Data, Stats, Daily Numbers started 14th November 2021

[boys3]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Our preference is for actual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Our links below probably need a refresh ready for the festive season,. so all reasonable suggestions welcome.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Barnsley

Bedford and Central Bedfordshire

Swale

Barrow

Kettering and Corby

Gosport

Hinckley and Bosworth

Rutland

Those are helpful boys.

Just booked my booster. So easy to do, feel happy about that!

@MarshaBradyo

Just booked my booster. So easy to do, feel happy about that!

I want my booster. South West Surrey is so shit. Very, very few NHS vax centres, no walk-ins, not yet called by GP service, (who only have one centre and are serving all of SW Surrey!), and I am 56 .

I am tempted to pop into London, DD (24), says if she was eligible she has a choice of 5 centres within walking distance! A hospital, her GP, and three pop ups.

@BigWoollyJumpers are you close to the Hampshire border? Fleet has a walk in centre that is not on the national booking system. You can attend as long as your 6 months has passed.

Oh BigWoolly that is frustrating. Yes I’m in London like your dd and had a list of places nearby, free at 6 months

Maybe if you fancy a visit do that

Following on from the "vaccinated working age adults are more likely to contract Covid" debacle from PHE, we have another statistical own goal from the ONS, as detailed by the Covid Actuaries Group.

According to the ONS vaccinated people age 10-59 are much more likely to die than unvaccinated people. Why this might be is left as an exercise for the reader (or read the link).
covidactuaries.org/2021/11/22/simpsons-paradox-and-vaccines/

@BigWoollyJumpers. I had my booster at Sandown Park racecourse, they are doing walk ins today and tomorrow 11 till 3 or United Reform Church in Woking. Don’t know if these are near you in Surrey.

It seems ridiculous that ONS did not spot this themselves mrsw!!

Multiple times issues have been raised about their, at times, misleading use of data to do with age bands, the way they list occupations, they way they interpret their own data...

Remind me what the S stands for again...

Multiple times issues have been raised about their, at times, misleading use of data to do with age bands, the way they list occupations, they way they interpret their own data...

Add to that terrible survey designs.

Really interesting graphs boys, thank you.

However East Devon and Lewes (both celebrate bonfire night in a big way) dont seem to have the same rise

Maybe it's to do with attitude to risk and past infection here, I imagine anyone who is willing to go to the tar barrels or Lewes displays is willing to engage in highly risky behaviour so are more likely to be infected.

Watching a stone get upturned seems a little bit safer than the others.

I know I'm quite relaxed about my covid risk, but I wouldn't be visiting the otherwise very pleasant village of Ottery on tar barrels night!

Good to hear about AZ labs in Cambridge but also interesting from Soriot on T cell response wrt AZ - no evidence at this point though

Higher increase week on week than the last couple of days.

HOWEVER, in England, zero LFD confirmations in the last 2 days, and only 70 from 3 days ago, the PCR only daily numbers are also higher than normally implied which suggests to me that PCR's are not being matched to LFD's so we have some double counting in the last 3 days.

Of course it could be a different problem, and the PCR confirmations are just completely missing but either way the figures for the last couple of days need to be looked at with a bit of a questioning eye.

I'm in the south and several primary schools near me are being hit pretty hard.

Staff are struggling with advice from the new PHE: one school was told to close their y1 class today due to 25% off with covid or symptoms, while another school with 50% off in reception, are still open. Makes no sense!

Another issue is staff with a several positive LFTs but a negative PCR are being told to return to work!

Is there any news on what is happening with the testing labs and false negatives?

A very interesting observation re: PCR/LFT numbers, sirfred. I agree the numbers for the past 3 days look strange.

What on earth's going on at the Lizard? I thought if there was one place that would have a respite in November that would be it.

23 members of staff off at my school yesterday...