lonelyplanet - there is an important nuance that I was trying to convey (unsuccessfully). Of course, there is significant spread in school that amplifies community transmission and, of course, with most 17-25 year olds getting infected over summer most of the infections are now in schoolchildren.
However - I am not trying to analyse absolute case levels. What has puzzled me is an unusual significant (12-15%) spike reported this week. Schools have been open since early September and what we have seen so far is the continuous stable increase of cases. One off material jump appears to suggest a super spreading event - it simply does not fit the previous September pattern. It is highly unlikely that so many children infected their parents over a specific time period (starting from September 30) - spillover into the 40-49 age group was also happening at a slow steady pace.
I am absolutely not convinced I am right - it is only a hypothesis. More importantly, I am definitely not trying to “blame” cinemagoers. In fact, I really dislike the use of word “blame”. Covid is a virus. It spreads. Many people I know IRL who have been extremely careful throughout the pandemic ended up getting infected. Others were willing to take more risks but still managed to avoid it. It appears to be a combination of luck and strength of our immune system. The cinemagoers did nothing wrong and I would’ve probably joined them in my childfree days. Now I am more likely to go to a morning premier of a Disney movie (at least for a few years).