad walking from station at 5.30

Then at 7ish the temperature plummeted and howling winds began

Mum said more snow forecast overnight
Tomorrow will be freezing it says
Then by Sunday going up to 13? That would be nice but somehow I doubt it!

OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/03/2023 20:02

Scarlett I would wait as long as he can to give the roads chance to clear. The roads will be getting icy from mid evening or so in Oxford, but they should be well gritted.

There may well be some snow on the back edge of the system as it clears out tomorrow morning through the midlands into Oxfordshire and perhaps Hertfordshire.

Sunday does look temporarily warmer. Watch for temporary flooding from the thaw where there has been lying snow.

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ScarlettDarling · 09/03/2023 20:11

Thank you. He’s staying over in Oxford Friday night and driving home on Saturday when the forecast looks better but I’m a bit worried about the long drive tomorrow.

EmmaEmerald · 09/03/2023 20:39

Thanks Kitten

OhYouBadBadKitten · 09/03/2023 22:01

New warning out to reflect that back edge turning to snow.

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23
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OhYouBadBadKitten · 10/03/2023 07:12

8am snapshot.

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23
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InMySpareTime · 10/03/2023 07:37

Good picture of the Manchester Snow Shield ™️ in action.

GloriaSmud · 10/03/2023 07:49

InMySpareTime 😞 I'll send you some of my Leicester anow.

Winter Weather Outlook. Part 2: Into January '23
GloriaSmud · 10/03/2023 07:50

That should be snow not anow. I've no idea what anow is!