How many kids do you know definitely leaving private for state?

[Quodraceratops]

I'd be very interested to know how many children people know of who are definitely leaving their private school for a state school - not people with plans to do so in future years, solely those definitely going now / in 2025.
For myself - large Scottish all years school, I only have knowledge of my early primary kids's classes - no-one leaving so far (but I'm guessing early primary may be less affected as Labour have been signalling this policy for a while so you wouldn't start if you couldn't afford VAT).

DS is Y11 and the school doesn't have a 6th form so its their last year and I would imagine most parents would try and suck it up for that anyway BUT as far as I know none of his year are leaving and its a small school so I think I would have heard.

DC2 (Y6) definitely leaving, starts state next week. Would like to move DC1 now too but we are really struggling to get a place (& no not because we are rejecting certain schools - there are zero places in our borough and the surrounding. They are on more waiting lists than years they have been on this earth!).

None so far in DD's (year 9) mid size west London girls' indie. School hasn't told us what the fees would be like post-VAT yet and I have no idea about other years.

Two in my daughter’s year 7. London girls school

None

None.

None. In fact there have been new pupils join in non standard years.

None but lots of noise.

None, but lots of chat about how unfair the labour government are!

None.

None

One

None but my child is in their final year of school so wouldn't expect anyone to leave at this stage.

I really wouldn't know as i don't know many children at the secondary school where my son goes. However, my daughter is at state primary and several are now rethinking sending them next year and are now considering states.

None so far.

None so far, but we are now year 6 and there are a lot more sitting for grammars this month than previously.

Not a child but I know a teacher at an independent school which is usually very full but now has many vacancies. In a very affluent area of the south east.

I'm not aware of any at my dc's London prep. I'm not part of the in circle though so perhaps people are chatting about it without me.

None that I know of at our DD’s prep school in the South; but some parents are reconsidering boarding vs day options for senior schools next year - waiting to see how their senior schools of choice will handle the VAT

Mine.., now reluctantly Home Ed-ing as we’ve not been able to get a school place, despite applying at the correct time back in June.
We may have to rethink if we’re still in this position at Christmas.

6 so far.

Intake in the first year is noticeably smaller than normal, usually up around 18 a class, this year it is 12.

A few talking about switching to state 6th form

None that I know of, but the reception in our little prep only has HALF the usual number of students. This is precisely what should be expected: most families will do what they can to avoid disruption, but many will reconsider before starting down the path of private education. The real effects of this policy will take time to filter through.

None

No one with a DC is private will take their child out, even if they can't afford it. They'll beg, borrow, steal. But a few may consider not sending them.

Although we'll get hammered on 30th Oct, this is one area that Labour are bang on the money.

I'm in Kent and there is a lot of concern amongst local parents that more people will be trying for grammar which will make the pass mark harder on the Kent test for the better grammar schools.