Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 11th JULY

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
List of useful data links below. Suggestions for additions, and indeed deletions, always welcome.
UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

@herecomesthsun

Even at the worse scenario 300k -700 deaths a day it’d be 1/2 the deaths we had daily in January so would that be alright then?

Even one death is more than what it’s right I was only saying it for comparison for when the things were wrong back in winter

'Also, they are just extrapolating current doubling times. No way they will continue. Once the Euro super spreading is out of the wash, things will calm down.'

Ok that makes sense. I was wondering why it was so far off the imperial and other sage predictions which are still not great but much less depressing than that one.

I wonder why though the UK projections on there look so much worse than those for other countries e.g. The Netherlands had huge growth in infections recently but their projections seem pretty muted in comparison.
covid19.healthdata.org/netherlands?view=daily-deaths&tab=trend

AlecTrevelyan006 Are the labels right on that graph, it seems to have at least 1 dose vaccinated people increasing still, and unvaccinated on the decline? Part of that could of course is people moving into the vaccinated category but that doesn't seem to follow your commentary?

Most will have seen this graph design before; latest 7 day rate per 100,000 based on a two day reporting lag on the x-axis; starting at 100 per 100,000 as no council area in England is now below that. y axis shows the absolute increase in the rate per 100,000 as compared with the prior seven day period; anything below the x-axis has shown a decrease in cases; not too many but certainly some. Not shown on the graph but for context on a two day lag and where council geography confirmed the latest overall rate is just past 400 per 100,000; up close to 90 per 100,0000 as compared with the prior week. Median rate 355 up by just over 100.

A gentle starter with England's regions; London split between Inner and Outer London Boroughs.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-52544307

Arrivals from France now have to quarantine due to concerns over Beta variant.

Outer London Boroughs

Inner London Borough including a couple just below the li

East of England UTLAs

Cambridgeshire; Norfolk and Suffolk

Essex and Hertfordshire

Into the East Midlands - Derbyshire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire

Northamptonshire, Nottinghamshire and the four UTLAs in the region.

North West UTLA a number showing a fall

Cumbria

Lancashire again some falling here

North East - South Tyneside very high rate still but below the line; similarly Newcastle also a slight decline

South East UTLAs

Buckinghamshire, Hampshire and Oxforshire ; Oxford showing a big decline

Oxfordshire even

Kent, Surrey both of the Sussexes

South West UTLAs

Devon, Gloucestershire, Somerset

West Midlands UTLAs

Staffordshire, Warwickshire, Worcestershire