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Conflict in the Middle East

Netanyahu rules out two state solution

253 replies

ConnieCounter · 18/01/2024 20:58

Netanyahu rejects a Palestinian state. Surprise surprise.

What is his plan for Gaza?

Resettle with Israeli settlements? Return to continued Israeli occupation?

How can the US, UK, EU and others continue to support this war when they claim to be in favour of a two state solution?

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-01-18-2024-73d552c6e73e0dc3783a0a11b2b5f67d?taid=65a95f27cc8ea90001513093&utm_campaign=TrueAnthem&utm_medium=AP&utm_source=Twitter

A Palestinian woman flashes a V-sign towards Israeli troops during an army raid in the Tulkarem refugee camp, West Bank, Wednesday, Jan.17, 2024. An Israeli airstrike killed four Palestinians during a raid in the West Bank. The military says it targete...

Netanyahu says he has told US he opposes Palestinian state in any postwar scenario

The announcement from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu exposed the deep divisions that have emerged between the U.S. and Israel.

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-news-01-18-2024-73d552c6e73e0dc3783a0a11b2b5f67d?taid=65a95f27cc8ea90001513093

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11
Polka83 · 22/01/2024 07:55

PiersPlowman11 · 21/01/2024 21:30

@5thCommandment That's war for you. It's not a game of cricket. And, as I said, the other side always gets a vote, and there's no guarantee the response wil be "proportional", whatever that means. To me, that line of reasoning speaks of naiveté and the gamification (score keeping) of war. And in war, everyone's a target.

@AdamRyan Hamas is the government of the Palestinians so what Hamas does is in their name. If they do not like that, then the best bet is to get rid of Hamas a.s.a.p.

@PiersPlowman11
It’s a war crime for a response in war not to be proportional. We will wait to see what the ICJ say as an outcome from the preliminary hearing, but government legal advice from other countries has suggested concerns (UK, Swiss, SA etc).

It would be judged antisemitic to say that the Israelis would be responsible for the crimes of it’s repeatedly elected PM- and rightly so. Who would have imagined that we would see what we are in Gaza, and equally who would have predicted what Hamas did on the 7/10. The Israeli intelligence didn’t despite the warnings - as it was so unexpected.

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 08:04

PiersPlowman11 · 21/01/2024 21:30

@5thCommandment That's war for you. It's not a game of cricket. And, as I said, the other side always gets a vote, and there's no guarantee the response wil be "proportional", whatever that means. To me, that line of reasoning speaks of naiveté and the gamification (score keeping) of war. And in war, everyone's a target.

@AdamRyan Hamas is the government of the Palestinians so what Hamas does is in their name. If they do not like that, then the best bet is to get rid of Hamas a.s.a.p.

Kinda victim blaming there. How do the Palestinians "get rid of" a terrorist dictatorship? Especially in a context where they are heavily controlled with limited ability to move in and out and very limited access to weapons?
And if they had "got rid of Hamas" prior to October 7th, what difference would that have made to their situation? There appears to be no alternative.

Finally let's not forget Hamas suited Netanyahu for a good while as different administrations in Gaza and West Bank made the two state solution harder to negotiate. Lots of people think he propped them up.

AliceA2021 · 22/01/2024 08:10

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 07:42

Oh, because you @ me I thought you were replying to my previous post.

Why did you direct your post to me then? It's hard to understand a post with no context Confused

You made a statement that Netanyahu won't accept a 2 state solution. I @ you with Hamas won't either, with a link showing hamas leader stating that.

Very simple, neither will currently. No debate just statements. Hence your reply about people referring to Palestinians as hamas made no sense, I never did that.

Parkingt111 · 22/01/2024 08:11

@AdamRyan It's crazy that people suggest that the Palestinians somehow deserve what is happening because they didn't get rid of Hamas themselves. How do they expect ordinary citizens to achieve what one of the world's most powerful military backed by other powerful militaries have not managed to achieve yet? Its the worst type of victim blaming

AliceA2021 · 22/01/2024 08:14

AdamRyan · 21/01/2024 20:38

I'm not discussing what a terrorist group will or won't do.
I take issue with people using "Palestinians" when they mean Hamas. It betrays their prejudice.

This post of yours.

You take issue with something I didn't say. 🙄

PiersPlowman11 · 22/01/2024 08:32

@Polka83
The only crime in war is starting it in the first place.

That’s why we should not do it. And yes, Geneva convention… ICJ trials… indulgent Western decadence. I know the theory.

In practice, war involves wanton savagery, for it is not enough to destroy a man’s means to fight; one must also destroy his will to fight. The stronger his will, the greater the barbarism.

The rule of war is that the biggest cnut wins. At the moment, that looks to be like Netanyahu.

PiersPlowman11 · 22/01/2024 08:34

@AdamRyan
Good morning, Adam.

