MrGHardy
So the real control group would be males receiving counselling as these TIMs so one can actually separate the effect of transitioning from the effect of counselling. And one would need to also differentiate transsexuals from transgender.
No one will do an RCT, it wouldn't be ethical. But it isn't the job of research to prove innocence. That isn't how the law work either.
Furthermore, I don't remember the details of the study but it must be pointed out that your screenshot only says something like "there is no increased risk of crime after transitioning". Well, that doesn't say anything about decreased risk. I.e. it doesn't say TIMs are less violent. Maybe you chose the wrong screenshot, idk, but this does not really support your argument.
The screenshot came before the rest of the results - indicating that the similarity in crime rate between trans women and male population was only for those that transitioned before 1989 (when trans health and mental health care was less effective - her words), not after.
The researchers looked at differences between trans and cis population (her choice of words). She clarified in interview before 1989 trans women had a similar level of crime to males. I.e trans women transitioners after 1989 did not have an increased crime rate compared to 'cis' females.
For what it's worth, I would not be surprised if crime patterns are correlated with testosterone levels. And guess what wouldn't be needed under self ID? HRT.
Yes I agree testosterone has a role in aggression etc. I'm not arguing for or supporting self ID. This was in response to discussing medically transitioned trans women.