So we agree - getting rid of Hamas is good for everyone. Best root for the Israelis to get it done as quickly as possible.

Polka83 · 22/01/2024 08:37

PiersPlowman11 · 22/01/2024 08:32

@Polka83
The only crime in war is starting it in the first place.

That’s why we should not do it. And yes, Geneva convention… ICJ trials… indulgent Western decadence. I know the theory.

In practice, war involves wanton savagery, for it is not enough to destroy a man’s means to fight; one must also destroy his will to fight. The stronger his will, the greater the barbarism.

The rule of war is that the biggest cnut wins. At the moment, that looks to be like Netanyahu.

More reason to use meaningful diplomacy - and it takes 2 sides to do this. I also think that if it was made to work it would deflate any tendency for people to vote in right wing extremists or support terrorists- eventually.

statsfun · 22/01/2024 08:51

You're right @PiersPlowman11 , it's more than 1.5-2% of the 'pool' of possible combatants.

I've done some sums, based on some assumptions (say if you want details - they're quite long!) and I've estimated a pool of possible Gazan combatants of 560,000
That's 400k men 18-50, 100k women 18-50, 50k boys 16-18, 10k girls 16-18)

(I've assumed similar proportion of men/women to the UK army. Stricter gender roles might make it less, but the fight is happening in their own country, which I'd expect to make women more likely to fight.
I've assumed adult proportions for 16-18yos in Gaza. In the UK, there are far fewer 16-18yos in the army, but I'm assuming immediacy of the conflict and fewer other options change that balance in Gaza. I'm excluding all under 16s)

So 30-40 thousand Hamas combatants is 5-7% of the 'pool' of all possible Palestinian combatants in Gaza. That's people actually fighting: many more will be giving active help.

That compares to a UK army of 186 thousand (including volunteer reserves): 0.27% of our total population, or 1% of our 'pool' of possible combatants.

The US has a bigger army proportionally than the UK: approximately 0.4% of their total population (of all ages), or 1.5% of their 'pool' of possible combatants. So still a significantly lower percentange than Palestinians actively fighting for Hamas in Gaza.

yummyscummymummy01 · 22/01/2024 08:59

What's the alternative to a two state solution that is being discussed in Israel? What are people envisioning? Genuine question.

statsfun · 22/01/2024 09:07

Sorry - 40k women and 5k girls giving a total of 500k possible combatants. Edit function needs to be longer!

That makes it 6-8% of the 'pool' of all possible Palestinian combatants in Gaza actively fighting for Hamas.

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 09:27

AliceA2021 · 21/01/2024 17:45

@AdamRyan

Hamas won't stop until they destroy Israel.

https://twitter.com/MEMRIReports/status/1749049490009440569

You @me in this post @AliceA2021 and I assumed because you were making a point about my previous post about referring to Palestinians/Hamas interchangeably.
I obviously misunderstood, I apologise for that, but I still don't know why you tagged me

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 09:31

PiersPlowman11 · 22/01/2024 08:34

@AdamRyan
Good morning, Adam.

So we agree - getting rid of Hamas is good for everyone. Best root for the Israelis to get it done as quickly as possible.

Yes. I think where we disagree is that I don't think indiscriminate bombing of Gaza with the resulting humanitarian crisis is an effective way to get them out of power.

I think Israel walked into a trap by responding immediately with extreme force.

We are just going round in circles though as it's clear from your posts that you fully support Netanyahu's response. So let's not bother going back there again.

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 09:37

AliceA2021 · 22/01/2024 08:10

You made a statement that Netanyahu won't accept a 2 state solution. I @ you with Hamas won't either, with a link showing hamas leader stating that.

Very simple, neither will currently. No debate just statements. Hence your reply about people referring to Palestinians as hamas made no sense, I never did that.

OK my point is still relevant though. Hamas is a terrorist group, administering one Palestinian territory. Everyone agrees they need to go. I don't think what they say is particularly relevant to a solution because I don't think it can be claimed they are legitimately representing a Palestinian solution.

Netanyahu is democratically elected, Head of a state allied to the UK and the US. What he says is very relevant to a solution as most countries have committed to standing with Israel.

Why is pointing out the difficulties with Netanyahu's position such a problem on here?

AliceA2021 · 22/01/2024 09:39

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 09:27

You @me in this post @AliceA2021 and I assumed because you were making a point about my previous post about referring to Palestinians/Hamas interchangeably.
I obviously misunderstood, I apologise for that, but I still don't know why you tagged me

Thank you.

I merely tagged you because you made a statement that Netanyahu won't accept 2 state solution with a sentence that Hamas won't accept a 2 state solution either as per hamas leader statement. That's all. Neither will accept.

I don't believe all Palestinians are hamas and therefore the comment you made to me about showing my prejudice was unfair and inaccurate.

1dayatatime · 22/01/2024 09:41

@yummyscummymummy01

"What's the alternative to a two state solution that is being discussed in Israel? What are people envisioning? Genuine question."

+++

There are alot of bad faith posters simply seeking to agitate and spread further dissent and polarisation on this topic which only makes any solution or compromise that much harder to achieve.

However I will take your post in good faith as to what in my opinion could be a two part carrot and stick solution to the current crisis.

Firstly the stick, you have Hamas in charge of Gaza who are committed to the destruction of Israel. A call for ceasefire would mean no further Palestinian civilians being killed however it would leave Hamas still in charge meaning further Israeli civilians being killed. So whilst Hamas remain in place the choice is between Palestinian civilians or Israeli civilians being killed. To stop this Hamas must be removed from power and there are two options to achieve this:
A) asking them nicely to leave
B) removing them by force.
Given the Egyptians tried and failed on Option A that currently leaves Option B.

Secondly the carrot - you cannot just bomb Hamas out of existence without creating resentment and anger amongst ordinary Palestinians- all you will do is create Hamas 2.0.

Ordinary Palestinian need to be given an alternative path or hope for a better and more peaceful existence. To do this the West Bank needs to become an economic success, with control over its borders and the immediate halting of any further Israeli settlements with a view to dismantle existing settlements.

Ordinary Gazans then have the choice (and it is important that it is their choice). To stay and fight Israel in the chaos, destruction and misery under Hamas (or Hamas 2.0) or peace and prosperity under a West Bank model and control.

If the genuine concern of protesters or Gazans is to prevent further Gazan civilians being killed then the quickest way to achieve this is to call for Hamas to step down / leave Gaza and return the hostages. Otherwise Israel will continue their offensive creating further Palestinian civilian deaths.

AliceA2021 · 22/01/2024 09:43

1dayatatime · 22/01/2024 09:41

@yummyscummymummy01

"What's the alternative to a two state solution that is being discussed in Israel? What are people envisioning? Genuine question."

+++

There are alot of bad faith posters simply seeking to agitate and spread further dissent and polarisation on this topic which only makes any solution or compromise that much harder to achieve.

However I will take your post in good faith as to what in my opinion could be a two part carrot and stick solution to the current crisis.

Firstly the stick, you have Hamas in charge of Gaza who are committed to the destruction of Israel. A call for ceasefire would mean no further Palestinian civilians being killed however it would leave Hamas still in charge meaning further Israeli civilians being killed. So whilst Hamas remain in place the choice is between Palestinian civilians or Israeli civilians being killed. To stop this Hamas must be removed from power and there are two options to achieve this:
A) asking them nicely to leave
B) removing them by force.
Given the Egyptians tried and failed on Option A that currently leaves Option B.

Secondly the carrot - you cannot just bomb Hamas out of existence without creating resentment and anger amongst ordinary Palestinians- all you will do is create Hamas 2.0.

Ordinary Palestinian need to be given an alternative path or hope for a better and more peaceful existence. To do this the West Bank needs to become an economic success, with control over its borders and the immediate halting of any further Israeli settlements with a view to dismantle existing settlements.

Ordinary Gazans then have the choice (and it is important that it is their choice). To stay and fight Israel in the chaos, destruction and misery under Hamas (or Hamas 2.0) or peace and prosperity under a West Bank model and control.

If the genuine concern of protesters or Gazans is to prevent further Gazan civilians being killed then the quickest way to achieve this is to call for Hamas to step down / leave Gaza and return the hostages. Otherwise Israel will continue their offensive creating further Palestinian civilian deaths.

Yes.

AdamRyan · 22/01/2024 09:55

1dayatatime · 22/01/2024 09:41

@yummyscummymummy01

"What's the alternative to a two state solution that is being discussed in Israel? What are people envisioning? Genuine question."

+++

There are alot of bad faith posters simply seeking to agitate and spread further dissent and polarisation on this topic which only makes any solution or compromise that much harder to achieve.

However I will take your post in good faith as to what in my opinion could be a two part carrot and stick solution to the current crisis.

Firstly the stick, you have Hamas in charge of Gaza who are committed to the destruction of Israel. A call for ceasefire would mean no further Palestinian civilians being killed however it would leave Hamas still in charge meaning further Israeli civilians being killed. So whilst Hamas remain in place the choice is between Palestinian civilians or Israeli civilians being killed. To stop this Hamas must be removed from power and there are two options to achieve this:
A) asking them nicely to leave
B) removing them by force.
Given the Egyptians tried and failed on Option A that currently leaves Option B.

Secondly the carrot - you cannot just bomb Hamas out of existence without creating resentment and anger amongst ordinary Palestinians- all you will do is create Hamas 2.0.

Ordinary Palestinian need to be given an alternative path or hope for a better and more peaceful existence. To do this the West Bank needs to become an economic success, with control over its borders and the immediate halting of any further Israeli settlements with a view to dismantle existing settlements.

Ordinary Gazans then have the choice (and it is important that it is their choice). To stay and fight Israel in the chaos, destruction and misery under Hamas (or Hamas 2.0) or peace and prosperity under a West Bank model and control.

If the genuine concern of protesters or Gazans is to prevent further Gazan civilians being killed then the quickest way to achieve this is to call for Hamas to step down / leave Gaza and return the hostages. Otherwise Israel will continue their offensive creating further Palestinian civilian deaths.

I agree with most of this but Ordinary Gazans then have the choice (and it is important that it is their choice). To stay and fight Israel in the chaos, destruction and misery under Hamas (or Hamas 2.0) or peace and prosperity under a West Bank model and control.

"Ordinary Gazans" don't appear to have any way to express their choice. Hamas are not going to let them do that, they are trapped in Gaza.

Unless you are suggesting a mechanism by which "Ordinary Gazans" can leave Gaza for the West Bank?

Peeony · 22/01/2024 09:59

Parkingt111 · 22/01/2024 08:11

@AdamRyan It's crazy that people suggest that the Palestinians somehow deserve what is happening because they didn't get rid of Hamas themselves. How do they expect ordinary citizens to achieve what one of the world's most powerful military backed by other powerful militaries have not managed to achieve yet? Its the worst type of victim blaming

I agree it would be difficult to get rid of them, but I also don’t think we should assume the majority of Palestinians are helpless victims who don’t like Hamas.

  1. They did elect Hamas in the first place.
  2. There have been no significant attempts to oust Hamas
  3. Polls show majority support for Hamas.

Im sure there are a range of views on Hamas but we shouldn’t assume Palestinians don’t support them just because we think they’re barbaric dictators. It’s colonial-type thinking that imposes Western values on other cultures.

Edited to add: just to make clear, even if they do support Hamas that doesn’t make it right (according to Western principles of war) to target civilians.

Parkingt111 · 22/01/2024 10:09

@Peeony I didn't say that there wasn't any support for Hamas. Only that it is unreasonable to expect ordinary civilians to be able to oust them and the implication that for the above reason, the killing of innocent civilians in such huge numbers is somewhat justified

1dayatatime · 22/01/2024 10:39

@Parkingt111

"@Peeony I didn't say that there wasn't any support for Hamas. Only that it is unreasonable to expect ordinary civilians to be able to oust them and the implication that for the above reason, the killing of innocent civilians in such huge numbers is somewhat justified"

+++

I agree that it would be incredibly difficult for ordinary Gazans to oust Hamas for example the difficulties ordinary Libyans face when trying to oust Gadaffi.

There are actions that could be taken for example calls for Hamas to step down or be removed from Palestinians outside of Gaza or even the protesters in say London. Why isn't this happening?

Currently the absence of such calls might be seen as tacit support for Hamas.

kirinm · 22/01/2024 10:46

How does anyone think any Palestinian can do anything at all? They're literally being starved to death - less than a 1/5th of the aid they need being allowed into Gaza. Palestines are fucked for a lifetime.

If there are 500k Hamas combatants which has been calculated by a PP then what's the plan - kill 500k people)l? Because if not, how is the 'eradicate Hamas' plan ever going to work.

Can someone post the quoted 60% of Palestinians supported Hamas poll which was taken pre October 2023?

Parkingt111 · 22/01/2024 10:52

@1dayatatime I think it's easy for those on the outside to expect certain things when right now they are fighting for survival whilst faced with a army that is killing them and their children in their thousands aswell as destroying their homes and livelihoods.
There are people from within Gaza, who oppose Hamas but it's not something we often see. I was reading a BBC article recently which actually showed different views including of those who oppose, il see if I can find it for you.
But opposing Hamas does not mean that they want Israel to remove Hamas in the way they are doing now where civilians are just seen as unfortunate collateral damage

Parkingt111 · 22/01/2024 11:01

@1dayatatime There's more i would say but someone will be along to twist my words. Alot of Gazans prior to the war, were stuck between a rock and a hard place you could say.
They had to pay high taxes to Hamas and faced some difficulties living under them but at the same time due to the blockade were heavily dependant on them for bringing in necessities which at times were life saving/changing for them through the black market.
They also didn't have many choices, if they oust Hamas, then what's to say that they won't be replaced by a group that is worst like the PIJ. At times when you only have bad choices, you end up picking what you think is the lesser of the evils.
And when I talk about support, I mean prior to the war. Its impossible really for people to know how much support they have right now with the war raging on. I mean how exactly does one carry out a fair survey that is representative of the civilians whilst they are in the midst of war

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